Champions League Betting – Arsenal at FC Barcelona

Arsenal (+1100) at FC Barcelona (-400), Draw (+600)

Let’s be honest, the result of Barcelona and Arsenal’s Round of 16 playoff isn’t in doubt. Barca made sure of that when they left the Emirates with a 2-0 win three short weeks ago. But the second leg (today at 2:45 PM at the Camp Nou) should still be a fun one to watch as the Gunners throw the kitchen sink at Lio Messi and company, hoping for a miracle.

Barcelona dominated the first game, both on the scoreboard and in terms of possession and chances. Now Arsenal needs to hand the Catalans their first home loss of the season – and to do so by at least a 2-0 score.

Just how good has Barca been at the Camp Nou? They’ve won 13 of the last 14 UCL games in their home stadium, with a lone draw against Atletico sprinkled in. No visiting team has scored more than a goal in that span.

While Arsenal have a talented roster, they haven’t been great away from home lately, going 3-0-3 in the last six. Actually, they haven’t been on form anywhere of late. They’ve only won one of their past six (all competitions) and that came against second-division squad Hull City in the FA Cup. They were ousted from that competition in shocking fashion by Watford on the weekend (2-1 at the Emirates).

And there are more trends that indicate today’s game could get out of hand. The last time Arsenal faced a team roughly on par with Barcelona on the road, they were trounced 5-1 (by Bayern Munich). They’ve also lost their last two visits to the Camp Nou by a combined 7-2 score.

Expect Barcelona to win by a couple of scores. They will dominate the ball possession and create enough chances to make this game one sided.

Pick: FC Barcelona (-400). 

(Photo credit: Christopher Johnson (flickr) []. Photo has been cropped.)

Frank Lorenzo

MTS co-founder Frank “Let It Ride” Lorenzo has been betting on sports since he was legally allowed to do so. (Did he do so before then, too? No comment.) He enjoys very strong coffee, neon lights, and passing on his wealth of betting knowledge to anyone who will listen.

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