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- President Donald Trump’s approval rating is falling with men
- Trump’s handling of the economy and the Signal group chat leak were reasons for the drop
- A 90-day pause on most tariffs could help raise Trump’s popularity
Donald Trump won the 2024 election with 77,284,118 votes. His opponent, Kamala Harris, earned 74,999,166 votes. The number of votes that put Trump in office for a second term was the second-highest number cast for President since Joe Bidden earned 81,284,666 votes in 2020. Trump’s percentage of voters was 49.8, compared to Harris’s 48.3. Trump had 312 Electoral College votes, six more than Biden earned in 2020 but 20 less than Barack Obama had in 2012. The most Electoral College votes ever came in 1936 when Franklin Delano Roosevelt earned a landslide victory with 523 votes. Trump might have declared a landslide and a mandate from the public, but he earned the fifth-smallest margin of victory in the 32 presidential elections since 1900.
When Trump took office for his second term, his approval rating was 47 percent, higher than the 45 percent he earned at the start of his first term. However, that approval rating was the second lowest for any president inaugurated since 1953. In the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, which spanned three days in March and concluded on what Trump termed “Liberation Day” when he announced sweeping tariffs, the president’s approval rating was 43 percent.
With the pause in tariffs now on the table and the stock market gaining back some of its losses, the question is, where will Trump’s approval rating be on May 1?
Before we look at the betting odds, picks, predictions, and breakdown of President Trump’s approval rating, here’s where you can find the best Political Betting Sites and view all our latest Politics betting picks.
President Trump’s approval rating on May 1, 2025 betting picks
| Trump Approval on May 1 |  |  |  |
| Under 45 Percent | +125 | +125 | +125 |
| 45-45.99 Percent | +250 | +200 | +200 |
| 46-46.99 Percent | +300 | +250 | +250 |
| 47-47.99 Percent | +600 | +500 | +500 |
| 48-48.99 Percent | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| 49-49.99 Percent | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
| 50 Percent or Higher | +20000 | +10000 | +10000 |
President Trump’s overall approval ratings
The drop to 43 percent in the Reuters/Ipsos poll is Trump’s lowest number since he took office in January. His approval fell two points from the previous survey, which occurred between March 21-23. Trump’s highest number in that poll came during the early days of his first term when he hit 49 percent. His lowest number was in December 2017, when his approval dipped to 33 percent. While Trump’s approval has taken a hit, today’s number is still higher than it was for most of his first term.
According to the poll, “Respondents gave Trump poor marks for his handling of the economy, which 37% approved of, with 30% approving of his work to address the high cost of living, an issue that also dogged Biden.” Most people (52 percent) thought that tariffs would “hurt people close to them” and that tariffs would “do more harm than good.”
Seventy-four percent of Reuters/Ipsos poll respondents said discussing military operations on Signal was “reckless.” Trump’s approval on foreign policy was down to 34 percent.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,486 adult Americans, which comes with a three percent margin of error.
President Trump’s overall approval ratings – Dow Jones
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 44,025.81 the day after Trump took office. That number fell severely following the announcement of tariffs. When the market closed on April 8, it was down to 37,645.59. The four-day dip the Dow Jones went through ending on April 8 was the worst four-day decline for the market since March 2020. With the announcement of the 90-day pause in tariffs, the market rebounded on April 9, closing the day at 40,608.45, which recovered some of the losses from that four-day fall. On April 2, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 42,225.32.
President Trump’s overall approval ratings with men
A poll from YouGov/Economist from April 5-8 saw President Trump’s approval rating with men hit 48 percent, which is higher than his overall approval rating. However, in the previous version of that poll, Trump’s rating was at 51 percent, which was also down from his 55 percent approval with men between March 22-25.
Best Bets: President Trump’s approval rating on May 1, 2025
Uncertainty is the biggest issue affecting President Trump’s popularity heading into May 1. Although the president has paused most tariffs, he has not lifted them. While that will buoy the markets temporarily, the fact that Trump might reinstate the tariffs means there will be some trust issues in the markets, especially considering how much value the market lost during the four-day fall. If the tariffs are lifted, expect an upsurge in Trump’s approval. However, as of this writing, it doesn’t look like that will be the case.
The betting pick is for President Trump’s approval rating to be 45 percent or below on May 1, 2025.
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