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Super Bowl LX is quickly approaching, and it’s time to start locking in wagers for the season’s biggest game. Seattle and New England are expected to deliver a physical, defense-heavy matchup, but points will still be required to decide a champion. Much of the pregame discussion has centered on the strength of both defensive fronts and how the battle at the line of scrimmage will unfold. Rather than staying focused on defense, it’s worth shifting attention to the offensive side of the ball. Touchdowns will be scored, and the goal here is to determine which player is most likely to find the end zone first.
- What? Super Bowl LX: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
- Where? Levi’s Stadium, California
- When? Sunday, February 8, 2026
First Touchdown Odds
Seattle has consistently been the faster-starting team this season. The Seahawks scored first in 10 of their 17 regular-season games and went on to register the opening touchdown in 12 of those matchups. That trend has continued in the postseason, with Seattle recording the first touchdown in both playoff contests, including a kickoff return score and a rushing touchdown by Kenneth Walker III.
New England has been less reliable early. The Patriots opened the scoring in eight of their 17 regular-season games and accounted for the first touchdown in only seven. Across three playoff games, New England has managed to score the first touchdown twice.
From a statistical perspective, Seattle holds a clear edge. The Seahawks have produced the game’s first touchdown in 73.6 percent of their contests this season, compared to 45 percent for New England. With that in mind, attention now turns to the betting odds for the first touchdown scorer in Super Bowl LX.
Below are the Super Bowl first touchdown odds from three of the best NFL betting sites.
| First Touchdown |  |  |  |
| Kenneth Walker III | +350 | +350 | +350 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | +525 | +525 | +600 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +825 | +825 | +900 |
| AJ Barner | +1200 | +1200 | +1400 |
| Hunter Henry | +1500 | +1500 | +1400 |
| Stefon Diggs | +1500 | +1500 | +1400 |
| Kayshon Boutte | +2000 | +2000 | +1800 |
First Touchdown Contenders
Let’s look at the top contenders to score the first touchdown at Super Bowl LX:
Kenneth Walker III (+350)
Kenneth Walker III carries the shortest odds among all players to score the first touchdown in Super Bowl LX, listed at +370. The Seattle running back finished the season with nine touchdowns, all coming on the ground. He handled most of the backfield work during the regular season, and with Zach Charbonnet unavailable for this matchup, Walker stands as Seattle’s only established rushing option.
However, the numbers suggest some caution. Walker has been responsible for just 17.3 percent of Seattle’s total touchdowns across the regular season and playoffs. In addition, rushing scores have accounted for only 35.7 percent of the Seahawks’ first touchdowns this season, slightly limiting the appeal of backing a ground score to open the game.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes into Super Bowl LX as the top touchdown scorer among skill position players on either roster. Priced at +550 to record the game’s first touchdown, he offers strong value, particularly given that he has opened the scoring three times this season. His 12 total touchdowns represent 23.1 percent of Seattle’s overall touchdowns.
His role has remained prominent in the postseason, where Smith-Njigba has accounted for 32 percent of Sam Darnold’s targets after being a focal point throughout the regular season. That usage aligns well with Seattle’s scoring trends, as passing plays have produced the most common type of first touchdown for the Seahawks this year.
Rhamondre Stevenson (+900)
If the Patriots are the first team to score, Rhamondre Stevenson is the player the odds favor. He did not score the opening touchdown in any of New England’s 20 games this season, but he has been the primary back in the postseason. Stevenson has handled 51.5 percent of the team’s carries in the playoffs and ranks second on the team with 86 receiving yards. Despite the increased workload, he has yet to find the end zone in the postseason, following nine touchdowns during the regular season.
AJ Barner (+1400)
At +1200, DeeJay Barner offers some long-shot appeal for bettors seeking value. He scored the game’s first touchdown once during the regular season, but his production has dropped sharply in the postseason. Barner finished the regular season with seven touchdowns, including one rushing score, the second-most on the team, and he also ranked second in receptions with 52 catches. In the playoffs, however, he has managed just two receptions for 13 yards.
Stefon Diggs (+1500)
Stefon Diggs is an intriguing option as a potential wild card. He has not scored the opening touchdown in any game this season, but he remains Drake Maye’s primary target. Diggs accounted for 21.2 percent of targets during the regular season and 23.3 percent in the playoffs. Despite his involvement, he has totaled just five touchdowns combining both the regular season and postseason.
Hunter Henry (+1500)
Hunter Henry has already scored the opening touchdown in a game this season and presents strong value if he can repeat the feat. He was Drake Maye’s second-most targeted receiver during the regular season, though his workload has been more evenly shared in the playoffs. Henry led the team with seven receiving touchdowns in the regular season and has added one more in the postseason. Backing him to score first typically means betting on New England to drive deep into Patriots territory, where Henry serves as the team’s primary red-zone option.
Kayshon Boutte (+2000)
Rounding out the list at +1800 is Kayshon Boutte, New England’s top receiving option in the playoffs. He has been targeted on 20.5 percent of passes and is averaging 18.4 yards per catch. Boutte has totaled seven touchdowns this season, and like other Patriots receivers, his chances of scoring the game’s first touchdown rise significantly if New England drives into the red zone.
Super Bowl LX First Touchdown Betting Pick
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600) stands out as the top skill position player in this matchup. While the Patriots will focus their coverage on him, he has a proven ability to make game-changing plays. Given New England’s slower offensive pace, it makes sense to target Seattle players for the opening score, and Smith-Njigba leads the group not only in total touchdowns but also in first-touchdown occurrences this season.
Below are the best offshore sportsbooks where you can place your Super Bowl LX bets.
