2022 NFL Quarterback Props: Most Passing Yards

  • Justin Herbert (+600) is favored to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2022
  • Patrick Mahomes (+850) has never claimed the passing crown through four seasons in the league
  • Kirk Cousins (+2000) could post a career year in Kevin O’Connell’s new Vikings offense

In 2021, Tom Brady led the NFL with 5,316 passing yards at age 44. The runner-up, Justin Herbert (5,014), is the favorite this season but passing-yard leaders have been anything but predictable in recent years. Before Brady, Deshaun Watson took the crown in 2020. It was Jameis Winston in 2019. And Ben Roethlisberger accomplished the feat in 2018 before his arm fell off.

Who will throw for the most yardage this season? Before we examine all the golden-armed contenders, here’s where you can find the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022, as well as the Best NFL Prop Bets on players and teams.

Most Passing Yards

BetOnline
Justin Herbert+600
Tom Brady+800
Patrick Mahomes+850
Derek Carr+900
Joe Burrow+1000
Josh Allen+1000
Matthew Stafford+1000
Dak Prescott+1200
Aaron Rodgers+1400
Russell Wilson+1600
Kirk Cousins+2000
Matt Ryan+2000
Kyler Murray+2500
Trevor Lawrence+3000
Tua Tagovailoa+3000
Jameis Winston+3300

Herbert opens as the favorite

Justin Herbert (+600) holds the all-time record for passing yards through a quarterback’s first two seasons with 9,350 yards. The 24-year-old is also the only QB in NFL history to throw for 30+ touchdowns in his first two campaigns. Additionally, Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has shown a propensity to “go for it” on fourth down, giving his young gunslinger more bites at the apple.

The only potential case against Herbert is that Los Angeles upgraded their defense with Khalil Mack this offseason, which could lead to the Bolts being in fewer passing situations and playing more conservatively in the fourth quarters of games.

Brady or Mahomes?

Tom Brady (+800) was robbed of the 2021 NFL MVP after leading the league in both touchdown passes (43) and passing yards (5,316). While football’s all-time pass yards leader (84,520) has a loaded WR corps with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, and Russell Gage, the Buccaneers’ beat-up offensive line could cause headaches for the GOAT.

Stunningly, Patrick Mahomes (+850) has never led the league in passing yards – placing second in both 2018 and 2020. While the loss of All-Pro receiver Tyreek Hill won’t make things any easier this year, the Chiefs phenom should not be underestimated.

Justin HerbertMost Passing Yards
★★★★★
+600
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Patrick MahomesMost Passing Yards
★★★★★
+850
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More top contenders

Derek Carr (+900) passed for a career-high 4,804 yards in 2021 and will now be throwing to college buddy Davante Adams. Slot receiver Hunter Renfrow and tight end Darren Waller will also be heavily featured in Josh McDaniels’ offense, and the Raiders’ defense should be among the worst in the league.

Joe Burrow (+1000) went nuclear in the final two games of last season, racking up 971 passing yards and eight touchdowns. The explosion underlines Burrow’s immense potential throwing to Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins behind an improved Bengals offensive line.

Kirk Cousins (+2000) threw for almost 5,000 yards with Washington in 2016 and has exceeded the 4K mark in six of his last seven campaigns. This despite playing for ultra-conservative head coach Mike Zimmer. Kevin O’Connell now brings in Sean McVay’s playbook with designs on further unlocking all-world receiver Justin Jefferson. The Vikings’ 34-year-old QB could be in line for a career year in what has been a wildly underrated and disrespected career.

Best Longshot: Kirk Cousins (+2000)

Kirk CousinsMost Passing Yards
★★★★★
+2000
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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