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The Bundesliga’s marquee fixture returns to the Allianz Arena as Bayern Munich welcomes Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker on Matchday 7. Both teams enter this clash unbeaten, with Bayern leading the table on 18 points while Dortmund trails by four points in second place. Vincent Kompany’s side has also made a perfect start with 10 consecutive wins across all competitions, setting a new club record. This encounter represents the 138th meeting between Germany’s most storied rivals, making it the most-played fixture in Bundesliga history. Read on for an expert Bayern vs Dortmund prediction and explore stats and tips for Bundesliga betting in 2025.
- German Bundesliga
- Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
- Saturday, October 18, 2025
- 12:30 PM EST
- Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
- ESPN
Bayern vs Dortmund Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?
Bayern Munich enters this critical match as prohibitive favorites. The moneyline sees Bayern priced around (-300) while Dortmund sits at (+695) for the upset victory. The total goals market is set at 3.5 with slight juice toward the over, indicating expectations for an attacking spectacle. Early betting action has seen the spread move from -1 to -1.5, suggesting informed money believes Bayern will win by multiple goals.
Bundesliga 
Bayern -300 -300 -300 Dortmund +695 +675 +675 Draw +475 +460 +460
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting lines and explore our guide on Bundesliga betting in 2025.
Bayern’s Unstoppable Attack Led by Record-Breaking Kane
Harry Kane continues his remarkable Bundesliga journey with 11 goals from just six matches, establishing a new record for most goals scored in the opening six matchdays. The English striker has found the net seven times in eight previous Klassiker appearances, making him a nightmare for Dortmund’s defense. Bayern’s attacking trio of Kane, Luis Díaz, and Michael Olise has combined for 43 shots already this season. The Bavarians have scored 25 goals in six league games, the most ever recorded by any team through the first six matchdays of a Bundesliga campaign.
Vincent Kompany has transformed Bayern into an unstoppable force, reaching 100 points as a Bundesliga coach in just 40 games. Only Pep Guardiola achieved this milestone faster, doing so in 39 fixtures during his legendary tenure at Bayern. The Belgian’s 4-2-3-1 formation has created perfect balance, with his team averaging 2.5 points and 3.1 goals per game. Bayern has kept five consecutive clean sheets at the Allianz Arena, going 465 minutes without conceding a goal on home soil.
Kovač’s Tactical Flexibility Creates Multiple Threats
Serhou Guirassy brings elite pedigree to this fixture, having outscored Kane in last season’s Champions League with 13 goals compared to Kane’s 11. The Guinean striker has netted four goals in five Bundesliga appearances but remains goalless in his two previous Klassiker encounters. Karim Adeyemi provides pace and creativity from wide positions, recently winning September’s Goal of the Month award with a thunderous strike clocked at 126 km/h. The former Bayern academy product has contributed three goals and three assists in his last six appearances, showing excellent form heading into this crucial clash.
Niko Kovač has implemented a dynamic 3-4-2-1 system that maximizes Dortmund’s attacking options across multiple positions. Wing-backs Daniel Svensson and Yan Couto have contributed two goals each while providing width in the final third. Maximilian Beier offers versatility as both a supporting striker and wide threat, having already scored against Bayern in April’s 2-2 draw. The 22-year-old has started five Bundesliga games alongside Guirassy, creating a potent partnership that could trouble Bayern’s defense.
Bayern boasts the Bundesliga’s stingiest backline with just three goals conceded, while Dortmund follows closely with four goals allowed. Kompany’s tactical discipline has transformed Bayern from an attacking-minded team into a complete unit that dominates both phases, while Dortmund’s defensive improvements under Kovač have provided the foundation for their unbeaten start to the campaign.
Bayern vs Dortmund Prediction: Free Expert Bundesliga Betting Pick
Both clubs continue their tradition of developing exceptional young talent, with several prospects poised for breakthrough performances in their first Klassiker. Aleksandar Pavlović represents Bayern’s most promising academy graduate, pushing Leon Goretzka for a starting role in central midfield. Jobe Bellingham has impressed since arriving from Sunderland, earning more minutes than Bayern’s resident midfield prodigy despite fierce competition. These emerging talents add unpredictability to a fixture already loaded with established stars and tactical intrigue.
Bayern dominates the all-time head-to-head record with 67 wins compared to Dortmund’s 33 victories across 137 previous meetings. However, the Bavarians have failed to beat their rivals in the last three encounters, managing two draws and one defeat. This recent struggle against Dortmund represents the primary motivation for Kompany’s side to reassert their dominance. The psychological pressure of ending this mini-drought could provide additional motivation for Bayern’s players.
Sharp line movement from -1 to -1.5 indicates professional bettors expect Bayern to win convincingly at home. My own expected goals projections strongly favor the Bavarians, who have consistently outperformed opponents in underlying metrics this season. Bayern’s perfect record combined with their fortress-like home form makes them good value at (-118) for the -1.5 spread. The combination of Kane’s Klassiker expertise and Kompany’s tactical superiority should prove decisive against a Dortmund side still finding their rhythm.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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