AFC Division Winner Odds: Can The Chargers Displace The Chiefs?

  • Bovada has updated NFL Division Odds for all 16 AFC teams
  • Browns (+125), Steelers (+205) and Ravens (+245) are an AFC North toss-up following the NFL Draft
  • Chargers look like a value (+200) in the AFC West in wake of the Tyreek Hill news

There’s a certain guilt that comes with anxiously awaiting the start of a new NFL season, because it’s almost like wishing your summer away.

With four heavenly months of weather still ahead of us, let’s fearlessly examine the odds at Bovada to find the hottest values in each AFC division.

Odds to Win AFC East

Teams AFC East at Bovada
New England Patriots -550
New York Jets +600
Buffalo Bills +1200
Miami Dolphins +2200

New England’s ten consecutive division titles makes it almost silly to place your bets elsewhere. Similarly, it’s hard to paint the loss of the greatest tight end in football history (Rob Gronkowski) as too meaningful given the Patriots propensity to overcome any perceived obstacles.

Still, the Jets look promising. Sure, Le’Veon Bell skipped voluntary minicamp, and sure, Adam Gase wasn’t a particularly inspiring coaching hire. But if Tom Brady were to fall off a cliff, I want my money on the team that many believe took the top player in the draft (Quinnen Williams) and, more importantly, has a 21-year-old quarterback (Sam Darnold) who really turned the corner down the stretch of 2018.

AFC East Betting Advice: the longshot Jets (+600)

Odds to Win AFC North

Teams AFC North at Bovada
Cleveland Browns +125
Pittsburgh Steelers +205
Baltimore Ravens +245
Cincinnati Bengals +2100

This might be the hardest division in the entire NFL to predict, which is exactly why I’m waffling.

Baltimore is intriguing after drafting a bevy of speed and SPARQ-score freaks. The Ravens impressively rebuilt their scheme on the fly after making a polar-opposite transition from Joe Flacco to Lamar Jackson last season. While oddsmakers aren’t showing a ton of respect to the defending AFC North champs, I’m excited to see what Baltimore’s coaching staff cooks up with a whole offseason to prepare.

I like Pittsburgh to exceed their win total, but it’s kind of jarring to realize it’s the Browns, and not the Steelers, that have the league’s scariest three-headed monster with Baker Mayfield, Odell Beckham Jr. and Nick Chubb.

AFC North Betting Advice: the favored Browns (+125)

Odds to Win AFC South

Teams AFC South at Bovada
Indianapolis Colts +120
Houston Texans +225
Jacksonville Jaguars +350
Tennessee Titans +700

Bill O’Brien has gone over .500 in four of five seasons as Houston’s head honcho, but the team did nothing in free agency to build around stars Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins and J.J. Watt. Their miserable offseason only got worse when the Eagles jumped them in the draft to land tackle Andre Dillard, and now there are trade whispers involving defensive end Jadeveon Clowney.

Even worse news for the Texans is the fact that the Colts look poised to dominate the division for years with a healthy Andrew Luck and a general manager (Chris Ballard) who followed up his infamous 2018 draft class with a haul that Rotoworld’s Evan Silva awarded his only A grade.

AFC South Betting Advice: fade the Texans (+225)

Odds to Win AFC West

Teams AFC West at Bovada
Kansas City Chiefs -160
Los Angeles Chargers +200
Denver Broncos +1100
Oakland Raiders +1200

With Tyreek Hill facing an inevitable suspension, Kareem Hunt now on the Browns, and a defense in a full-blown rebuild, the AFC West suddenly looks up for grabs.

While it would be unwise to count out a Chiefs team that has the best combination of play-caller (Andy Reid) and arm (Patrick Mahomes) in the entire NFL, the Chargers are an incredible value at 2/1 considering they finished 12-4 last year.

It’s difficult to forget L.A.’s absolute no-show versus the Patriots in the Divisional Playoffs, but the Chargers continue to draft well on defense and the offense has more weapons than Philip Rivers has kids, with tight end Hunter Henry back in the fold and poised to finally prove Stephen A. Smith right.

AFC West Betting Advice: saddle up with the Chargers (+200)

Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.