The dust has not long settled on France’s 2022 Six Nations Grand Slam, but even though the French proved they were the superior team in the northern hemisphere, the bookmakers are split on whether or not the new European champions France, or New Zealand are the favorites for the 2023 World Cup.
- Competition; 2023 Rugby World Cup
- Host Nation; France
- Dates; Friday, September 8th, 2023 – Saturday, October 28th, 2023
Yes, the best rugby betting sites seem to be split on who is their favorite to win the 2023 Rugby World Cup. For example, MyBookie has the world’s most successful rugby team, New Zealand as their +200 betting favorites to win the World Cup, while BetOnline has installed the dominant French as their +225 betting favorite.
2023 Rugby World Cup Latest Betting Odds
One thing is for certain, and that is that the best odds on France are long gone. If you think Fabien Galthiè’s team will win next year’s competition, you can only get somewhere between +225 and +300 on the hosts winning the trophy for the first time. I don’t see the +300 on France lasting forever, and it might be worth grabbing soon if you’re having a world cup futures bet on them.
The all-conquering All Blacks are +200 with MyBookie and +260 with BetOnline.
|Latest 2023 Rugby Union World Cup Winner Odds|
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Elsewhere, BetOnline has both England and South Africa at +600. The finalists from 2019 are both looking a touch short of the form they showed at the previous world cup. But with just over 12 months to go, they could both yet still make significant improvements.
And on their day, they both still have the beating of anybody in the world. MyBookie makes England +350, and South Africa +450.
In-Form French Slowly Building Self-Belief
When it comes to the French, it seems like the oddsmakers are stuck between two schools of thought. Do we favor the current form team in world rugby? Or the team who are traditionally the best side in world rugby, and know-how to get the job done?
And I can fully understand this dilemma. Because despite the French looking to most observers like the world champions-elect, the truth of the matter is we won’t know how they are going to live with that pressure until they find themselves in that world cup cauldron taking on the legendary All Blacks.
As things stand, if the two sides were theoretically going to play in a one-off match tomorrow, I think France would win. Put the two sides together in a world cup semi-final, or even final, and it’s a different ball game.
A different mindset takes over. One where New Zealand expects to win, and one where France does what? Enters with the same expectancy as the All Blacks? Or a mindset where they simply hope they can win? If it’s the latter, I think the French lose.
This is why completing the grand Slam was so important for France. Because if they couldn’t beat their own hemisphere’s nations, they couldn’t take that self-belief into the World Cup that’s required to see off all comers.
And it will be all comers, as there will be more than just the All Blacks standing in their way next year.
Main Obstacles to France winning the 2023 World Cup
So who are the main obstacles standing in the way of France, and their chances of winning the William Webb Ellis Trophy for the first time? And are any of their main rivals viable rugby picks? Let’s take a look.
New Zealand; The real deal, or living off past glories?
The usual favorite heading into any World Cup is New Zealand. It’s rare, almost unheard of, for the All Blacks not to be considered an almost banker bet heading into any global rugby competition.
Even though they might not have the global superstars of yesteryear, the All Blacks have still won the Rugby Championship in 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2021. The only year they didn’t win it in this period was 2019. South Africa was victorious in this edition, but due to the upcoming World Cup, there were only 6 matches played, as opposed to the usual 12. In 2020 there was no tournament.
South Africa; Can the Defending Champs Find Form?
The Boks are in a period of transition. They were third in the 2021 Rugby Championship, but even in what was a disappointing tournament for them, they still managed to beat New Zealand.
A lot will depend on how the defending champions shape up in this year’s Rugby Championship.
England; Stuttering England look in Disarray
The English team was heavily criticized for their display in the 2022 Six Nations. Eddie Jones’ team underperformed and finished third in the table, and it was a distant third.
The optimists in the England camp suggest the team is on track to peak in autumn 2023. But the jury is still well and truly out on that observation.
Ireland; Still look one or two players short
The Irish – at times – looked the part in the recent Six Nations. They had a small chance of beating France in Paris but ultimately fell short.
While against England at Twickenham, they made hard work of beating an England team that had to play with 14 men from just the 2nd minute. Ireland is dangerous, but they still look short of the quality required to win a world cup.