Vegas Golden Knights Set For Home Victory Over Buffalo Sabres

  • What? Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights
  • When? Tuesday, March 17, 2026
  • Where? T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

On Tuesday, the Buffalo Sabres (41-20-6) travel to T-Mobile Arena to face the Vegas Golden Knights (31-22-14). Let’s delve into the odds and try and find some value betting picks.

Below are the NHL betting lines from three of the best NHL Hockey betting sites.

NHLBetOnline Sportsbook & Casino Review 2026SportsBetting.ag Sportsbook Review 2026Everygame Sportsbook Review 2026
Buffalo Sabres+110+110+106
Vegas Golden Knights-125-125-126
Buffalo Sabres +1.5-220-220-225
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5+186+186+185
Over 6.5-106-106-105
Under 6.5-110-110-115

Buffalo Sabres

Buffalo delivered a respectable performance in its previous outing, settling for a 2-2 draw against the Maple Leafs. The Sabres racked up 15 minutes in penalties, converted once on four power-play chances, and struggled to fully capitalize offensively, scoring twice on 33 shots.

This season, Buffalo has faced 181 opposing power plays, ranking 25th in the NHL, and conceded 31 goals in those situations. Defensively, they have dealt with 1,978 shots and carry a .899 save percentage. On the attacking side, the Sabres have fired 1,888 shots with a 12.2% conversion rate. At five-on-five, they have scored 189 goals while allowing 169. Their power play has produced 42 goals from 203 opportunities, good for a 20.69% success rate. Overall, Buffalo has collected 88 points, translating to a .657 points percentage. Offensively, they have been among the league’s best with 231 goals scored, while conceding 200.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is expected to start in goal. Over his career, he has allowed 520 goals, posting a 2.95 goals-against average. He has appeared in 181 games, including 176 starts, and owns a record of 86-73-17. Across 8,277 minutes of action, he has registered a .899 save percentage. Luukkonen has recorded 96 quality starts, giving him a 54.5% quality start rate, while stopping 4,616 of the 5,136 shots he has faced.

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas enters this matchup off a dominant 4-0 victory over the Blackhawks, converting four of their 32 shots on goal. They also made their presence felt on the power play, capitalizing twice from five opportunities.

At even strength, the Golden Knights have produced 171 goals, while their power play has added 48 more, ranking sixth in the league. Vegas has registered 1,904 shots this season, good for 10th overall, and holds an 11.5% shooting rate, while allowing 1,649 shots against. On the year, they have scored 219 goals, earned 76 points, and carry a .567 points percentage. Defensively, they have conceded 203 goals, with 174 coming at even strength and 29 while shorthanded. Their power play has converted at a 25.53% clip on 188 chances, while their penalty kill stands at 82.32% across 164 opposing opportunities. The team’s overall save percentage sits at 87.7%.

Adin Hill is expected to patrol the crease. He has stopped 4,875 of the 5,381 shots he has faced, resulting in a .906 save percentage. Hill owns a career record of 104-70-16 across 205 appearances, including 192 starts, and has logged 9,902 minutes. His quality start rate stands at 51.0%, with 98 quality starts recorded. Over his career, he has allowed 506 goals, with opponents averaging 2.64 goals per game against him.

Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Betting Picks

Vegas looks well-positioned to come out on top in this matchup, driven by their balanced scoring and special teams edge. The Golden Knights have been highly effective on the power play, converting at an elite rate, which could prove decisive against a Buffalo penalty kill that has been vulnerable at times. At even strength, Vegas has shown the ability to control shot volume and dictate the pace, while their recent 4-0 win highlights the team’s current momentum and defensive structure. In goal, Adin Hill provides a steady presence with a stronger save percentage than Buffalo’s team mark, giving Vegas an advantage between the pipes. When combining their offensive depth, special teams efficiency, and goaltending stability, the Golden Knights have the tools to secure the win on home ice.

Vegas Golden KnightsTo Beat Buffalo Sabres
★★★★★
-125
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Buffalo has been one of the NHL’s most productive offensive teams, ranking near the top of the league in total goals and converting chances at a strong rate. They also allow a fair number defensively, which creates a higher-event profile overall. Their goaltending and team save percentage (.899) are solid but not elite, leaving room for opponents to contribute on the scoreboard.

Vegas brings balance, with efficient scoring at both even strength and on the power play, where they rank among the league’s better units. They’ve also shown the ability to generate consistent shot volume. However, their overall team save percentage (87.7%) is a concern and suggests vulnerability in net despite Adin Hill’s respectable individual numbers.

With Buffalo’s attacking strength, Vegas’ power-play efficiency, and both teams showing defensive leaks at times, this matchup profiles as one where chances should convert at both ends. That combination makes the over 6.5 the more appealing angle.

Over 6.5Buffalo Sabres v Vegas Golden Knights
★★★★★
-105
Bet now

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