MLS Betting Picks Matchweek 28

The regular season of the MLS continues with another round of midweek fixtures, and here’s our round-up of what’s happening, along with the latest MLS Cup winner betting, and our latest soccer betting picks.

New England march on in the Eastern Conference

Matchweek 27 of the MLS might prove pivotal in the shake-up at the end of the season.

At the top of the Eastern Conference, New England Revolution bounced back from their 2 dropped points at home to Columbus the previous weekend, by recording back-to-back wins.

New England Revolutionto win the Eastern Conference
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+475
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On Wednesday night they scored a stoppage-time winner to beat Chicago 3-2 and take the 3 points. Then on Sunday, they saw off Orlando City 2-1 at the Gillette Stadium. 

The 6 points see them extend their lead at the top of the conference to 17 points over Nashville. 

New England has played two more matches than their rivals, but the gap is now surely too big at the top of the table for anybody to knock them off the first position.

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New York City blew the chance to close in on second-placed Nashville when they could only pick up 1 point from the two matches against city rivals, New York Red Bulls

Across the same period, Nashville picked up 4 points. They thrashed Inter Miami 5-1 on Wednesday, and then followed that up with a hard-fought 0-0 draw away to Chicago on Sunday. 

Change at the top of the Western again

Over in the Western Conference, the top spot changed hands again last weekend.

In the biggest match so far this season, Seattle Sounders pulled an amazing win out of the bag over the top of the table Sporting KC.

Going into the match 1 point behind Kansas, the Sounders won 2-1 at Children’s Mercy Park, to move into a 2 points lead over Kansas, and with one game in hand as well. 

The win comes on the back of some scratchy form for the Sounders, who had lost two of their last three in the MLS.

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Colorado still remains a threat. They currently sit in third place on 45 points, that’s 3 behind Seattle and 1 behind Sporting. 

The Rapids have now drawn their last four matches though. This isn’t the sort of form that is going to see them top the conference.

MLS Cup Outright Winner Betting

Let’s take a quick look at how all this has impacted outright winner MLS betting.

2021 MLS Cup Winner Betting OddsBetUSMyBookie
New England Revolution+400+400
Seattle Sounders+550+500
Sporting KC+800+750
Nashville+900+1000
Colorado+1200+1300

The Revolution still remains favorites with the top sportsbooks. Bruce Arena’s team are +400, that’s an improvement on this time last week when they were +500

Also seeing their odds shortening this week are the Seattle Sounders. No surprise there given their impressive win. The Sounders have been cut drastically from +700 to +550.

As for Sporting KC, they remain at +800. Also standing still on the Moneyline is Nashville. This time last week they were +900, and they are still the same odds.

Another Huge Matchweek in the Western Conference

This Wednesday sees some intriguing fixtures in the Western Conference.

On paper, both Seattle and Sporting KC have tricky looking away fixtures. Seattle travels to San Jose to face the Earthquakes, while Sporting are at the Toyota Stadium in Texas to face FC Dallas.

Third place Colorado has an excellent chance to get back in the mix. They are at home to Austin FC, in a match that they surely have to win if they want to win the conference. 

This is the sort of fixture head coach Robin Fraser would have been crying out for to give his team the chance to capitalize on any slip-ups from the two teams directly above them.

MLS Betting Picks

Moving onto this week’s soccer betting picks, and the first match I’m looking at involves Dallas and Sporting KC.

Dallas v Sporting KC

  • Venue – Toyota Stadium, Texas, United States
  • Date – 29th September 2021
  • Time – 8pm ET

On the 90 minutes moneyline, this match is tight. Dallas is just the favorites at +150, with Sporting at +162. The draw is +250, excellent value in my view.

Sporting KC needs to get back to winning ways, and fast. The defeat to Seattle wasn’t a disaster, but if they follow it up with another defeat, it’s becoming a bit of a rut.

I expect Sporting to score, but I’m not convinced they will pick up all 3 points.   

Opponents Dallas are an unpredictable side. They are favorites, but I can’t justify picking them to win.

What Dallas are though, is the perfect side for a goals pick. Their matches are littered with goals. In their last seven matches, both teams to score has come in six times

Dallas did draw a blank in their last match, a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Vancouver last weekend. But in that match, they had 16 attempts on goal, with 60% possession. With stats like that, goals will come. 

So my first betting pick in the midweek MLS matches is both teams to score in the match between Dallas and Sporting KC.

Dallas v Sporting KCBoth Teams To Score
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-175
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Atalanta v Inter Miami

  • Venue – Mercedes Benz Stadium, Georgia, United States
  • Date – 29th September 2021
  • Time – 7 pm ET

For my second selection, I’m looking at the match taking place at the Mercedes Benz Stadium.

Atalanta have won three of their last four. They are in the midst of a decent run, although that did come to an end against Philadelphia last weekend.

They host Inter Miami, who after an amazing revival across recent weeks, have suddenly come down to earth with an almighty bump.

In their last two matches, Phil Neville’s side has lost 5-1 at home to Nashville, and 4-0 at home to NY Red Bulls

I’m tempted to go for both teams to score in this match as it’s an appealing-looking -125. There’s a decent chance Miami will concede. My only concern is that confidence could be low and they might not score.

I still think this is worth a punt though, but I would advise caution and maybe use a betting bonus rather than cash.

So my second MLS pick of the week is both teams to score in the match between Atalanta United and Inter Miami.

Atalanta v Inter MiamiBoth Teams To Score
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-125
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Dean Etheridge

Dean has spent the last 10 years editing, and writing for his own football and cricket betting websites. He is passionate about sports and betting, and enjoys writing about both topics. In his spare time, Dean loves to spend time with his family, although he believes they just think he is their taxi driver!