Super Bowl 57 Picks Following NFL Free Agency

  • The Buffalo Bills (+700) opened as Super Bowl 57 favorites but will have to get through a talent-loaded AFC  
  • Tom Brady’s Buccaneers (+800) have a clear path to Lombardi glory after the Packers and Rams lost key pieces in NFL free agency
  • Super Bowl 57 will take place at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on February 12, 2023

Where to start? Following a wild few weeks of blockbuster trades, free agent signings and unretirements, the Super Bowl 57 odds have experienced a huge shift.

Let’s recap the latest player movement across the NFL and look at the updated Lombardi Trophy odds. Also, be sure to check out the top betting sites for NFL football, as well as tips for how to read odds for the Super Bowl 57.

Super Bowl 57 (2023)

Buffalo Bills+700+700
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+800+700
Kansas City Chiefs+850+850
Green Bay Packers+1000+1000
Los Angeles Chargers+1200+1500
Los Angeles Rams+1200+1100
Cleveland Browns+1400+1400
San Francisco 49ers+1400+1200
Denver Broncos+1600+1400
Dallas Cowboys+2000+1600
Baltimore Ravens+2200+2500
Cincinnati Bengals+2500+2200
Tennessee Titans+2800+2500
Arizona Cardinals+3300+2800
Indianapolis Colts+3500+2800
Las Vegas Raiders+3500+2800
New England Patriots+3500+3500
Minnesota Vikings+4500+4500
New Orleans Saints+4500+2500
Philadelphia Eagles+4500+4500
Miami Dolphins+5500+5000
Pittsburgh Steelers+5500+4500
Atlanta Falcons+6600+2800
Seattle Seahawks+6600+7500
Washington Commanders+6600+5000
Carolina Panthers+10000+6000
Chicago Bears+10000+8000
Jacksonville Jaguars+10000+10000
New York Giants+10000+8000
Detroit Lions+15000+15000
Houston Texans+15000+15000
New York Jets+20000+15000

Bills open as Lombardi Favorite

Buffalo (+700) handed two-time Super Bowl champion Von Miller a jaw-dropping six-year, $120 million deal to solidify their pass rush. After a devastating 42-36 overtime loss to the Chiefs in last year’s AFC divisional game, the Bills’ braintrust believe the 32-year-old edge rusher is the final piece to a championship club.

While Josh Allen and the Bills have to go through a loaded AFC, Tom Brady’s road to an eighth Lombardi title is paved in gold following a talent exodus from the Green Bay Packers (+1000) and the rest of the NFC. Looking quarterback-less and hopeless just over a week ago, the Buccaneers (+800) are once again the class of the conference after resigning receiver Chris Godwin, cornerback Carlton Davis and center Ryan Jensen.

Stacked AFC West

First, Russell Wilson headed to the Denver Broncos (+1600) to compete with Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert. Then, five-time Pro Bowler Davante Adams was traded from the Packers to the Las Vegas Raiders (+3500) to reunite with his college buddy Derek Carr. The Los Angeles Chargers (+1500) were also aggressive in bringing in defensive end Khalil Mack and former Patriots cornerback J.C. Jackson.

Kansas City (+850) stayed relatively quiet in comparison, signing receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster and safety Justin Reid. The Chiefs’ streak of six straight AFC West titles could be in jeopardy, and whichever club finishes last in this division is going to have some serious egg on their face.

Kansas CityTo Win Super Bowl
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Tampa BayTo Win Super Bowl
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Deshaun Watson lands in Cleveland

The Browns (+1400) are being criticized for bringing in Deshaun Watson amidst a litany of sexual misconduct allegations, but compromising one’s morals is a small price to pay to escape quarterback purgatory.

While a multi-game suspension for the QB would put them behind the eight-ball in the AFC North, Cleveland is currently favored ahead of the Bengals (+2500), Ravens (+2500) and Steelers (+5500) to win their first division title since 1989.

What about the defending champs?

The Los Angeles Rams (+1200) lost Von Miller, Robert Woods and left tackle Andrew Whitworth off their championship roster, but souped-up their receiving corps with the addition of Allen Robinson and re-upped QB Matthew Stafford. Sean McVay’s club could also face less resistance in the NFC West with Wilson no longer in Seattle, Kyler Murray “beefing” with Cardinals brass, and the 49ers (+1400) set to start unproven sophomore Trey Lance.

More QB movement to come

Matt Ryan could land in San Francisco, Indianapolis (+3500), Philadelphia (+4500) or Seattle (+7700) after the Falcons’ failed courtship of Watson, and Cleveland still has to find a new home for Baker Mayfield. Jameis Winston should also be back in New Orleans (+4500) after the Saints couldn’t find anyone else.

CincinnatiTo Win Super Bowl
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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