Blues to defeat Chiefs in Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final on Saturday

  • The Blues are 5.5-point favorites over the Chiefs in the Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final
  • Patrick Tuipulotu will make a surprise return to the field after suffering a knee injury in the quarter-finals 
  • Eden Park, Auckland will host the title-decider on Saturday, June 22, 2024 

The Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final is once again an all-Kiwi affair with the Blues facing the Chiefs. Clayton McMillan’s squad stunned the top-ranked Hurricanes 30-19 in last week’s semifinals while the Blues defeated the ACT Brumbies 34-20, extending Australia’s title game drought to 10 years.

Who will take home the championship on Saturday? Before we look at the odds, check out the top Rugby Betting Sites in 2024 and get all our Rugby Betting picks.

Blues vs Chiefs

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Chiefs+5½ (-115)+178Ov 48½ (-115)
Blues-5½ (-115)-218Un 48½ (-115)

Tuipuloto’s shock return

Looking for their first fully-fledged Super Rugby title in 21 years, the Blues will get to host the final at a sold-out Eden Park on Saturday thanks to the top-seeded Hurricanes losing in the semi-finals.

Patrick Tuipulotu was expected to be out for seven weeks after injuring his knee in the quarter-finals against Fijian Drua two weeks ago. However, the Blues captain was cleared to play on Tuesday after testing his knee in practice.

Chiefs injury concerns

The Chiefs are looking to secure their first championship since winning back-to-back titles in 2012 and 2013. Based in Hamilton, the team knocked off the No. 1 seed Hurricanes in a semi-final thriller. After getting their first road win in the Super Rugby playoffs in five tries, can they do it again?

Unfortunately, All Blacks hooker Samisoni Taukei’aho was lost to a leg injury last week. Head coach Clayton McMillan named a surprise replacement in third-string hooker Tyrone Thompson. The good news for the Chiefs is that All Blacks flyer Shaun Stevenson will return from a a hamstring injury after being a late scratch ahead of the semi-finals.

The Bluesto win vs Chiefs
★★★★★
-218
Bet now
UNDER 48.5Blues vs Chiefs
★★★★★
-115
Bet now

Blues vs Chiefs

The Blues are -5.5 point home favorites and -218 to win straight up, while the Chiefs are +178 on the money line. Oddsmakers have set the over/under at 48.5 total points. 

Vern Cotter’s club defeated the Chiefs 31-17 just three weeks ago in the last round of the regular season. Additionally, the Blues have only lost four of their last 36 matches at Eden Park, and all those were to the Crusaders.

Best Bet

We favor the UNDER 48.5 (-115) as only one Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final in the last seven years has exceed that point total. We also like the Auckland Blues to cover (-5.5), returning the franchise to glory with their first championship in two decades.

The Bluesto cover vs Chiefs
★★★★★
-5.5
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills