Ireland shocked the world of rugby union last Saturday by winning in New Zealand for the first time in their history, so with the series now standing at 1-1, we have some free rugby union betting picks for the final and deciding match this weekend.
Beware the wounded All Blacks. They are not a team to suffer defeat and then go into their shells and sulk. The All Blacks are the sort of team that comes out doubly determined the following week to set the record straight.
So when they face the Irish in Wellington this weekend, Ireland will know what is coming. The question is, can the Irish deal with it? Here’s what the best rugby betting sites think.
|New Zealand v Ireland 3rd Test Odds|
|New Zealand -10.5||-115||N/A|
|New Zealand -8.5||N/A||-125|
New Zealand v Ireland; The Story So Far
Right, so to have an idea of what’s going to happen in the 3rd Test this Saturday, first we need to take a brief look back at the first two Test matches.
1st Test – New Zealand 42-19 Ireland
Maybe it was harsh to say Ireland shocked the rugby world in the opening sentence of this article. Because despite the one-sided look in the scoreline of the first match, the Irish gave New Zealand a taste of what was to come later in the series in the opening match at Eden Park.
— Irish Rugby (@IrishRugby) July 2, 2022
The Irish started like a train and raced into a 5-0 lead with an early try after just 7 minutes. Andy Farrell’s team did find themselves 28-5 down at half-time, as the All Blacks roared back.
But even then, Farrell’s Ireland team didn’t give in and got the game back to 28-12. But ultimately, New Zealand finished the stronger of the two sides and ran out comfortable winners.
Despite the result looking like a walkover for New Zealand, they would have left the game realizing the Irish were up for the battle, and also that the boys in green possessed the belief that they could finally win on Kiwi soil.
2nd Test – New Zealand 12-23 Ireland
Moving onto the second match at Dunedin, and this was Ireland’s time. Again the Irish started fast, clearly a ploy, and this time they raced into a 10-0 lead. The Irish didn’t let up though and the pressure they placed on the Kiwis resulted in two yellow cards, with Ireland rightly feeling that the second infringement should have led to a penalty try.
The game completely swung in Ireland’s favor after Angus Ta’avao received a straight red card on the 30 minutes mark. Many will rightly or wrongly say this is the only reason why Ireland won the match. But that’s irrelevant in my view as Ireland was dominating at the time of the red card. And along with all rugby fans across the world, the Irish players know this New Zealand side isn’t as good as some that have gone before and are beatable.
Live text commentary ⤵️
— BBC SPORT NI (@BBCSPORTNI) July 9, 2022
Put simply, Ireland deserved their win. As we saw in Australia the previous week, good rugby teams can perform with 14 men. The Aussies beat England in similar circumstances. So no red card can take away from the Irish team’s achievements.
New Zealand v Ireland; What, Where, and When!
Regrettably, for all of us in the Eastern Time zone, this kick-off time is a stinker. Depending on the type of character you are, you can either stay up late or set an extremely early alarm call as kick-off is at 3.05 am ET.
- What; New Zealand v Ireland 3rd Test
- Where; Sky Stadium, Wellington, New Zealand
- When; Saturday, July 16th, 2022
- Time; 3.05 am ET
Rugby Picks; It has to be New Zealand!
Right, time for our rugby picks, and Ireland has now beaten the all-conquering New Zealand in four of the last seven encounters between the two sides. Two of the wins came in Dublin, one on neutral ground at Soldier Field in Chicago (yes, that’s right), and then last week in Dunedin.
The fact that three of those four wins for Ireland have come outside of New Zealand is relevant though. Yes, Ireland is capable of winning in New Zealand, they’ve proved that just last Saturday. It doesn’t mean they’re going to do it again though.
The reason why the All Blacks don’t lose many at home is that they are a darn good side and they intimidate the opposition with not only their skills and strength but also their reputation.
Yes, they’re not the All Blacks of recent, but they don’t have to be as good as previous teams to still be able to beat international opposition on home soil. Ireland is capable, but I don’t see them repeating the win. So my betting pick is a win for New Zealand.
On the Moneyline, New Zealand is available at -350 with BetOnline which is pretty good odds in my view. But if you want better odds, try the handicap line with XBet, where they have the All Blacks at -125 starting with a -8.5 points handicap.
Check out our XBet Review for more great betting offers.
If you do think Ireland can pull off another win, then rather than back them on the handicap, just go straight to the Moneyline where they are +295 with XBet.
With the odds like this, you could even back the Kiwis on the handicap and place a small cover bet on Ireland, and then you would only lose out if New Zealand wins by 8 or fewer points.