Steve Starr
- Justin Herbert (+600) is favored to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2022
- Patrick Mahomes (+850) has never claimed the passing crown through four seasons in the league
- Kirk Cousins (+2000) could post a career year in Kevin O’Connell’s new Vikings offense
In 2021, Tom Brady led the NFL with 5,316 passing yards at age 44. The runner-up, Justin Herbert (5,014), is the favorite this season but passing-yard leaders have been anything but predictable in recent years. Before Brady, Deshaun Watson took the crown in 2020. It was Jameis Winston in 2019. And Ben Roethlisberger accomplished the feat in 2018 before his arm fell off.
Who will throw for the most yardage this season? Before we examine all the golden-armed contenders, here’s where you can find the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022, as well as the Best NFL Prop Bets on players and teams.
Most Passing Yards
 |
|
| Justin Herbert | +600 |
| Tom Brady | +800 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +850 |
| Derek Carr | +900 |
| Joe Burrow | +1000 |
| Josh Allen | +1000 |
| Matthew Stafford | +1000 |
| Dak Prescott | +1200 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1400 |
| Russell Wilson | +1600 |
| Kirk Cousins | +2000 |
| Matt Ryan | +2000 |
| Kyler Murray | +2500 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +3000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +3000 |
| Jameis Winston | +3300 |
Herbert opens as the favorite
Justin Herbert (+600) holds the all-time record for passing yards through a quarterback’s first two seasons with 9,350 yards. The 24-year-old is also the only QB in NFL history to throw for 30+ touchdowns in his first two campaigns. Additionally, Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has shown a propensity to “go for it” on fourth down, giving his young gunslinger more bites at the apple.
The only potential case against Herbert is that Los Angeles upgraded their defense with Khalil Mack this offseason, which could lead to the Bolts being in fewer passing situations and playing more conservatively in the fourth quarters of games.
Most 300-yard-passing games since start of 2020:
Justin Herbert* 17
Tom Brady 16
Josh Allen 14
Patrick Mahomes 14*Drafted in 2020. pic.twitter.com/7RERPjEaLC
— Pinhead Sports (@_PinheadSports) August 17, 2022
Brady or Mahomes?
Tom Brady (+800) was robbed of the 2021 NFL MVP after leading the league in both touchdown passes (43) and passing yards (5,316). While football’s all-time pass yards leader (84,520) has a loaded WR corps with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, and Russell Gage, the Buccaneers’ beat-up offensive line could cause headaches for the GOAT.
Stunningly, Patrick Mahomes (+850) has never led the league in passing yards – placing second in both 2018 and 2020. While the loss of All-Pro receiver Tyreek Hill won’t make things any easier this year, the Chiefs phenom should not be underestimated.
More top contenders
Derek Carr (+900) passed for a career-high 4,804 yards in 2021 and will now be throwing to college buddy Davante Adams. Slot receiver Hunter Renfrow and tight end Darren Waller will also be heavily featured in Josh McDaniels’ offense, and the Raiders’ defense should be among the worst in the league.
Joe Burrow (+1000) went nuclear in the final two games of last season, racking up 971 passing yards and eight touchdowns. The explosion underlines Burrow’s immense potential throwing to Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins behind an improved Bengals offensive line.
The Legend of Joe Burrow's Deep Passes. I asked for the stories behind Burrow's deep touchdowns last year and they were completely ridiculous. One of the coolest things I've ever had the privilege of reporting. Read: https://t.co/LWY80zSexX
— Kevin Clark (@bykevinclark) August 18, 2022
Kirk Cousins (+2000) threw for almost 5,000 yards with Washington in 2016 and has exceeded the 4K mark in six of his last seven campaigns. This despite playing for ultra-conservative head coach Mike Zimmer. Kevin O’Connell now brings in Sean McVay’s playbook with designs on further unlocking all-world receiver Justin Jefferson. The Vikings’ 34-year-old QB could be in line for a career year in what has been a wildly underrated and disrespected career.
Best Longshot: Kirk Cousins (+2000)
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
