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The Green Bay Packers travel to Dallas for a highly anticipated Sunday Night Football matchup against the Cowboys in Week 4. Both teams are looking to bounce back after disappointing losses, with the Packers blowing a 10-0 fourth-quarter lead against Cleveland and the Cowboys getting dominated by Chicago. This primetime battle features the intriguing storyline of Micah Parsons returning to face his former team after being traded to Green Bay before the season. The history between these franchises adds another layer of intrigue, with Green Bay winning 10 of the last 11 matchups including five straight in Dallas. Read on to access an expert breakdown of best SNF bets and explore stats to make your best Packers vs Cowboys prediction.
- National Football League
- Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Sunday, September 28, 2025
- 8:20 PM EST
- AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
- NBC, Peacock
Best SNF Bets: Packers vs Cowboys Betting Odds
The Packers have emerged as road favorites in this primetime showdown, with sharp money pushing the line in their direction. Green Bay is currently priced at (-6.5) with a moneyline of (-325) at most major sportsbooks. The Cowboys are home underdogs at (+265), reflecting their struggles and key injuries. The total sits at 47.5 points, suggesting oddsmakers expect a relatively high-scoring affair.
NFL 
Green Bay Packers -325 -325 -330 Dallas Cowboys +263 +265 +265
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Packers Looking to Rebound After Stunning Collapse
The Packers enter Week 4 with a 2-1 record despite last week’s shocking fourth-quarter collapse against Cleveland. Jordan Love has been impressive through three games, posting a 110.1 passer rating that ranks fourth among NFL quarterbacks. Green Bay’s defense has been a strength, ranking third in total defense and sixth on third-down stops (31.8%). The Packers’ defensive front has been particularly dominant, with Micah Parsons already making a significant impact with his new team.
Green Bay’s success at AT&T Stadium cannot be overlooked when considering this matchup. The Packers are a perfect 5-0 at the venue, including playoff games, and have scored 34+ points in each contest. They’ve averaged an impressive 37.6 points per game in Dallas, the highest mark among teams with three or more games at the stadium. Their turnover differential of +8 in those five games is the best mark by any opposing team at AT&T Stadium.
Micah Parsons returns to face his former team after a contract dispute led to his trade to Green Bay before the season. The star defender is tied for first in the NFL with 14 quarterback pressures through three games according to ESPN Research. Parsons has maintained he has “no hard feelings” toward Dallas fans but admitted he hopes to receive his “tribute in a win” on Sunday night. His presence has transformed Green Bay’s defense, which now ranks among the league’s best units.
Adding to the intrigue, Parsons still owns a suite at AT&T Stadium that he had already booked for the 2025 season before being traded. “The suite’s going to be packed out for sure,” Parsons told reporters this week. His familiarity with Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott and the Dallas offense could provide a significant advantage for the Packers’ defensive game plan.
Steelers Off to Winning Start Despite Poor Underlying Metrics
The Cowboys defense has been abysmal through three weeks, allowing 30.7 points and 397.7 yards per game. They rank dead last in defensive DVOA and passing yards allowed, clearly missing Parsons’ game-wrecking ability. Their pass rush has generated just four sacks in three games, a dramatic decline from previous seasons with Parsons. The secondary has been equally problematic, with cornerbacks Trevon Diggs and DaRon Bland both dealing with injuries.
Dallas will get some help with the debut of Jadeveon Clowney, who signed on September 14 but hasn’t played yet. The former No. 1 overall pick recorded 5.5 sacks and 44 pressures with Carolina last season. However, one player likely won’t fix a unit that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete passes at will. The Cowboys’ inability to generate pressure has exposed their coverage weaknesses in devastating fashion.
The Cowboys offense will be without star receiver CeeDee Lamb, who is dealing with an ankle injury. His absence removes Dak Prescott’s favorite target and most reliable playmaker from an offense that already faces challenges. Dallas will also be missing two starting offensive linemen in guard Tyler Booker and center Cooper Beebe. These injuries create significant protection concerns against Green Bay’s formidable pass rush.
Running back Javonte Williams has been a bright spot, ranking seventh in the NFL with 223 rushing yards while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. The Cowboys may lean heavily on Williams given their receiving corps limitations and Green Bay’s third-ranked run defense. Brian Schottenheimer’s offense has performed reasonably well, ranking fourth in total yards per game, but faces its toughest test yet.
Best SNF Bets: Expert Packers vs Cowboys Prediction
The sharp money has been consistently backing Green Bay throughout the week, and for good reason. The Packers hold advantages in nearly every key matchup area – quarterback play, line of scrimmage battles, turnover potential, and situational football. Jordan Love should find success against a Cowboys secondary that has been torched through three weeks. Green Bay’s defensive front, led by a motivated Parsons, should dominate a depleted Dallas offensive line.
History also strongly favors the Packers, who have won five straight games in Dallas and 10 of the last 11 overall against the Cowboys. The absence of CeeDee Lamb severely limits Dallas’ offensive ceiling, while Green Bay’s balanced attack should exploit the Cowboys’ defensive vulnerabilities. Matt LaFleur’s team is also highly motivated after last week’s collapse, making a focused effort likely.
With all factors considered, the Packers are the clear choice to cover the spread. Green Bay’s dominance at AT&T Stadium, Dallas’ defensive struggles, and the Parsons revenge factor all point to a convincing Packers victory. Take Green Bay to cover the -6.5 spread at (-115), available across top online sportsbooks.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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