The 2022 World Cup promises to be a tournament like no other, but it is perennial contenders Brazil who look like the best pick at this point.
Who do Bettors Favor?
The World Cup kicks off on November 21 but there are already plenty of betting markets available with the top online sportsbooks. They haven’t appeared in any of the last four World Cup finals, but Brazil are always a danger and it is no surprise to see them at the top of the outright futures market. Holders France are also prominent, while England and Spain are close behind.
At bigger odds, you can take a chance on four-time winners Germany and Italy while two teams who have never won it: Belgium and the Netherlands, are also among the favorites.
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Key Betting Brief for World Cup 2022
Every World Cup offers something unique to the football fan but this year’s tournament is more unusual than most. The tournament will be played in the middle of the European season, in the nation of Qatar, where temperatures are likely to hit 90 degrees Fahrenheit.
It can be a mistake to generalize about climate preferences when it comes to international football, but if you’re looking for a precedent, USA 1994 could be a good one. European teams struggled with the heat in that tournament, which was won by Brazil, although teams will not be facing the combined heat and altitude problems that characterized the 1986 and 1970 World Cups in Mexico.
Of the 18 World Cups staged in Europe or Central/South America, 16 have been won by nations from that region, but in tournaments held elsewhere, the picture isn’t so clear. Brazil won in the USA in 1994 and again in Japan and South Korea in 2002, while Spain lifted the Cup in South Africa in 2010.
Who will Win the World Cup 2022?
This World Cup promises to be extremely unusual but the history of the tournament does not suggest we should expect an unusual winner. While the European Championship might produce surprises, the World Cup is usually won by the best team in the competition, though not necessarily the top team in the world.
The heat will have a significant impact this time, and I don’t think many of the European teams will relish it. Germany is still in the midst of a transition, while Belgium have a habit of falling short in the major tournaments and England has yet to show they can harness their young talent to win an international tournament.
Considering their wealth of quality, France must be considered, but given the previous history of French collapse at big events, gamblers may be hesitant to go all-in on Didier Deschamps’ team at such low odds.
With Argentina not at their best and none of the African nations showing much promise, this tournament looks like an ideal opportunity for Brazil to win for the sixth time. They’ve already overcome one lengthy trophy drought, by winning the 2019 Copa America after a 12-year wait, and they’ve breezed through the CONMEBOL qualification campaign, winning 12 out of 15 games and scoring 32 goals.
If you want to hedge your bets, Spain is the most probable European option. They won’t be as affected by the heat as many of their European counterparts, and, more crucially, they’re in the midst of a rebuilding period that has seen them effectively develop the next generation of youthful talent. It’s conceivable that we won’t see their best until the 2024 Euros, but they have the potential to go all the way in this tournament, and if they go on a run, they’ll be difficult to stop.
Which Teams will Qualify for the World Cup?
Usually, by this point in the World Cup cycle, the full list of qualified teams will have been confirmed and the draw for the Group Stage made, but with the tournament being staged in November, there are still some qualifying issues to be resolved.
At the time of writing, 15 teams have already qualified, including Qatar, who qualify as hosts, leaving 17 more places up for grabs. Of the more significant qualification issues yet to be decided, there will be three more qualifying teams from Europe produced by the ten-team qualifying round which has pitted Italy and Portugal together in the same bracket, so one of those two nations will not be going to Qatar.
An interesting bet in the Qualifying Futures market could be Wales. They have been bracketed with Austria, Scotland and Ukraine and would feel confident of matching any of those teams, particularly if Gareth Bale is fit and at his best. At their current odds, they look a good bet.
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