Dolphins Down Chargers: NFL Sunday Night Football Week 14 Picks

  • The Miami Dolphins (8-4) are favored by a field goal over the Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) in Week 14
  • Tua Tagovailoa faces Justin Herbert in a battle of 2020 first-round picks
  • NBC’s Sunday Night Football kicks off from SoFi Stadium on December 11 at 8:20pm ET

The Justin Herbert vs. Tua Tagovailoa debate has set Twitter on fire this fall. While the Dolphins were initially ridiculed for taking the Alabama quarterback one spot ahead of the Oregon signal caller in the 2020 NFL Draft, Tua has lit up defenses in his third season while Herbert continues to struggle.

Before we check the odds on this Sunday Night Football matchup between Miami and Los Angeles, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022.

Chargers vs Dolphins

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Miami Dolphins-3 (-120)-170Ov 52 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers+3 (+100)+150Un 52 (-110)

Tua vs Herbert

A fringe MVP candidate before Week 13, Tua Tagovailoa threw two interceptions and struggled with accuracy throughout Sunday’s 33-17 loss to the Niners. Still, Justin Herbert would kill to be in Mike McDaniel’s Miami offense with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The Chargers quarterback was sacked five times in a 27-20 defeat to the Raiders.

While Tua has been throwing passes to wide open receivers all season, Herbert has been forced to check down repeatedly in one of the NFL’s most boring attacks. Despite having a cannon for an arm, the 24-year-old ranks 26th in yards per attempt (6.5), compared to Tagovailoa’s league-leading 9.0 YPA. 

Coaching matters

While the jury is still out on which franchise chose the best quarterback, the Chargers hire of Brandon Staley has returned a guilty verdict. Staley got the gig in 2021 after a successful season coaching a Rams defense with future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald. But, despite being hired for his defensive acumen, his Bolts are allowing the third-most points per game (25.8).

Meanwhile, Mike McDaniel spent more than 15 seasons learning from offensive genius Kyle Shanahan. In his first year with the Fins, Miami is averaging the second-most passing yards per game (290.5) in the NFL. They’re also top ten in points per game (24.9) despite Tagovailoa missing multiple games with concussion issues.

Miami DolphinsTo Cover Spread
★★★★★
-3.0
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Los Angeles ChargersTo Win
★★★★★
+150
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Chargers vs Dolphins

Los Angeles is a 3-point home underdog on Sunday Night Football. A game that NBC mercifully flexed into to avoid showing Russell Wilson and the Broncos get beatdown by Kansas City. Losers of three of their past four, the 6-6 Chargers need this game to keep pace with the Jets in the AFC playoff hunt. But, it feels like they’re catching Miami on the wrong week.

The Dolphins had scored 30-plus points in four straight games before being held to just 17 in a Week 13 loss to the 49ers. Facing a swiss-cheese LA defense permitting 151.6 yards per game on the ground (fourth-worst), both Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson will find much more success than they did against San Francisco.

Best Bet

Even though this game has the second-highest total on the slate, we like the OVER on 52 points. Miami’s defense has been far from special and there’s simply no way Staley will find an answer to whatever McDaniel throws his way.

In a fun, high-scoring matchup that will have Herbert supporters and “TuAnon” going back and forth, we like the Dolphins to cover.

Final Score Prediction: Miami 35, Chargers 30

Chargers vs Dolphins-106
★★★★★
OVER 52
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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