2022 NFL Coach of the Year Picks and Predictions

  • The 2022 NFL Coach of the Year race is wide open with no shortage of contenders
  • Since 1990, teams of past winners have averaged 5 more wins than the previous year
  • First-year head coaches have claimed 10 of the past 28 awards

When wagering on the AP NFL Coach of the Year award, forget about betting on the most creative play-callers or the leaders of the league’s best teams. No, in this case, you’re looking for coaches on mediocre clubs who can exceed expectations by winning more games than they did last season.

Before we look at the latest odds, here’s where you can check out the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022, and see the latest 2022 NFL Betting Odds and other award futures.

2022 Coach of the Year

BetOnlineBovada
Brian Daboll+500+1500
Sean McDermott+600+2000
Brandon Staley+900+1400
Dan Campbell+1400+2000
Doug Pederson+1800+2000
Kevin O'Connell+1800+1200
Nick Sirianni+1800+2000
Josh McDaniels+2000+1800
Mike Tomlin+2000+2200
Mike McDaniel+2200+1600
Bill Belichick+2500+2000
John Harbaugh+2500+2500
Frank Reich+2800+2000
Kyle Shanahan+2800+2000
Matt Lafleur+2800+2500
Mike Vrabel+2800+2500
Nathaniel Hackett+2800+1600
Robert Saleh+2800+2800
Sean McVay+2800+2000
Andy Reid+3300+2500
Dennis Allen+3300+2500
Kliff Kingsbury+3300+2500
Lovie Smith+3300+5000
Ron Rivera+3300+2500
Todd Bowles+3300+2000
Zac Taylor+3300+2000
Arthur Smith+5000+5000
Kevin Stefanski+5000+2000
Matt Rhule+5000+4000
Mike McCarthy+5000+3000
Pete Carroll+6000+5000
Matt Eberflus+6600+4000

Wide open race with no clear favorite

NFL Coach of the Year is one of the most unpredictable and wide-open award races with no clear favorite and a huge disparity on betting odds between various sportsbooks. So, other than shopping around, the best thing you can do is hone in on the coaches whose teams could win four to six more games this season.

Brian Daboll is a +500 favorite on BetOnline but still available at +1500 at Bovada. The former Bills offensive coordinator has two factors working in his favor. First, he’s taking over for Joe Judge and Jason Garrett in New York City, and second, first-year head coaches have captured 11 of the past 28 COY awards. The question is whether the Giants have the talent to win eight or nine games this season.

Other first-year head coaches

Doug Pederson (+2000) may have the easiest act to follow in NFL history. Replacing the clown show that was Urban Meyer, the Super Bowl-winner will draw easy praise if Trevor Lawrence can take a leap in year two. However, Jimmy Johnson is the only man ever to win Coach of the Year winner with a losing record (7-9 in 1990), and the Jaguars have finished over .500 only once in the past 11 seasons.

Kevin O’Connell (+1800) and Mike McDaniel (+2200) are expected to lead offensive revolutions in Minnesota and Miami this year. But, since both worked under brilliant play designers in Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan, it’s hard to say how much they’re actually bringing to the table.

Doug PedersonCoach of the Year
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+2000
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Brian DabollCoach of the Year
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+1500
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More COY contenders

Nathaniel Hackett (+2800) is another first-year head coach who could draw votes if the Broncos bump their win total from 7 in 2021 to 11+. While the AFC West is loaded, Russell Wilson’s arrival in the Mile High City will sure help his case.

Dan Campbell (+2000) only notched three victories in his first season in the Motor City, but almost everyone seemed to be impressed at how hard his Lions played every week. In a pedestrian NFC North division, Jared Goff would have to lead Detroit to eight or nine wins for the knee-biter to have a shot.

 Best Bet

Frank Reich (+2800) isn’t a perfect fit for the criteria we laid out above, but with Matt Ryan at the helm and Jonathan Taylor fully unlocked, the Colts could reel off a 13-4 season in the miserable AFC South.

Frank ReichCoach of the Year
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+2800
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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