2021 NFL MVP Futures with Football Season Set to Kick Off

  • BetOnline favors Patrick Mahomes (+575) to claim his second-career NFL MVP in 2021
  • Tom Brady (+1400) could win his fourth-career MVP with the Buccaneers fearsome group of pass catchers
  • Baker Mayfield (+1600) is playing behind the best offensive line in the league for a Browns team with Super Bowl aspirations

Aaron Rodgers has won three NFL Most Valuable Player Awards in the past ten seasons- a feat most expect Patrick Mahomes to accomplish over the next decade with the Chiefs.

The 2018 NFL MVP is favored to win the honor again this year, and lead the league in passing yards and passing touchdowns, while the Packers diva quarterback is at +1200, behind Dak Prescott (+650) and Josh Allen (+900).

Let’s take a look at all the 2021 NFL MVP contenders. Here’s also where you can find tips and advice on betting on NFL football games.

2021 NFL MVP Odds

BetOnline
Patrick Mahomes+575
Dak Prescott+650
Josh Allen+900
Aaron Rodgers+1200
Matthew Stafford+1200
Lamar Jackson+1400
Tom Brady+1400
Baker Mayfield+1600
Justin Herbert+1600
Kyler Murray+1800
Russell Wilson+1800
Jameis Winston+2500
Joe Burrow+3300
Ryan Tannehill+3300
Trey Lance+3300
Mac Jones+4000
Matt Ryan+4000
Derrick Henry+5000
Jalen Hurts+5000
Ryan Fitzpatrick+5000
Sam Darnold+5000
Tua Tagovailoa+5000

NFL MVP history

It’s fair to wonder if the NFL MVP will ever be won by a non-quarterback again. The last guy to do so was Vikings running back Adrian Peterson way back in 2007, and neither Christian McCaffrey (joined 1,000-1,000 club in 2019) or Derrick Henry (rushed for 2,000 yards in 2020) came close to getting enough votes the past two seasons despite putting up incredible numbers.

Another thing to keep in mind is that 10 of the last 11 MVPs quarterbacked teams that earned a first-round bye in the playoffs. While that’s likely to change with only one bye per conference available, this year’s winner will almost surely come from a Super Bowl contending team.

Award favorites

Patrick Mahomes (+575) will likely be the favorite for NFL MVP well into his 40’s and you’ll probably turn a profit betting on him every year at these odds. It’s curious to see Dak Prescott (+650) so close behind considering his recent injury woes. While Dak will put up huge numbers if Dallas’ defense doesn’t improve under new coordinator Dan Quinn, it’s unlikely the Cowboys will be among the league’s best teams if this scenario unfolds.

Josh Allen (+900) and Aaron Rodgers (+1200) should have their clubs in contention for a first-round bye, but Matthew Stafford (+1200) is in a tough NFC West division and Lamar Jackson (+1400) may be hamstrung by the J.K. Dobbins injury and a lack of receiving talent.

Tom Brady2021 NFL MVP
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+1400
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Baker Mayfield2021 NFL MVP
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+1600
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MVP best bets

Tom Brady (+1400) threw for 40 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in his first year in Bruce Arians’ offense despite COVID wreaking havoc with NFL training camps last season. Tampa Bay is among the favorites to secure the best record in football in 2021 and the 44-year-old has the best collection of pass catchers (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski) he’s ever had. Since LeBron James always whines about only having four career NBA MVPs, perhaps football’s GOAT should complain about only having three NFL MVPs.

Baker Mayfield (+1600) threw for 1,259 yards, eight touchdowns and one pick in the final four games of the 2020 season. Finally free of Hue Jackson and Freddie Kitchens, the No. 1 overall pick of the 2018 draft is entering year two in Kevin Stefanski’s offense behind the best offensive line in the NFL. With a dominant run game and a much-improved defense, Cleveland will also be in the mix for the AFC’s No. 1 seed – and that bodes well for Baker.

Kyler Murray (+1800) doesn’t quite fit the MVP profile as his Cardinals are expected to finish fourth in their division, but that also gives the diminutive 24-year-old the chance to exceed expectations. Despite playing through a shoulder injury last year, Kyler tossed 26 TDs and ran for another 11. If he takes another leap forward with Rondale Moore and AJ Green added to the receiving mix, Arizona could win the NFC West.

Kyler Murray2021 NFL MVP
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+1800
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Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.