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The premier fixture of the weekend in English soccer takes place on Sunday as Arsenal meets Chelsea. The top-4 sides meet with the title essentially out of the picture, but still with plenty to play for. Chelsea must fend off Man City to earn Champions League qualification in 2025, which would mark their first appearance in the competition since 2022. Read on for an expert Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction and explore stats and a breakdown of Chelsea next manager betting odds.
- English Premier League
- Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC
- Sunday, March 16, 2025
- 9:30 AM EST
- Emirates Stadium, London, England
- Peacock
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Top Online Sportsbooks
Arsenal are odds-on favorites at Emirates Stadium despite their recent skid. The Gunners are (-122), making an implied probability to win 55%. Chelsea bettors can enjoy a payout as high as (+353). A draw is lined at (+270).
Premier League 
Arsenal -122 -128 -125 Chelsea +353 +341 +330 Draw +279 +274 +280
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and access Premier League 2025 betting odds.
Arsenal FC Matches: Poor String of Domestic Results
A draw to Ruben Amorim’s Man United means Arsenal are now winless in their last three domestic matches. Preceding their trip to Old Trafford was a scoreless draw to Nottm Forest (go figure) and a loss to West Ham. That home defeat to their London rivals was surely disappointing, but it was a controversial red card to Myles Lewis-Skelly that tipped the scales in West Ham’s favor. That sending-off courtesy of referee Michael Oliver became the talk of the town for the rest of the week, amplified by Oliver’s growing reputation for misjudged offenses.
My essential point in highlighting that setback for Arsenal is that all three of those performances are somewhat excusable. Going into Old Trafford or the City Ground and coming home victorious is not easy, and Arsenal was able to secure draws in both. Obviously winning a title requires greatness, but when evaluating a club (especially from a betting perspective, it’s imperative to consider the circumstances.
In regards to Arsenal’s infirmary, Bukayo Saka’s timeline to return has accelerated. The winger is now expected to return a few weeks after the March international break, potentially even in time for Arsenal’s Champions League quarter-finals matchup with Real Madrid. While Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz and Takehiro Tomeyasu have all been confirmed out for the rest of the season, Gabriel Martinelli returned last week.
Chelsea Next Manager Betting: Why Maresca May be on the Hot Seat
Despite a potential European title through the Conference League and sitting pretty on the domestic table, fans are not convinced. Chelsea supporters, with perennially high expectations, seem to believe manager Enzo Maresca could do better. Whether or not those lofty ambitions could ever be satiated is a reasonable question to ask, but the situation is clear: Maresca will never feel truly safe in charge of this club, one known for its managerial impatience.
In an effort to ensure stability within the locker room, Chelsea director Jonathan Goldstein reassured Maresca publicly. The Blues executive stated to English media Maresca is “100% safe” in his current position despite title aspirations falling through upon the turn of the new year. Goldstein added “[Enzo]’s doing a great job.”
Even Maresca himself, during Chelsea’s brilliant start to the season, tempered expectations of his team. A top-four finish was always the goal from the beginning and any title hopes were overly optimistic. It seems his prediction has rang true. This upcoming match against Arsenal represents a chance to leap the club into 3rd in the division, yet out of the title race.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Expert Arsenal Betting Pick
Both these sides played this midweek in European action, with Arsenal playing PSV and Chelsea against Copenhagen. Arsenal will enjoy an extra day of rest compared to their visitors, however, as they played on Wednesday in the Champions League. Arsenal also had the opportunity to rest a vast majority of their players after taking a 7-1 aggregate lead into their home leg.
The Gunners have had a poor stretch of performances recently, bad enough to boot them out of the title conversation. But you have to feel for them, as an injury bug took out key attacking players. That has forced Arteta to play Mikel Merino as a striker, a player accustomed to a more defensive position in the midfield. Former Chelsea player Raheem Sterling has also enjoyed more pitch time out on the right wing.
My numbers have Arsenal as (-195) favorites here, so it’s a no-brainer pick on the Gunners. They have the rest advantage and are being slighted by the public after failing to win three Premier League matches on the bounce. That is likely factoring into the reduced odds, giving us value to fade the public narrative.
Despite all the injuries, go with Arsenal to win at (-122) at BetOnline. We are getting a discount on the 2nd-best team in England for what is likely a small blip in their form.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
Top Sportsbooks for Chelsea Next Manager Betting
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