Dolphins to down Bills in Thursday Night AFC East battle

  • Buffalo (1-0) is a 2.5-point road underdog to Miami (1-0) in week 2’s AFC East divisional battle  
  • Josh Allen says he’s “fine” after injuring his non-throwing hand in Sunday’s win over the Cardinals 
  • Thursday Night Football kicks off from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida at 8:20 pm ET

Buffalo and Miami meet Thursday night after each executed an impressive second-half comeback in week 1. Josh Allen piled up four combined touchdowns to overcome a 17-deficit to the Cardinals and, just hours after being arrested, Tyreek Hill posted 130 receiving yards and a TD in a 20-17 win over Jacksonville.

Which AFC East club will come out on top in week 2? Before we examine the odds, check out the top betting sites for NFL football and the Best Super Bowl 59 Betting Sites 2024.

Dolphins vs Bills

BetOnline Sportsbook ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Buffalo Bills+2.5 (-110)+120Ov 50.0 (-110)
Miami Dolphins-2.5 (-110)-140Un 50.0 (-110)

Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa

Josh Allen injured his left, non-throwing hand in a 34-28 win over Arizona, but said it was “fine” in his postgame comments. The 28-year-old put the Bills on his shoulders on Sunday, passing for 232 yards and two TDs while adding 39 yards two scores on the ground. In the first game without Stefon Diggs, rookie pass catcher Keon Coleman recorded four grabs for 51 yards and Khalil Shakir posted a 3-42-1 line.

Tua Tagovailoa passed for 338 yards and a TD in a 10-point comeback victory over the Jaguars. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddell topped 100 receiving yards, and sophomore back Devon Achane made seven receptions for 76 yards and added a rushing score.

Recent history

Miami’s dropped four-straight meetings with the Bills. Buffalo thumped the Dolphins 48-20 in week 4 at Orchard Park and secured its fourth-straight AFC East title with a 21-14 road victory over Mike McDaniel’s club in week 18.

However, this year’s meeting at Hard Rock Stadium is in September, when hot, sticky Florida weather is more likely to play a factor against a cold-weather team like Buffalo.

Miami Dolphinsto win vs Bills
★★★★★
-140
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UNDER 50.0Dolphins vs Bills
★★★★★
-110
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Miami vs Buffalo

Miami is a 2.5-point home favorite on Thursday with an over/under of 50 points. The Dolphins and Bills finished No. 3 and No. 6 in points per game in 2023. Both clubs sputtered on offense and defense in the first half of week 1 before stifling their opponents. Miami’s defense held Trevor Lawrence to 37 passing yards after halftime and Kyler Murray could only muster four first downs the entire second half against Sean McDermott’s unit.

Best Bet

While the Bills have dominated this rivalry matchup of late, home teams went 11-5 in Thursday night games last season. With Josh Allen potentially nursing a hand injury on a short week on the road, we like the Dolphins (-2.5) to cover on a short week with the UNDER 50 points (-110).  

Miami Dolphinsto cover vs Bills
★★★★★
-2.5
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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills

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