Pick Everton to Scrape a Win

  • Everton v Fulham
  • Saturday April 15 2023, 10:00 ET
  • At Goodison Park

Everton played poorly last weekend, but it has a stronger record at home in recent weeks, and it can scrape a win against a poor Fulham team.

Who do Bettors Favor?

As we can see from the best-rated online sportsbooks bettors favor Everton to win this game. The home team is a best-priced +110, while the visiting team is rated at around +270, and if you think this game will end in a draw you can bet that outcome at between +235 and +246.

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Everton Facing Another Fight

Everton is once again fighting for Premier League survival and Saturday’s game against a team with little to play for already feels like a crucial milestone.

Manager Sean Dyche will be hoping that last week’s performance at Old Trafford, when the team slipped to a 2-0 defeat, will not be repeated. That loss exacerbated their dreadful away record, as they have won only two of their last 32 Premier League games on the road. At Old Trafford, Jordan Pickford, was forced to make nine saves over the course of 90 minutes, the second-highest total of any Premier League goalkeeper in one match this season.

Under Dyche, however, Everton has fared much better on home soil, collecting 10 of a possible 15 points since the former Burnley manager took over. Four of the five opponents they have encountered at Goodison are also in the top half of the table, making their home record even more impressive.

Still, as West Ham, Crystal Palace, Wolverhampton Wanderers, and Bournemouth all won against them last weekend, there is increased pressure on the hosts for this match. Everton goes into the weekend in 17th position, with 23 goals scored in 30 matches: the worst record in the Premier League.

Fulham’s Season Tailing Off

Fulham’s season has tailed off dramatically as five successive defeats has ended its hopes of European qualification. Losing narrowly to Brentford, against Arsenal, and in controversial circumstances to Manchester United were forgivable, but the losses against Bournemouth and West Ham were more concerning, especially as West Ham was coming off a 5-1 home loss to Newcastle United.

Given their notoriously poor track record at this stadium, Goodison Park wouldn’t be the ideal place for them to attempt a comeback. Prior to their 2-0 win behind closed doors in 2021, they had a record-breaking away winless streak against Everton, with 22 consecutive losses. Manager Marco Silva is also looking for his first win over Everton; he lost 3-2 to Everton with Watford in 2017 despite being 2-0 up, with former Everton player Tom Cleverley missing a penalty in the 101st minute.

EPL Betting Head-to-Head

Everton is one of the oldest clubs in English football, having been one of the original twelve teams that launched the first Football League back in 1888. Fulham can also claim to be one of the oldest in the country, having been founded in 1879, making it the longest-established London club.

Fulham did not enter the Football League, however, until 1907, and it would be another 19 years before the two teams met on the field of play, when Fulham won an FA Cup fixture that went to a reply in 1926.

The head-to-head record shows that Everton has had by far the better of this rivalry, winning 31 times to Fulham’s 21, with 14 games drawn. Since the early 2000s, when Fulham became established as Premier League regular, Everton has dominated, winning 12 from the last 20, although the London club has struck back in recent months, winning two of the last four and earning a draw against Everton in October.

EPL Team News

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has resumed training on grass and could be included in the Everton squad for this match after missing nine consecutive games. As a result, Ellis Simms and Demarai Gray may be relegated to the bench if Dyche opts to switch tactics, with James Garner or Tom Davies in midfield.

For Fulham, the team news still looks bleak. Aleksandar Mitrovic is still serving his eight-match suspension, with Carlos Vinicius projected to deputize up front once more.

Willian returned to action last weekend after serving a one-game suspension for his role in the United controversy, and both Kenny Tete and Issa Diop might regain their starting positions in Fulham’s back four after being replaced last Saturday at Craven Cottage. Layvin Kurzawa and Neeskens Kebano, meanwhile, are still out with injuries.

EPL Match Betting Pick

Given Everton’s woeful scoring record and the absence of Fulham’s main striker, this doesn’t look like a game that will provide us with much goalmouth action, but sadly the bookmakers are wise to that prospect and there is little value in the Under 2.5 goals option. Instead, it makes sense to side with Everton, which is a lot tougher on its own ground, in the match betting market.

Everton To beat Fulham
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Noelle Matthews

Noelle Matthews is a tennis and soccer fan who has been working in the betting industry for over 15 years and has written for some of the big players in the sector, including Betfair, ESPN and Sporting Life. She has an in-depth knowledge of both tennis and soccer betting and you can trust her reviews to include the most precise, knowledgeable information available.