Opening 2020 NFL MVP Odds Favor Mahomes Over Lamar

  • BetOnline has listed Patrick Mahomes (+600) as the slight favorite to win league MVP in 2020
  • Lamar Jackson (+700) will look to run away with his second-straight award next season after an unceremonious exit from the postseason
  • Kyler Murray (+2000) is an intriguing longshot to claim the award after joining Cam Newton as the only rookies in NFL history to pass for 3,500 yards and rush for 500

After the Kansas City Chiefs secured the city’s first Super Bowl victory in 50 years, the conversation quickly turned to whether the franchise could be on the verge of a dynasty.

Similarly, it’s hard to see a ceiling for Patrick Mahomes after the 24-year-old followed up his 2018 MVP season with a Super Bowl MVP the very next year.

Mahomes opened as the obvious favorite to claim the 2020 award at +600 and it’s fair to wonder just how many of these things he could win. Peyton Manning holds the all-time record with five NFL MVPs, but that number almost seems like the floor for the Chiefs phenom, if he can stay healthy.

Let’s examine the odds at Bet Online and see if we can find any other contenders who we would be comfortable betting on.


Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes +600
Lamar Jackson +700
Russell Wilson +900
Deshaun Watson +1200
Carson Wentz +1800
Dak Prescott +2000
Kyler Murray +2000
Aaron Rodgers +2200
Drew Brees +2200
Christian McCaffrey +2500
Ezekiel Elliott +2800
Tom Brady +2800
Matt Ryan +3300
Ben Roethlisberger +4000
Jimmy Garoppolo +4000
Kirk Cousins +4000
Philip Rivers +4000
Baker Mayfield +5000
Cam Newton +5000
Dalvin Cook +5000


As a gambling public service announcement, it is my responsibility to point out that quarterbacks have won seven-consecutive league MVPs and 12 of the last 13 awards.

Christian McCaffrey, the top running back on the board at +2500, didn’t even get a sniff of the trophy this past season despite leading the NFL with 2,392 scrimmage yards (third-most all-time), scoring 19 total touchdowns (tied for first in 2019), and becoming just the third player in NFL history with at least 1,000 rushing yards and 1,000 receiving yards in the same season.

Do we think the Panthers star or any other RB on the board (Zeke, Cook, Henry) will top those incredible numbers in 2020? We do not.


Lamar Jackson (+700) won the 2019 MVP by a unanimous vote after a historic season where he passed for 3,127 passing yards and 36 touchdowns and ran for 1,206 rushing yards with another seven scores. The dual-threat star will be looking to become the first back-to-back MVP winner since Manning in 2008/2009, and how can you doubt a guy who has made all doubters look ridiculous throughout his college and professional career.

Russell Wilson (+900) was considered the favorite to win his first MVP at the midway point of the year before Jackson literally ran away with the trophy. While one wishes Seattle would take the restrictor plate off their run-first offense and let Russ air it out, Ciara’s husband can never be fully counted out. It’s why we like the Seahawks as a +2500 longshot to win next year’s Super Bowl.

Deshaun Watson (+1200), Carson Wentz (+1800), and Dak Prescott (+2000) all offer decent value, but all come with their fair share of problems. The Texans have a weak supporting cast with no draft picks to get better after Bill O’Brien went all-in last season; the Eagles’ 27-year-old signal caller is always injured; and Dak just inherited Mike McCarthy.

Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (+2000) is a better value than all three after a season where he joined Cam Newton as the only rookies in NFL history to pass for 3,500 yards and rush for 500. The AP Offensive Rookie of the Year improved throughout his first campaign and has an impressive offensive mind (Kliff Kingsbury) calling the plays.

If Arizona can add some weapons at wide receiver, Murray could follow in Jackson’s and Mahomes’ footsteps with a huge sophomore season.

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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