Updated Super Bowl Odds After Week 15: Ravens Still In Danger of Missing Playoffs

  • BetOnline and Bovada list the Chiefs as heavy Super Bowl favorites after Kansas City’s 32-29 victory over the Saints in Week 15
  • Green Bay (+600) has the No. 1 seed in the NFC locked up after defeating the Panthers 24-16 on Saturday
  • The Ravens (+1600) are in danger of missing the postseason despite winning three-straight games

The most impactful Week 15 result did little to change the NFL’s playoff landscape, but will alter the future of the Jets and Jaguars franchises for the next two decades. Entering their game against the Rams as 17.5-point underdogs, New York scored the biggest upset since 1995, defeating Los Angeles 23-20 and handing Jacksonville the No. 1 overall pick to draft Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence.

Let’s look at how the rest of the week’s action impacted the Super Bowl odds and discuss how the playoff picture is shaping up in the AFC and NFC.

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Kansas City Chiefs+175+170
Green Bay Packers+600+550
New Orleans Saints+800+850
Buffalo Bills+1200+1000
Pittsburgh Steelers+1200+1300
Seattle Seahawks+1200+1100
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1200+1300
Los Angeles Rams+1400+1500
Baltimore Ravens+1600+1600
Tennessee Titans+2800+2200
Indianapolis Colts+3300+2800
Cleveland Browns+4000+3300
Arizona Cardinals+6000+5000
Miami Dolphins+10000+8000
Chicago Bears+15000+15000
Dallas Cowboys+20000+25000
Minnesota Vikings+20000+20000
New York Giants+20000+20000
Philadelphia Eagles+25000+20000
Las Vegas Raiders+100000+50000


Green Bay (+600) didn’t look great in Saturday’s 24-16 victory over the Panthers, but unimpressive wins have become a hallmark of the Matt LaFleur era, who’s now 24-6 as Packers head coach. With the Saints losing their second-consecutive game, a 32-29 loss to the Chiefs, it’s a near certainty that Aaron Rodgers’ club will capture the sole NFL playoff bye and host up to two playoff games at frigid Lambeau Field.

So, which of their opponents can win a NFC Championship Game on the road in Green Bay this January? New Orleans (+850) will likely hold on to the No. 2 seed but their hopes ride on the health of Drew Brees, who was understandably rusty in his return from 11 broken ribs, finishing 15-of-34 for 234 yards and three touchdowns. After years of playoff heartbreak, this could be the Saints’ last chance.

Once a laughing stock, the Seahawks’ defense has turned it on over the past month, keeping opponents under 20 points in four straight games. The two questions for Seattle (+1200) is whether the improved play of their D is a mirage (their last four opponents were the Carson Wentz Eagles, the Giants, Jets and Washington) and if Russell Wilson and DK Metcalf can recapture their early-season form.

Pete Carroll’s club will host the Rams (+1500) this Sunday in a game that will decide the NFC West. It’s hard to have any confidence in Jared Goff following the Week 15 loss to the Jets, but you might want to buy the dip with a Los Angeles team that has one of the NFL’s best defenses and a coaching staff (HC Sean McVay/DC Brandon Staley) capable of out-scheming anyone in the postseason.

Tampa Bay (+1200) seems overvalued given their season-long offensive struggles, but they’ll face the NFC East winners, likely the 6-8 Washington Football Team, in the first round if they win out against Detroit and Atlanta. Arizona (+6000) is getting far less respect and will be a fun playoff team to have in the mix if they can hold off a resurgent Bears (+15000) team that has won two straight and heads to Jacksonville in Week 16.

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Things are just as interesting in the AFC playoff picture. While Kansas City (+175) has the No. 1 seed locked up, the Bills (+1000) have emerged as worthy contenders after winning their fourth straight game, a 48-19 smashing of Denver, and claiming their first division title in a quarter century. Buffalo could move up the No. 2 seed if Pittsburgh (+1200) falls to Indianapolis or Cleveland in the final two weeks, but there’s no telling if that will be to any benefit.

The bottom of the AFC postseason picture is in complete flux with a number of quality teams battling for playoff positioning. Both the Titans (+2800) and Colts (+3300) face tough Week 16 road matchups (against Green Bay and Pittsburgh) that will determine who wins the AFC South and gets the No. 4 seed. While both 10-4 clubs should qualify for the postseason, someone good is going to miss the dance.

The 10-4 Browns (+4000), the 9-5 Dolphins (+10000), the 9-5 Ravens (+1600) and whatever AFC South team ends up finishing second are all competing for the final three spots. Cleveland has the Jets this week so they should be just fine, and Baltimore has very winnable games against the Giants and Bengals. That leaves the Dolphins, who will need to win their final two games against Las Vegas and Buffalo to qualify.

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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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