Steve Starr
- BetOnline‘s 2021 NFL MVP Futures have Cardinals superstar Kyler Murray (+325) as the award favorite
- Tom Brady (+500), Joe Burrow (+1600) and Derek Carr (+2200) all shot up the board following fantastic Week 7 performances
- Past winners Lamar Jackson (+1800) and Patrick Mahomes (+4000) are falling out of the MVP race
Kyler Murray remains the rightful 2021 NFL MVP betting favorite after a three-touchdown performance against Houston in Week 7, but how far will his odds slip once the undefeated Cardinals lose their first game and who’s primed to take his position atop the board?
Before we analyze the field of award contenders, check out our tips for betting on NFL football games.
NFL MVP Odds Update
 | Today | Last Week |
| Kyler Murray | +325 | +375 |
| Tom Brady | +500 | +900 |
| Dak Prescott | +550 | +400 |
| Josh Allen | +650 | +650 |
| Derrick Henry | +900 | +800 |
| Matthew Stafford | +1100 | +1000 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1200 | +1200 |
| Joe Burrow | +1600 | +6600 |
| Justin Herbert | +1800 | +1400 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1800 | +900 |
| Derek Carr | +2200 | +8000 |
| Cooper Kupp | +2500 | +20000 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +4000 | +1200 |
| Jameis Winston | +8000 | +6600 |
| Carson Wentz | +10000 | +25000 |
| Ryan Tannehill | +10000 | +15000 |
| Kirk Cousins | +15000 | +15000 |
Moving up the board
Tom Brady moved to +500 to win his fourth-career NFL MVP (from +900 last week) after becoming the first player in league history to reach 600 touchdown passes. The 44-year-old continues to lead the league in passing yards (2275) and passing TDs (21) this season.
Brady’s move up the board pales in comparison to the one Joe Burrow made, however, jumping from +6600 to +1600 after throwing for 416 yards and three touchdowns in a 41-17 statement win over Baltimore. The sophomore QB has the Bengals sitting atop the AFC North with a 5-2 record while placing top five in passing yards (1956) and passing TDs (17).
The fan who got @TomBrady's 600th TD ball says he was never gonna sell it 💯
(via @Ry_Bass) pic.twitter.com/V3KohVOwtB
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 25, 2021
Derek Carr’s odds also spiked to +2200 from +8000 last week. Leading the Raiders to a second-straight victory following coach Jon Gruden’s departure, he finished 31-of-34 for 323 yards and two passing TDs in a 33-22 Week 7 win over the Eagles.
Like Brady, the 30-year remains on pace to break Peyton Manning’s NFL record for passing yards in a season (5,477).
Falling out of the MVP race
Lamar Jackson has been silencing doubters all season, but his MVP odds doubled from +900 last week to +1800 after Cincinnati’s defense held Baltimore to 17 points, sacking him four times. Considering his ridiculous statistical pace, Lamar remains a better longshot than Patrick Mahomes.
The star quarterback’s odds slumped to an unthinkable +4000 following a crushing 27-3 defeat to the the Titans where he committed another two turnovers and was knocked out of the game late after taking a knee to the facemask.
Looking ahead
Kyler Murray (+325) hosts Aaron Rodgers (+1200) and the 6-1 Packers on Thursday night. If last year’s MVP can take down the undefeated Cardinals in primetime, his award odds could see a major boost.
Coming off a bye, Dak Prescott (+550) has three winnable games versus the Vikings, Broncos and Falcons before a spotlight game against the Chiefs in Week 11 that could go a long way to cement his MVP status. Also coming off a Week 7 bye, Josh Allen (+650) is sure to see his MVP odds shorten over the next three weeks with matchups against the Dolphins, Jaguars and Jets on tap.
This Kyler Murray play made @DeAndreHopkins smile. #RedSea @K1
📺: #HOUvsAZ on CBS
📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/Mnxu6cwJ9S— NFL (@NFL) October 24, 2021
After a ho-hum 86-yard rushing effort against Kansas City where he threw a touchdown pass for a change, Derrick Henry (+900) looks to lead his Titans to another divisional win over the Colts in Week 8. If 5-2 Tennessee can secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC this season, the Big Dog will be hard to fade as the 2021 NFL MVP.
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