Kyler Murray was the 2021 NFL MVP betting favorite going into Week 8 of the NFL season. However, an injury suffered late in the team’s loss to the Green Bay Packers kept Murray from competing in Week 9. With Murray missing last week’s game and his status up in the air for the Cardinals Week 10 game against the Panthers, Murray has tumbled down the MVP rankings.
With Murray dropping, Tom Brady has supplanted the Cardinals QB as the favorite to win the 2021 NFL MVP award. Brady’s odds have improved significantly since Week 7 when he was listed at +900.
NFL MVP Odds Update
Moving up the board
Tom Brady moved to +300 to win his fourth-career NFL MVP. The 44-year-old ranks second in the league in passing yards (2650) and first in passing TDs (25) this season.
Lamar Jackson made a big move from Week 8, jumping from +1800 to +500. However, Jackson’s movement is a bit misleading. Heading into the Ravens game against the Cincinnati Bengals, Jackson was +900. The Bengals beat the Ravens by a score of 41-17 and sacked Jackson four times. A bye week followed that loss. Jackson returned to form in Week 9 and led the Ravens to a come from behind overtime win over the Vikings.
Falling out of the MVP race
Dak Prescott continued his slide down the MVP rankings. Sunday was the first game for the Dallas QB since he suffered a calf strain against the Patriots on October 17. Prescott completed 19 of 39 passes for 232 yards, threw for two touchdowns, had one interception and was sacked once in a 30-16 loss. Both of Prescott’s touchdown throws came in the fourth quarter with the game out of reach for Dallas.
Josh Allen had a bad week for the Buffalo Bills, but he still remains near the top of the MVP rankings. The Bills face the NY Jets in Week 10 and no team gives up more overall yards (408.1 per game) than the Jets. New York also ranks near the top in passing yards surrendered per game (274.9) and that should help Allen to, at the very least, stay near the top of the MVP rankings.
Lamar Jackson could gain more ground in Week 10. The Ravens are in Miami to face the Dolphins. Miami’s defense has given up more yards (3,527) than any other team in the NFL. The team ranks first in passing yards surrendered (2,528).
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