Updated 2021 NFL MVP Futures: Derrick Henry Rumbles into the Race

  • BetOnline‘s 2021 NFL MVP futures list Kyler Murray (+375) as the new favorite following another four-touchdown performance
  • Derrick Henry’s odds jumped from +4000 last week to +800 after he ran for three scores in an upset win over the Bills
  • Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady are incredible values at +900 considering their historic starts to the season

Quarterbacks have won the past eight NFL MVP awards but Derrick Henry has rumbled into this year’s awards conversation after leading his Titans to a 34-31 victory over the Bills on Monday Night Football with three touchdowns and his fifth-straight game with over 100 rushing yards.

Can Tennessee’s 247-pound freak-of-nature become the first running back to win NFL MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012? Before we look at the latest award odds to see where Henry ranks among the contenders, check out our tips for betting on NFL football games.

NFL MVP Odds Update

BetOnlineTodayLast Week
Kyler Murray+375+650
Dak Prescott+400+500
Josh Allen+650+450
Derrick Henry+800+4000
Lamar Jackson+900+1600
Tom Brady+900+500
Matthew Stafford+1000+1200
Aaron Rodgers+1200+1200
Patrick Mahomes+1200+1000
Justin Herbert+1400+625
Jameis Winston+6600+3300
Joe Burrow+6600+6600
Derek Carr+8000+12500
Baker Mayfield+10000+4000
Kirk Cousins+15000+15000
Ryan Tannehill+15000+10000
Sam Darnold+15000+12500
Cooper Kupp+20000N/A
Carson Wentz+25000+20000
Jalen Hurts+25000+20000

Derrick Henry breaks into top 5

Derrick Henry’s odds to win the 2021 MVP jumped up to +800 from +4000 just last week. In Monday night’s upset victory over the Bills, the 27-year-old finished with at least three touchdowns for the third time this season. His 783 rushing yards currently lead the NFL and he is the first player to run for 10 scores in his team’s first six games since 2005, when both LaDainian Tomlinson and that year’s MVP Shaun Alexander did so.

So, can the 2015 Heisman Trophy winner buck another trend and win another prestigious award usually reserved for quarterbacks?

Henry has 51 more carries, 260 more yards and five more rushing touchdowns than the next closest backs in each category. And with a 17th game being added to the NFL schedule this season, he is on pace to shatter Eric Dickerson’s long-standing tally of 2,105 rushing yards in 1984.

King Henry’s value to the 4-2 Titans also couldn’t be more evident. With Tennessee well-positioned for a division title in the putrid AFC South, the monstrous running back might have the production and ‘narrative’ required to capture the 2021 NFL MVP.

Derrick HenryTo Win NFL MVP
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+800
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Kyler MurrayTo Win NFL MVP
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+375
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Kyler Murray leads the field

After a few sub-par statistical weeks, Kyler Murray (+375) threw four touchdowns in a 37-14 win against Cleveland to keep his Cardinals a perfect 6-0 on the season. With 17 total TDs on the season, Murray is one of the league’s most-electrifying players but he’s not a great value now considering the depth of this year’s MVP field. 

Dak Prescott (+400) posted his seventh-career game with 400-plus pass yards and 3-plus passing TDs to lead the Cowboys to a 35-29 victory in New England. Let’s hope his calf strain is healed coming out of Dallas’ Week 7 bye.

Josh Allen (+650) must skip leg days. Buffalo fell to 4-2 when their hulking quarterback couldn’t push his way into the endzone on the final play of Monday night’s loss to the Titans. But with the Dolphins, Jaguars and Jets on the slate following a Week 7 bye, this is a case where you should definitely ‘buy the dip’.

Considering the early-season exploits of Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady, it’s incredible that both barely crack the top-five at +900. Continuing to evolve his game, Jackson is on pace to finish with 4,496 passing yards and 24 touchdowns with 8.4 yards per attempt, while averaging 70+ passing yards more than in his 2019 MVP year.

Meanwhile, Brady leads the NFL in passing yards (2,064) and passing touchdowns (17). If the 44-year-old continues on this pace and the Buccaneers finish with the best record in the league, it will be impossible not to award Brady his fourth-career NFL MVP.

Tom BradyTo Win NFL MVP
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+900
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on delicious eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.