NFC Championship Odds: Are the Lions and Rams the Best Super Bowl Longshots?

  • The Buccaneers, Saints and 49ers are all +550 favorites to capture the NFC title
  • The Cowboys (+750) and Seahawks (+1000) are big-time contenders after strong offseasons
  • The Rams (+3300) and Lions (+3500) are the best longshots to reach the Super Bowl

In four of the past five years, the NFC Champion was lined somewhere between 20/1 and 40/1 before the start of season.

That means there’s tons of potential value when betting on surprise teams to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. After looking at the odds, we’ll review the favorites and pick our best longshots to win the conference.


Team Odds
New Orleans Saints +550
San Francisco 49ers +550
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +550
Dallas Cowboys +750
Seattle Seahawks +1000
Green Bay Packers +1100
Philadelphia Eagles +1200
Minnesota Vikings +1500
Chicago Bears +1800
Arizona Cardinals +2500
Atlanta Falcons +2500
Los Angeles Rams +3300
Detroit Lions +3500
New York Giants +4000
Carolina Panthers +7500
Washington Redskins +10000


Given the events of the past half year and everything that has gone wrong with the MLB restart, it seems almost impossible (and too good to be true) that Drew Brees and the Saints (+550) will be hosting Tom Brady and the Buccaneers (+550) just a month from now on the opening Sunday of the NFL season.

New Orleans has a deep, balanced roster, but has been one of the most snakebitten franchises in pro sports over the past few years, while Tampa Bay adds the GOAT and Gronk to a star-studded attack, along with one of the league’s most-underrated defenses.

Meanwhile, the 49ers (+550) have the brightest offensive mind in the NFL in Kyle Shanahan, George Kittle on a handsome new contract, and a Nick Bosa-led defense that should still be able to get after the quarterback, even with the absence of defensive tackle DeForest Buckner.

Loaded on offense with a core of Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and first-round pick CeeDee Lamb, the Cowboys (+750) offer more value than the teams above, especially after the addition of big-time pass-rusher Everson Griffen. Following the Jamal Adams trade, the Seahawks and Mr. Unlimited also look like a bargain at +1000.


Of the teams with NFC title odds between 20/1 and 40/1, the Cardinals (+2500) are certainly the buzziest pick, but it’s hard to see them even making the playoffs when they have to play six NFC West divisional games against the 49ers, Seahawks and Rams (+3300).

The football cognoscenti seem to be down on a Los Angeles team that went a solid 9-7 in 2019 and reached the Super Bowl just two years ago, but we believe Sean McVay is a coach worth betting on.

Given their mediocre 2020 draft haul and all their holes on defense, the Falcons (+2500) seem more likely to be hiring a new coach this winter than they are of reaching the promise land. Instead, we continue to see value in a Lions (+3500) team that added lockdown cornerback Jeff Okudah and Georgia running back D’Andre Swift via the draft.

If Matthew Stafford, our pick for Comeback Player of the Year, can return from injury and duplicate the stats he was putting up in the first half of last year, Detroit could upset the apple cart in the NFC North.

And while it seems unlikely that a Matt Patricia-coached squad could reach the Super Bowl, well… that’s why they’re called longshots.


Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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