- BetOnline and Bovada have tons of Super Bowl LV passing props for Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes
- The Chiefs superstar had a career-best 37 completions in Week 12 versus the Buccaneers
- Brady leads the league in QB sneaks since 2001 and could punch one in on the goal line if given the opportunity
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers is undoubtedly the greatest quarterback matchup in the 55-year history of the Super Bowl. With six championships to his name already, Tom Brady has an unassailable case for the Greatest Of All Time, yet, anyone with a pair of working eyeballs knows that Patrick Mahomes is better.
Below, we lay out a few of our favorite Passing Props for this mouthwatering QB matchup. You can also check out our best Super Bowl Game Props, as well as fun prop bets on Gatorade color, national anthem, coin toss, and the halftime show. Also, please refer to our NFL betting guide and Super Bowl Betting guide for winning advice on how to wager on football.
Tom Brady 1st TD Pass Game Prop
|Tom Brady Distance of 1st TD Pass|
|Under 12.5 Yds||-150|
|Over 12.5 Yds||+120|
Brady can still throw deep
Of Tom Brady’s seven passing touchdowns this postseason, four have traveled over 12.5 yards. And most of those have been way over. The 43-year-old has connected on three passing scores of 27-plus yards, including Scotty Miller’s 39-yard back-breaker just before halftime in the NFC Championship against the Packers.
With Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown all capable of getting deep, we like Brady’s first passing score to be OVER 12.5 yards (+120 at BetOnline)
Tom Brady. Patrick Mahomes.
Both with two trips to the Super Bowl in their first three seasons as a starter. pic.twitter.com/mei1g3iT1e
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 31, 2021
Tom Brady Rushing TD Game Prop
|Will Tom Brady Score a Rushing TD?|
Brady is the master of the QB sneak
According to NFL Football Operations, Brady leads the NFL in quarterback sneak attempts (157 enter this year) by a large margin over the course of his career. He even punched in a goal line touchdown in Tampa Bay’s 30-20 victory over the Saints in the Divisional Round.
If the ball finds its way on the Chiefs 1-yard line (perhaps via a pass interference penalty in the end zone), you know the old man is going to get it done. Take the +425 on a Brady rushing score (BetOnline).
‘What Will Mahomes Do First’ Game Prop
|What Will Patrick Mahomes do First?|
|Throw a Touchdown||-350|
|Throw an Interception||+275|
Touchdown or Interception?
Mahomes threw for 38 touchdowns and six interceptions this season, so he’s over six times more likely to open Super Bowl 55 with a passing score than a pick. However, the 25-year-old tossed 16 dropped INTs in 2020, an NFL record, and will be operating behind a beat-up Chiefs offensive line while facing a fearsome Bucs pass rush that pressured Rodgers on nearly a third of his drop-backs, sacking him five times.
If you remember correctly, Mahomes also threw an interception before throwing a touchdown in last February’s win over the 49ers and finished the game with two picks. While it might seem like a longshot, the Super Bowl 54 MVP could easily start slow in this one too. (+275 to throw an INT before a TD at BetOnline).
The age gap between Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes is old enough to smoke LMAAOOO pic.twitter.com/ytXIipzC4c
— Hawk (@Hawk) January 26, 2021
Mahomes Rushing Attempts Game Prop
|Patrick Mahomes Total Rushing Attempts|
|Over 4.5 Attempts||-125|
|Under 4.5 Attempts||-105|
Mahomes will have to use his legs
Mahomes has 70 rush attempts in his 17 regular season and playoff games combined this year (4.1 per game average), but throughout his career the Chiefs prodigy has only run when he’s had to. Case in point – last year’s Super Bowl against the Niners when he scrambled nine times for 29 yards and a score.
Set to be under siege from edge rushers Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul this Sunday, Mahomes should once again be forced to extend plays with his legs. We like OVER 4.5 rushing attempts (-125 at BetOnline)
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