NFL Worst-Record Odds: Jaguars Tanking for Trevor?

  • Jacksonville (+500) is favored to win the fewest games in the NFL this season
  • The Panthers (+600) could finish with the league’s worst record after replacing Cam Newton with Teddy Bridgewater
  • The Redskins (+600) and Dolphins (+900) are also in the mix, but both could improve dramatically after this week’s NFL Draft  

At this time last year, the Miami Dolphins were widely considered to be tanking for Tua Tagovailoa, yet in just a few days the franchise that ended up finishing with the league’s fewest wins, the Cincinnati Bengals, will pick Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow at No. 1 overall.

With the Jacksonville Jaguars now looking like locks to bottom-out and draft Clemson’s golden-haired god Trevor Lawrence, keep in mind that the sport of football rarely plays out like the masses on Twitter expect.

Let’s see who the oddsmakers think will finish dead-last and make a few predictions on what team will secure the NFL’s worst record in 2020.


Team Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars +500
Carolina Panthers +600
Cincinnati Bengals +600
Washington Redskins +600
Detroit Lions +800
Miami Dolphins +900
New York Giants +900
New York Jets +1200
Atlanta Falcons +1600
Las Vegas Raiders +1600
Los Angeles Chargers +1600
Arizona Cardinals +2000
Denver Broncos +2000
Houston Texans +2500
Indianapolis Colts +2500
Chicago Bears +3300


Unless you live in northern Florida perhaps, there’s a strong chance you’ll go your whole life without bumping into a Jags fan. And there’s a good reason for that: with the exception of the Cleveland Browns, no NFL team has been worse over the past decade.

But even with the organization’s stinky 50-109 (.314) record since the start of 2010, it’s hard not to feel like the worst is still ahead for Jacksonville… or at least until owner “Shad” Khan inevitably moves his franchise to London, England.

The Jaguars traded All-Pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey to the Rams last season and dumped veteran defensive end Calais Campbell in the spring. And disgruntled pass-rusher Yannick Ngakoue looks like he’s on his way out the door.

Still, Jacksonville doesn’t fit the normal profile of a tanking team. Given both should’ve been shit-canned already, head coach Doug Marrone and general manager Dave Caldwell have plenty of motivation to win-now. The team also has two 1st Round picks and 12 selections in total, so their roster is going to seem much better at this time next week.

Finally, sophomore quarterback Gardner Minshew looks like he’s cut from the same cloth as Ryan Fitzpatrick, and much like “Fitzmagic” last season, the fan-favorite could easily rally his team to a few unexpected victories.


No one can accuse the Panthers (+600) of tanking after the club signed speedy wideout Robby Anderson and handed Christian McCaffrey a monster extension, but there are some red flags here.

First, these bozos actually thought it would be a good idea to replace Cam “Superman” Newton with Teddy “Checkdown” Bridgewater. Second, Carolina’s defense looks like a bottom-3 unit after the retirement of Luke Kuechly. And third: the team’s entire coaching staff is from the college ranks, and Matt Rhule’s southern preacher act probably won’t work in the pros.

The Redskins‘ quarterback room alone makes them a solid bet at +600, but the club’s defense should be much-improved under Ron Rivera, especially with the expected addition of Chase Young.

While they only won five games last year, expectations for the Dolphins (+900) were so low entering 2019 that the team almost seemed like an underdog success story.

In his first year as head coach, Brian Flores looked like the rare hire from the Belichick tree that could work out, but Miami’s roster is still pretty threadbare in terms of talent.

To escape a last-place finish for the second year in a row and finally swim up from the bottom of the tank, the Fins will need to nail their three 1st Round picks in this week’s NFL Draft.

Best Bet: Panthers (+600)

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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