NFL Awards Update With Preseason Underway

  • BetOnline has updated odds for the NFL’s major player awards with the preseason underway
  • Patrick Mahomes (+600) is favored for his second-consecutive MVP
  • Kyler Murray (+160) is the heavy favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year

Every August we’re all reminded not to overreact to the preseason and then, within seconds of getting our first taste of football in six months, we all go hog wild on Twitter and jump to conclusions about every player in the league.

With the real NFL season only weeks away, let’s examine the odds at BetOnline and throw caution to the wind in determining what offensive and defensive players will take home the league’s top individual honors in 2019.

NFL Regular Season MVP

NFL Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes (QB Chiefs) +600
Carson Wentz (QB Eagles) +900
Andrew Luck (QB Colts) +1200
Aaron Rodgers (QB Packers) +1200
Baker Mayfield (QB Browns) +1200
Tom Brady (QB Patriots) +1400
Philip Rivers (QB Chargers) +2000
Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers) +2500
Cam Newton (QB Seahawks) +2500
Deshaun Watson (QB Texans) +2500

Patrick Mahomes vs. The Field

Patrick Mahomes is on every fantasy football “Do Not Draft” list despite throwing 52 touchdowns in 2018.

The gist of the argument is the golden-armed god’s 8.6% touchdown rate is sure to regress because it’s over 2% higher than the career averages of Aaron Rodgers (6.2%), Tom Brady (5.5%) and Drew Brees (5.4%).

While that argument is sound, don’t forget the Chiefs offense was compromised when Kareem Hunt left the team after week 11. Kansas City restocked Andy Reid’s cupboards in the offseason, adding two burners in second-round WR Mecole Hardman and sixth-round RB Darwin Thompson.

With Tyreek Hill escaping suspension, the league’s premier tight end (Travis Kelce) and a healthy-for-now Sammy Watkins, Mahomes remains a strong bet at 6/1.

Best longshots: Ben Roethlisberger (+2500), Cam Newton (+2500)

NFL AP Defensive Player of the Year

NFL Player Odds
Khalil Mack (OLB Bears) +250
Aaron Donald (DT Rams) +300
J.J. Watt (DE Texans) +1000
Von Miller (OLB Broncos) +1200
Joey Bosa (DE Chargers) +2200
Myles Garrett (DE Browns) +2200
Jalen Ramsey (CB Jaguars) +2200
Demarcus Lawrence (DE Cowboys) +2500
Chris Jones (DE Chiefs) +2800
Chandler Jones (LB Cardinals) +3300

Aaron Donald vs. The Field

After posting 12.5 sacks in his first season in Chicago, Khalil Mack will likely continue to make Jon Gruden look stupid in 2019. The Bears superstar is the slight favorite over Rams DT Aaron Donald, who could become the first player ever to win three straight DPOYs.

Look for Browns defensive end Myles Garrett to improve on his 13.5 sacks from last year after former DC Gregg Williams reportedly limited him to just two moves.

Cleveland’s no. 1 overall pick in 2017 is the best value on the board (22/1), but don’t sleep on Super Bowl 50 MVP Von Miller (+1200).

The seven-time Pro Bowler is the biggest chess piece in Vic Fangio’s defense, and both he and the Broncos coach seem to be on the same page.

Best longshots: Derwin James (+3300), Bobby Wagner (+4000)

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

Player Odds
Kyler Murray (QB Cardinals) +160
Darrell Henderson (RB Rams) +700
Dwayne Haskins (QB Redskins) +700
Josh Jacobs (RB Raiders) +800
David Montgomery (RB Bears) +1400
Mecole Hardman (WR Chiefs) +1800
Deebo Samuel (WR 49ers) +2000
Miles Sanders (RB Eagles) +2000
Parris Campbell (WR Colts) +2000
D.K. Metcalf (WR Seahawks) +2500

Kyler Murray vs. The Field

Despite all the hubbub about his true height, Kyler Murray’s rookie-of-the-year odds continue the climb. Displaying accuracy and athleticism in a razor-sharp preseason debut, the diminutive QB should put up video-game numbers in coach Kliff Kingsbury’s Air Raid attack if the Cardinals O-Line can hold up.

While running backs don’t matter, they have won this award in three of the past four years. Following an impressive debut in his own right, Bears third-round pick David Montgomery (+1400) offers superb value, along with Eagles second-round selection Miles Sanders (+2000).

Best longshots: TJ Hockenson (+2800), Daniel Jones (+3300)

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year

Player Odds
Devin White (LB Buccaneers) +600
Devin Bush (LB Steelers) +800
Nick Bosa (DE 49ers) +800
Josh Allen (DE Jaguars) +900
Quinnen Williams (DT Jets) +900
Ed Oliver (DT Bills) +1000
Montez Sweat (LB Redskins) +1200
Brian Burns (DE Panthers) +1600
Clelin Ferrell  (DE Raiders) +1600

Devin White vs. Devin Bush

Selected within five spots of each other in the first round, two inside linebackers named Devin will battle it out for defensive rookie of the year. Peter King predicted White to win the award after visiting Buccaneers camp, but I’ll stick with the prediction I made back in May.

I recommended the Steelers’ Bush at 15/1 and early returns look good after the University of Michigan alum racked up 10 tackles in week 1 of the preseason.

Panthers linebacker and apparent Spider-Man fan Brian Burns is also a nice bet at 16/1 after the athletic freak recorded two sacks in his first preseason action.

Best longshots: Juan Thornhill (+2800), Rock Ya-Sin (+2800)

 

Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.