NFL Conference Championship Odds: Game Lines, Picks and Predictions

  • Go to BetOnline or Bovada for updated NFL Conference Championship odds for Sunday’s games
  • Tom Brady and the Buccaneers opened as 4-point road underdogs to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in the NFC championship game
  • Kansas City is a 3-point home favorite in the AFC championship against the Bills despite the murky status of Patrick Mahomes

Championship Sunday in the NFL offers the most decorated quarterback matchup in playoff history, Tom Brady vs. Aaron Rodgers in the NFC, and a battle between two young AFC signal callers, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, that are poised to dominate their conference for the next decade.

Find the latest odds on Bills/Chiefs and Buccaneers/Packers below, and as always, check out our NFL betting guide and Super Bowl Betting guide if you need winning advice on how to wager on football. You can also find updated Super Bowl futures here.


BetOnlineSpreadMoney LineTotal
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+4.0 (-115)+165Ov 51 (-105)
Green Bay Packers-4.0 (-105)-190Un 51 (-115)
Buffalo Bills+3.0 (-110)+134Ov 53 (-113)
Kansas City Chiefs-3.0 (-110)-154Un 53 (-107)


One decade after capturing his only Super Bowl, Aaron Rodgers can bring Green Bay back to the big game with a home win over Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. Already with six rings, Brady has a ridiculous 32-11 record in the postseason and is 9-4 in conference championship games, while the Packers legend is just 1-3. Of course, this will be Rodgers first NFC championship game at Lambeau Field, and his first as a favorite.

After sending Drew Brees out to pasture in the Divisional Round, the Buccaneers opened as 4-point road underdogs despite handing the Packers an embarrassing 38-10 beatdown in Week 6. In that meeting, Rodgers threw for 160 yards with no TDs and two interceptions, including a pick-six, and suffered a season-high six sacks. However, the soon-to-be three-time NFL MVP threw 48 touchdowns and just three INTs in the season’s other 15 games and now faces Tampa’s 21st ranked pass defense.

Despite losing All-Pro left-tackle David Bakhtiari to a season-ending knee injury before the playoffs, Green Bay’s offensive line didn’t allow Rodgers to be sacked even once in their 32-18 victory over the Rams on Saturday and opened up 188 yards of rushing lanes for Aaron Jones and company.

But they’ll find the sledding much tougher against a Todd Bowles defense that is No. 1 against the run (80.6 ypg) and fourth in sacks (48), and is welcoming back monstrous nose tackle Vita Vea from the reserve/injured list. Pick: Buccaneers +4 and +165 money line (BetOnline)

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After suffering a concussion in the Chiefs’ 22-17 Divisional Round victory over the Browns, Patrick Mahomes is expected back this weekend against Buffalo. While it’s Kansas City’s third AFC title game in three years, the Bills are appearing in their first AFC Championship since 1993.

Andy Reid’s club has failed to win by more than six points in eight-straight games and opened as 3-point home-favorites so this one should be tight. The Chiefs ran for 245 total rushing yards in a 26-17 win over Buffalo, but rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire likely won’t play and Sean McDermott’s defense smothered the Ravens ground attack in Saturday’s 17-3 victory.

What should be more concerning to the Bills is that Josh Allen was limited to a season-low 122 passing yards when the two teams last met, and was largely unimpressive in the Divisional Round, throwing for just 206 yards and one score. Still, with no running game to speak of and no ability take advantage of the Chiefs league-worst rushing defense, expect offensive coordinator Brian Daboll to come out firing with his third-year quarterback.

Coming off an MVP-type year where he accounted for 4,544 passing yards and 45 total touchdowns, Allen has the arm (and legs) to outduel a overly-complacent Chiefs team with a compromised Mahomes. Pick: Bills +3 and +125 money line (Bovada)

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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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