Super Bowl Odds After Week 13: Ravens Perched atop the NFL

  • The Ravens (+275) are the outright Super Bowl favorites after beating the 49ers for their eighth straight win
  • San Francisco (+900) is still a strong bet despite falling behind the Seahawks (+800) in the NFC West 
  • Expect the Patriots’ title odds (+400) to fall even further with a loss to the Chiefs (+800) this Sunday

The New England Patriots were embarrassed in primetime for the second occasion in the past month, losing 28-22 to the Texans in a contest that was nowhere near as close as the score indicated.

Meanwhile, Baltimore squeaked out a 20-17 win against the 49ers in a game that was strangely not on network television in New York, Los Angeles and other big U.S. markets.

As predicted would happen in last week’s column, the Ravens (+275) have jumped New England (+400) as the new Super Bowl favorite. Let’s review the updated board at BetOnline and look at the Week 14 games that will impact next week’s Lombardi odds.


Team Current Odds Trending Last Week
Baltimore Ravens +275 +350
New England Patriots +400 +300
New Orleans Saints +500 +600
Kansas City Chiefs +800 +1200
Seattle Seahawks +800 +1200
San Francisco 49ers +900 +500
Green Bay Packers +1600 +2000
Dallas Cowboys +2500 +2000
Minnesota Vikings +2500 +2000
Houston Texans +2500 +3300
Buffalo Bills +3300 +6600
Philadelphia Eagles +5000 +4000
Tennessee Titans +5000 +10000
Pittsburgh Steelers +6600 +10000
Los Angeles Rams +8000 +10000
Chicago Bears +12500 +12500
Oakland Raiders +15000 +10000
Cleveland Browns +25000 +6600
Denver Broncos +25000 +50000
Indianapolis Colts +25000 +10000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +25000 +50000
Los Angeles Chargers +50000 +15000
Carolina Panthers +50000 +25000
Jacksonville Jaguars +50000 +50000
New York Jets +50000 +50000
Washington Redskins +50000 +100000


San Francisco’s hard-fought loss to the red-hot Ravens dropped them from +500 last week to +900, which seems like an overreaction by oddsmakers considering the 49ers’ top-ranked defense held MVP frontrunner Lamar Jackson to a season-low 105 passing yards.

Outscoring opponents by an average of four touchdowns per game over their past five contests, Baltimore’s No. 1 scoring offense managed to put up only 20 points at home, albeit in cold, rainy conditions.

While the window to bet on John Harbaugh’s club has officially closed, the 10-2 Niners offer a lot of value at +900. The problem, of course, is that the 10-2 Seahawks own the tiebreaker in the NFC West and have the easier schedule leading up their Week 17 rematch in Seattle.

That means Kyle Shanahan’s crew will likely have to win out to claim a first-round bye, starting with a victory in the Big Easy against the 10-2 Saints (+500). The result of Sunday’s game will either lift the Niners back around +600 or drop them to +1200, where they would be a screaming value.


Given they have six Lombardi trophies, you can’t blame oddsmakers for making people pay up for the Patriots (+400), but this year’s team has done nothing to deserve their lofty standing atop the board.

Sure, New England is 10-2, but they lost decisively to both Baltimore and Houston (who were just blown out by the Ravens 41-7 in Week 11) and their only wins against current playoff teams were 16-10 and 13-9 stinkers against the Bills and Cowboys, respectively.

Through 12 games, Bill Belichick and his mulleted son Steve’s defense has the sixth-best DVOA since 1985, but it’s still hard to believe that Josh McDaniels and Tom Brady will be able to suddenly breathe life into a Gronk-less offense with one decent receiver (Julian Edelman).

While Kansas City (+800) isn’t firing on all cylinders either, expect Patrick Mahomes to score enough to avenge his team’s 37-31 overtime loss in last year’s AFC Conference Championship. Wagering on the Chiefs before Week 14 would be wise.


See, even scuzzy, old billionaires cry sometimes. Jerry Jones was left in tears after the Cowboys’ Thanksgiving Day loss to the Bills, but betting Dallas at +2500 isn’t the worst idea considering their weak division and soft remaining schedule (at Bears, Rams, at Eagles, Redskins).

The 9-3 Buffalo Bills are finally starting to get some respect. In addition to their title odds halving from +6600 to +3300 in the past week, NBC flexed their Week 15 game against the 7-5 Steelers (+6600) into Sunday Night Football. However, with the Ravens heading to Orchard Park this weekend, you may want to hold off on any Bills-related bets until next week.

Finally, the 7-5 Rams (+8000) host the Seahawks (+800) on Sunday night, where we’ll find out whether Sean McVay’s club is closer to the team that got their doors blown off by Baltimore in Week 12 or the team that destroyed the Cardinals 34-7 in Week 13.

While their postseason hopes aren’t officially dead, don’t bet on Los Angeles catching the 8-4 Vikings (+2500) for the final NFC playoff spot.

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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