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The Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California serves as a beautiful host to the biggest match in the opening round of the group stage. Champions League winners PSG take on 3rd-placed La Liga side Atletico Madrid on the first day of Club World Cup ceremonies. Backed by Diego Simeone, Atletico Madrid hunts for its trophy since winning the league title in 2021. Read on for an expert Club World Cup betting prediction and explore stats and tips to bet on PSG vs Atletico Madrid in 2025.
- FIFA Club World Cup group stage
- Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico de Madrid
- Sunday, June 15, 2025
- 3 PM EST
- Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
- DAZN
PSG vs Atletico Madrid: Club World Cup Betting Odds
PSG are odds-on favorites on most sportsbooks to win their first match of the Club World Cup. Bovada lists the treble winners at (+100), good for an implied probability to win of 50%. Atletico Madrid are priced as high as (+265). A draw is lined at (+276).
Club World Cup 
PSG -108 -105 +100 Atletico Madrid +265 +260 +260 Draw +276 +265 +265
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Can PSG Win an Unprecedented International Quadruple?
After a historic season saw PSG win Ligue 1, the Coupe de France, and the UEFA Champions League, Luis Enrique & Co. are hungry for more. The now quadrennial international tournament the FIFA Club World Cup presents PSG with the opportunity of winning a 4th title in the 2024/25 season. No team has ever won an “international quadruple,” yet PSG now have the 3rd-highest odds to win the CWC. Indeed, only Real Madrid and Man City have shorter betting odds to win the prestigious trophy.
Hosted on American soil this year, the Club World Cup is a bigger deal in 2025 than in past years. As I hinted at earlier, the FIFA CWC takes place every 4 years from now on, as opposed to previous formats taking place annually. This change has significantly elevated the prestige of the tournament. Based on the actions of top clubs heading into the summer, I’d say they are taking it seriously.
PSG are keeping things intact, but Real Madrid hunted down Trent Alexander-Arnold to bolster their defensive ranks while Saudi Arabian side Al-Hilal are rumored to have landed Simone Inzaghi, former manager of Inter. But the biggest name still on the block is Cristiano Ronaldo, with rumors swirling of his potential signing to a Club World Cup team. All of this is made possible due to an exceptional transfer window put in place specifically for the FIFA CWC.
Atletico Madrid Hope to Relive 2024 Victory over PSG
Atletico Madrid may have been outed in all competitions, but the club can relish their 2-1 victory over PSG at Parc des Princes. The November match took place during the league phase of the Champions League and seriously threatened PSG’s eligibility for the knockout phase. However, PSG recovered from that loss (among others) to eventually win the UCL.
Manager Diego Simeone and his slowly-improving club can use that win as confidence heading into a difficult opening match. Their defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League has been revisited in recent weeks. After a controversial disallowed penalty ruined Atletico’s chances of winning the elite tournament, UEFA has changed the rules. Now, an accidental double-touch penalty kick that is successfully scored shall be retaken rather than disallowed completely.
Atletico Madrid have offered their candidacy into the ring for the acquisition of Milan defender Theo Hernandez. Al-Hilal are also in the running, but journalists understand Theo favors a move to the Spanish capital despite a lower cash offer. While Atleti typically do not put themselves into many transfer races, perhaps the club sees their championship window closing.
Club World Cup Betting Prediction: PSG vs Atletico Madrid
Betting on the Club World Cup is tricky for many reasons. The tournament takes place on neutral territory for almost every team, and the competition pits sides from different continents, often having never played each other before. Compound that with transitioning rosters and coaching staff and an unusual time of year to play soccer, and the variable factors are overwhelming.
Targeting a match between sides familiar to each other alleviates the uncomfortability. Using PSG vs Atletico Madrid from November has a baseline, we can identify some potential value. So, the moneyline is about the same when you remove PSG’s home advantage. But the total, which was set at a flat 3 back in November, is now 2.75. I think this area is where we can identify some value.
Big knockout competitions typically see fewer goals, but we are in the group stage where goal differential matters. PSG did not hold back in their 5-0 victory over Inter in the Champions League Final, and I assume they will do the same given the opportunity in 2025. The total saw some line movement: the over 2.75 goals opened at (+114) but is now lined at standard juice.
Go with over 2.75 goals at BetOnline at (-110).
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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