by
The North London derby returns to the Emirates Stadium on Sunday, November 23rd, as Arsenal host Tottenham in what promises to be another captivating chapter in this historic rivalry. Both sides enter this fixture with contrasting fortunes and tactical approaches that could shape the outcome significantly. Arsenal currently sit atop the Premier League table, while Spurs are desperately fighting for a top-four finish under Thomas Frank’s guidance. Read on for an expert Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction and explore stats and tips for EPL betting in 2025.
- English Premier League
- Arsenal FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Sunday, November 23, 2025
- 11:30 AM EST
- Emirates Stadium, Holloway, London, England
- Peacock, NBC
Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?
The betting markets have installed Arsenal as clear favorites to secure victory on home soil at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners are priced around (-270) to win in regulation time, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Tottenham enter as underdogs at approximately (+700), with the draw available at (+400) for those expecting a cagey affair. The total goals market has been set at 2.5, with the over priced at (-125) and under at (+105) across major sportsbooks.
Premier League 
Arsenal -272 -268 -270 Tottenham +725 +699 +700 Draw +405 +396 +395
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting lines and explore our guide on English Premier League betting in 2025.
Arsenal’s Injury Concerns Could Impact Attack
Mikel Arteta faces significant selection headaches ahead of the North London derby, with several key players nursing various injuries. Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz, Viktor Gyokeres, and Martin Odegaard have all missed recent matches for the Premier League leaders. The Spanish manager is hopeful that the international break will allow some players to recover and return to full fitness. Gyokeres, Martinelli, and Odegaard are expected to be available, providing much-needed depth that has been sorely missed in recent fixtures.
Arsenal’s defensive structure will face a stern test against Tottenham’s pacey attacking options, particularly with Riccardo Calafiori potentially struggling in one-on-one situations. The Italian defender has shown impressive offensive contributions this season but has been criticized for being over-aggressive in defensive duels. His tendency to over-commit early in one-versus-one scenarios could be exploited by Spurs’ quick attackers.
Bukayo Saka enters the derby in excellent form after his impressive performances for England during the international break. The Arsenal talisman scored a brilliant volley against Serbia, taking his international tally to 14 goals in 46 senior caps. His gesture to the England bench after scoring initially raised injury concerns, but Saka quickly clarified he simply wanted to change his boots.
Arsenal’s Injury Concerns Could Impact Attack
Thomas Frank’s tactical philosophy emphasizes disciplined defending and lightning-quick counterattacks, which could prove effective against Arsenal’s possession-heavy approach. Tottenham’s away form has been impressive this season, with the Lilywhites currently leading the Premier League’s away form table. They remain unbeaten on their travels and will arrive at the Emirates with genuine confidence in their ability to frustrate the hosts.
Thomas Frank has received encouraging news regarding key players ahead of the North London Derby, with Mohammed Kudus expected to return from injury. The former West Ham United star missed Tottenham’s recent draw with Manchester United but is now 75% likely to feature against Arsenal. Kudus has been in exceptional form this season and represents Spurs’ most potent attacking weapon in wide areas. His potential return could provide the creative spark that Tottenham desperately need to trouble Arsenal’s defensive setup.
Tottenham’s attacking options face potential disruption with Brennan Johnson linked to a January departure amid interest from other clubs. The Wales international has struggled for consistency this season, leading to reduced playing time under Frank’s management. His potential exit could be accelerated if Tottenham successfully pursue Ademola Lookman from Atalanta in the upcoming transfer window.
Lucas Bergvall’s concussion sustained against Chelsea earlier in November complicates Tottenham’s midfield options. The Swedish midfielder has shown his best football since Frank’s arrival at N17, making his potential absence a significant blow. Injury expert Ben Dinnery has assessed Bergvall’s chances of featuring at just 50%, leaving Frank with difficult selection decisions in midfield. The young midfielder’s creativity and energy have been crucial to Tottenham’s improved performances in recent weeks.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: Free Expert EPL Betting Pick
Arsenal enter the North London Derby boasting one of the Premier League’s strongest defensive records this season, having allowed just 5 goals in 11 matches, including 7 clean sheets and only 1 goal conceded at home. Their average of 0.45 goals conceded per game is the best mark in the league, reflecting a unit that’s disciplined, organized, and consistent both home and away. With opponents generating little in either half, Arsenal’s back line has become a major factor in their title push — and a key storyline heading into a high-pressure clash with a Tottenham side that thrives on attacking momentum.
Recent head-to-head records heavily favor Arsenal, with Tottenham’s last victory at the Emirates Stadium dating back to 2018. The Gunners have won their last three encounters against Spurs, including victories in January and September of this year. Arsenal’s dominance in recent North London derbies is built on superior tactical organization and clinical finishing in crucial moments. However, derby matches often defy form and historical precedent, making this fixture particularly unpredictable for betting purposes.
My expected goals model favors the under 2.5 goals to the tune of (-145), supporting the case for continuing to bet on low-scoring affairs in Arsenal matches. Look for a fiery, tight battle at the Emirates with a potential clean sheet in play for the hosts.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
Top Sportsbooks for EPL Betting
Explore some of the best offshore sportsbooks below. Each website is reviewed by My Top Sportsbooks for user experience, customer service, new member promos, and more.
Sports Betting Sites 