Matchweek 5 of the English Premier League starts earlier than usual this weekend, so it’s already time to start looking at our EPL picks and predictions for the upcoming action.
The big game last weekend was between Leicester City and Manchester City. And it was the defending champions – Man City – who came out on top.
|EPL Winner Betting Odds - Matchweek 5|
In doing so, Pep’s Man City team kept their place as betting favorites with the top sportsbooks to win the 2021/22 EPL title. They’re still just ahead of Chelsea FC, who kept up the pressure thanks to a 3-0 win over Aston Villa.
The other two title candidates, Manchester United and Liverpool, both also won.
United thrashed Newcastle 4-1 with Cristiano Ronaldo scoring two goals on his second debut at the Manchester club. While Liverpool made light work of Leeds United, winning 3-0 away at Elland Road.
A selection of Matchweek 4's finest snaps 📸 pic.twitter.com/CgImlvJcF4
— Premier League (@premierleague) September 14, 2021
The big losers of the weekend were Tottenham Hotspur. Nuno Espirito Santo’s team lost 3-0 away to Crystal Palace.
The defeat was Spurs’ first defeat of the season, and it also seen them knocked off top spot.
EPL Matchweek 5
Moving onto this week’s fixtures, and Newcastle against Leeds is the opening match.
The complete fixture list of Matchweek 5 is
- Newcastle v Leeds – Friday 17th September, 3 pm ET
- Wolves v Brentford – Sat 18th September, 7.30 pm ET
- Burnley v Arsenal – Sat 18th September 10 am ET
- Liverpool v Crystal Palace – Sat 18th September 10 am ET
- Man City v Southampton – Sat 18th September 10 am ET
- Norwich v Watford – Sat 18th September 10 am ET
- Aston Villa v Everton – Sat 18th September 12.30 pm ET
- Brighton v Leicester – Sun 19th September 9 am ET
- West Ham v Man Utd – Sun 19th September 9 am ET
- Tottenham v Chelsea – Sun 19th September 11.30 am ET
The stand-out fixtures to me look to both be on Sunday.
Obviously Spurs v Chelsea is a big game, but I’m also intrigued to see how EPL leaders Manchester United get on when they play away at West Ham.
Let’s have a look at the latter of those two matches first!
West Ham v Manchester United
- Venue – London Stadium
- Date – 19th September 2021
- Time – 9 am ET
So far this season Manchester United has won three and drawn one, but they haven’t been totally convincing.
For example, in their two home matches at Old Trafford, they have beaten Leeds United (5-1) and Newcastle United (4-1) with ease.
But with the greatest of respects to Leeds and Newcastle – okay, I know that means no respect – they have both had very poor starts to their respective EPL seasons.
On the road has been a different story for United.
They started with a disappointing 1-1 draw away to Southampton FC, a team that hasn’t been pulling up too many trees lately.
That was followed up with a 1-0 away win away Wolves. Whereby all accounts, United was second-best all-match.
Is Manchester United a genuine title contender?
So is Manchester United the real deal? And is the 4 points won away from home, points ground out by potential champions, whilst not on top form?
Or are United in a false position, just waiting to be found out and brought back down to earth with a bump?
The match away at West Ham on Sunday should go a long way to answering all those questions.
— Manchester United (@ManUtd) September 15, 2021
David Moyes’ West Ham United side sits 8th in the table, on 8 points. So far this season, the Hammers have won two and drawn two.
On the 90 minutes Moneyline for this, West Ham is +320 with BetUS. A draw at the end of 90 minutes is +275, and a win for Manchester United is -125.
I’m tempted to go with the draw, but I hate betting on that outcome. So instead, I’m looking at the soccer betting goals markets.
A bet on over 2.5 goals is -166.7, while the odds on over 3.5 goals are +160.
So far this season, over 3.5 goals has been the outcome in three of West Ham’s four matches, and two of Manchester’s four matches.
Last season this match finished 3-1 to Manchester, and I can see a similar scoreline this time around, or maybe even 2-2.
I think at odds of +160, over 3.5 goals is a good choice for my first soccer pick.
Tottenham v Chelsea
- Venue – Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Date – 19th September 2021
- Time – 11.30 am ET
Spurs have won three of their four matches this season. They lost the other one last Saturday, 3-0 away at Crystal Palace.
It has to be said they haven’t flattered anybody with their performances, apart from in their opening day 1-0 win over Manchester City.
They followed that win up with 1-0 wins over Wolves and Watford respectively, before getting hammered by Crystal Palace.
Under new boss Nuno Espirito Santo they play a conservative brand of football, as is borne out in their recent results.
Chelsea look like genuine title challengers
As for Chelsea, every challenge that has been set for them this season, they’ve passed.
This includes a 2-0 away win at Arsenal FC, and more crucially, a 1-1 draw away at Liverpool FC, playing the 2nd half with just 10 men.
We know what we are. pic.twitter.com/OQV3lIZwpu
— Chelsea FC USA (@ChelseaFCinUSA) September 14, 2021
Chelsea has also had routine home wins over Crystal Palace (3-0) and Aston Villa (3-0).
The smart money probably goes on Chelsea to win at odds -133.3. But I’m a bit reluctant, as Spurs did beat Man City at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium this season.
I’m expecting it to be a tight match. If Tottenham wins, it will probably be 1-0. A Chelsea win could be 2-0, and there is also the possibility of a 1-1 draw.
With this in mind, I’m going for under 2.5 goals at -137 for my pick.