ATP Stockholm Open Picks: Will Rune or Ruud take the title in Sweden?

  • What: 2025 ATP Stockholm Open
  • When: Oct 13-Oct 19, 2025
  • Time:  8:00-8 PM PST
  • Where: Stockholm, Sweden

The 2025 Stockholm Open, officially known as the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for sponsorship reasons, will be held from October 13 to 19 at the Kungliga Tennishallen (Royal Tennis Hall) in Stockholm, Sweden. This marks the 56th edition of this prestigious ATP 250 event.

The indoor hard court tournament has attracted an impressive field of talent as the European indoor season heats up.

Holger Rune leads the field as the top seed, with Norway’s Casper Ruud seeded second, Denis Shapovalov third, and Ugo Humbert fourth. Other notable competitors include Matteo Berrettini and defending champion Tommy Paul, although Paul faces tough competition to repeat his success from 2024.

The tournament holds special significance for Scandinavian players. Rune is the only Danish player in the draw. In contrast, two Norwegian players—Ruud and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer—could meet in an all-Norwegian second-round clash if Budkov Kjaer defeats Marin Cilic. Shapovalov, the 2019 Stockholm champion, will be looking to capture another title after winning in Belgrade last year.

The tournament boasts a rich history dating back to 1969, with past champions including Roger Federer, Juan Martin del Potro, and Thomas Johansson, the last Swedish winner in 2004.

The event has been held at the Royal Tennis Hall for most of its history, creating an intimate atmosphere for world-class tennis. With ranking points and prize money on the line, players are vying for momentum during this crucial season stretch.

The fast indoor conditions favor big servers and aggressive baseline players, setting the stage for an exciting and high-quality tennis week.

Before we examine the latest tennis betting odds, here’s where you can find the best Tennis Betting Sites 2025.

2025 ATP Stockholm Open Odds

PlayerBetOnline Sportsbook & Casino Review 2025BetUS Sportsbook Review 2025Bovada Sportsbook Review 2025
Casper Ruud+325+325+325
Holger Rune+350+350+350
Denis Shapovalov+450+450+450
Sebastian Korda+600+600+600
Matteo Berrettini+900+900+900
Ugo Humbert+1100+1100+1100
Jacob Fearnley+1400+1400+1400
Lorenzo Sonego+1400+1400+1400
Miomir Kecmanovic+1400+1400+1400
Marton Fucsovics+1600+1600+1600
Tomas Martin Etcheverry+2500+2500+2500
Alexander Kovacevic+3300+3300+3300
Elias Ymer+8000+8000+8000

Casper Ruud

Second seed Casper Ruud brings his own championship credentials to Stockholm, fresh off a 7-6(2), 6-4 victory over Marin Cilic in his opening match, where he dominated with 12 consecutive first-serve points won in the second set.

The Norwegian won the biggest title of his career by capturing the Madrid Open in May. He defeated Jack Draper in the final, proving he can deliver on indoor hard courts at the highest level.

Ruud is targeting his fourth appearance at an ATP Final.

However, his 2025 season has been inconsistent, featuring three second-round Grand Slam exits and frustrating early tournament losses. Ruud himself has acknowledged the season’s challenges, stating he’s “not super satisfied overall” despite his Madrid triumph.

The Norwegian’s chances hinge on whether he can replicate his form at Madrid.

His powerful forehand and baseline consistency remain formidable weapons, but breaking through against Rune and other contenders will require the same level of bravery and execution that delivered his Masters 1000 breakthrough earlier this year.

This a great price so I would take Ruud at +325 to win the Stockholm Open. 

Casper RuudTO WIN 2025 ATP Stockholm Open
★★★★★
+325
Bet now

Holger Rune

As one of the top two seeds in Stockholm, Holger Rune arrives with strong momentum and legitimate title aspirations. The Dane reached the quarterfinals at the recent Shanghai Masters, where he defeated Ugo Humbert in straight sets with efficient and powerful play.

Currently ranked 12th in the Race to Turin standings, Rune is seeking an impressive finish to boost his ATP Finals qualification hopes. Norwegian tennis is growing in popularity ahead of the UTS Oslo event.

Rune’s best Masters result in 2025 came at Indian Wells, where he reached the final before losing to Jack Draper.

His familiarity with indoor hard courts is a significant advantage—he won his maiden Masters 1000 title on this surface at the 2022 Paris Masters, demonstrating his ability to thrive in these conditions.

However, challenges remain. In 2025, Rune achieved a 66% win rate, considered average by the 2025 ATP Tour.

Now, he faces tough competition from second seed Casper Ruud and defending champion Tommy Paul. Although his aggressive baseline game and strong return capabilities make him a formidable contender, consistency will be key to capturing his second title of the season.

As talented as Rune is, I’m passing on him in favor of Ruud for this tournament. 

Holger RuneTO WIN 2025 ATP Stockholm Open
★★★★★
+350
Bet now

Matteo Berrettini

Unseeded Matteo Berrettini enters Stockholm seeking to recapture past glory after a turbulent 2025 season. The Italian began positively, defeating compatriot Giulio Zeppieri 6-4, 6-2 in the first round; however, he now faces a challenging path ahead.

With a 14-14 win-loss record and no titles this season, Berrettini has struggled to replicate the peak form that took him to the Wimbledon final and to a world ranking of six in 2021-2022.

Injuries have plagued the 29-year-old throughout 2025, forcing him to withdraw from both the French Open and the US Open after retiring at the Italian Open due to injury. Berrettini has struggled on indoor hard courts throughout his career and has yet to reach a final under these conditions.

However, his powerful serve and aggressive baseline game remain dangerous. He will need to rediscover his best tennis to face fourth seed Ugo Humbert in the second round—a player he leads 3-1 in their head-to-head, but who will test his current form and fitness.

A longer shot but Berrettini may be worth a sprinkle at +900 to win this tournament outright.

Matteo BerrettiniTO WIN 2025 ATP Stockholm Open
★★★★★
+900
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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