Super Bowl 54 Odds Update After 1st Round Of NFL Draft

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes — Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs look like one of the worst value bets in the updated Super Bowl 54 futures. (Photo credit: Jeffrey Beall CC License.)

Bovada has updated Super Bowl 54 odds following Round One of the 2019 NFL Draft
Chiefs are a bad bet at 7/1 with Tyreek Hill poised for a long-term suspension
Eagles (14/1), Steelers (22/1), Vikings (22/1) and Panthers (55/1) all improved after day one

While the 2019 NFL Draft offered spectacular fashion choices, awkward stage encounters with commissioner Roger Goodell, and plenty of intrigue, it didn’t exactly have the biggest impact on Super Bowl 54 odds. Why? Because the very nature of the draft means that football’s worst teams have all the top picks.

Given that we can all agree the Cardinals, Giants and Raiders won’t be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy anytime soon, let’s ignore the top two QBs off the board (Kyler Murray and Daniel Jones), as well as all three of Oakland’s first-round picks, and instead focus on the day-one selections who could turn teams into championship contenders. But first, the updated odds from Bovada.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 54 (2020)

Teams	Super Bowl 54 Futures at Bovada (April. 26, 2019)
Kansas City Chiefs	+700
New England Patriots	+700
Los Angeles Rams	+900
New Orleans Saints	+900
Chicago Bears	+1200
Cleveland Browns	+1200
Philadelphia Eagles	+1400
Indianapolis Colts	+1600
Los Angeles Chargers	+1600
Dallas Cowboys	+2000
Green Bay Packers	+2200
Minnesota Vikings	+2200
Pittsburgh Steelers	+2200
Houston Texans	+2500
San Francisco 49ers	+2500
Seattle Seahawks	+2500
Baltimore Ravens	+3000
Jacksonville Jaguars	+3500
Atlanta Falcons	+3500
Carolina Panthers	+5500
Denver Broncos	+6000
Oakland Raiders	+6600
Tennessee Titans	+7000
New York Giants	+7500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+7500
New York Jets	+8000
Detroit Lions	+9000
Arizona Cardinals	+10000
Buffalo Bills	+10000
Cincinnati Bengals	+15000
Miami Dolphins	+15000
Washington Redskins	+15000

Kansas City Chiefs (+700)

The Chiefs traded their first-round pick (and much more) to Seattle on Tuesday in exchange for defensive end Frank Clark. While the move signaled the franchise is in “win now” mode with superstar Patrick Mahomes on a rookie contract, a massive setback came on Thursday when a Kansas City news station aired an audio recording that will almost surely get irreplaceable speed demon Tyreek Hill suspended.

The Chiefs have told Tyreek Hill he will not be a part of team activities until more is known about the audio recording that surfaced in his son’s abuse case.

More on that here: https://t.co/eMWHnLHNMS

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) April 26, 2019

New England Patriots (+700)

Here’s an interesting tidbit from the NFL Network’s Michael Giardi: For the first time under Bill Belichick, the Patriots used a first-round selection on a wide receiver, grabbing Arizona State’s N’Keal Harry. With 12 picks in this year’s draft, including five in rounds 2 and 3 combined, look for New England to keep revamping their Gronk-less offense.

Eagles (+1400) and Vikings (+2200)

Picking offensive lineman never sells a lot of jerseys, but it’s what smart teams do. Philadelphia traded two late-round picks to jump ahead of the Texans and steal Andre Dillard, the eventual replacement for legendary left tackle Jason Peters.

Howie being Howie.

No offensive lineman in this draft put more pass-protection snaps on tape than Andre Dillard, and @PFF_College graded him as the No. 1 pass-protection player in the nation in 2018.

Proved it in a huge sample size.#Eagles

— Evan Silva (@evansilva) April 26, 2019

Meanwhile, in Minnesota, Gary Kubiak is now running the show on offense (don’t let his official title fool you). The center position is key to the legendary coach’s zone-blocking scheme, and Garrett Bradbury just so happened to be the top-rated player at the position AND one of Kubiak’s “favorite guys in the whole draft.”

Steelers (+2200) and Panthers (+5500)

Pittsburgh is now without both Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell, but the franchise’s biggest setback in recent years was losing Ryan Shazier to a serious spine injury in 2017. Well, they may have finally found his replacement, drafting explosive linebacker Devin Bush at #10 after shipping a 2nd and 3rd round pick to Denver to move up ten spots. Already one of my best bets to exceed their expected win total, the Steelers should not be counted out in the AFC North.

Steelers definitely saw Devin Bush’s outfit and traded up ?? pic.twitter.com/gecZh9CAHT

— Kristine Leahy (@KristineLeahy) April 26, 2019

Considering Carolina looked like one of the league’s best teams before Cam Newton suffered a shoulder injury last season, it might be worth flagging that they’re currently available at 55/1 to win the Super Bowl. After beefing up their offensive line in free agency, GM Marty Hurney grabbed speedy edge rusher Brian Burns at #16 to bolster a defense that was bottom-six in sacks and bottom-two in QB hits last season.