Carlos Alcaraz favored to three-peat at 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells

  • Two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (+240) is favored over Novak Djokovic (+650) in the men’s tournament 
  • Aryna Sabalenka (+335) and Iga Swiatek (+400) are the chalk picks in the women’s draw 
  • The 2025 BNP Paribas Open will take place in Indian Wells, California from March 5 to 16, 2025

With Jannik Sinner currently serving a three-month doping suspension, the door is wide open for Carlos Alcaraz to capture his third-straight title at Indian Wells. Novak Djojkovic will also be on the court in California after retiring from his semifinal match at the Australian Open.

There’s plenty of intrigue in the women’s draw as well with Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff all struggling of late. Who will win the 2025 BNP Paribas Open? Before we check the latest betting odds on the 2025 Indian Wells tennis tournament, here’s where you can find the best Tennis Betting Sites.

ATP Indian Wells

WinnerBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook ReviewMyBookie Sportsbook Review
Carlos Alcaraz+240+240+240
Novak Djokovic+650+650+650
Alexander Zverev+700+700+700
Taylor Fritz+1800+1800+1800
Daniil Medvedev+2000+2000+2000
Stefanos Tsitsipas+2500+2500+2500
Andrey Rublev+2800+2800+2800
Casper Ruud+2800+2800+2800
Joao Fonseca+2800+2800+2800
Alex De Minaur+3300+3300+3300

Alcaraz favored over Djokovic

Carlos Alcaraz (+240) is looking for his third-consecutive title at Indian Wells. However, the event’s signature slow hard courts have been resurfaced this year to provide more consistent playing conditions. That could prove to be bad news for the 21-year-old Spaniard, whose game revolves around creative shot-making, rather than sheer power.

Novak Djokovic (+650) defeated Alcaraz in the quarterfinals at the Australian Open before bowing out on in the semis with a hamstring injury. Looking for a record sixth title at this event, the 24-time major champion is slated to meet Alcaraz in the quarterfinals, just as they did in Melbourne.

Best longshots

Taylor Fritz (+1800) was victorious at Indian Wells back in 2022. The California native lost to Jannik Sinner in the final of the US Open and the ATP Finals, but with the cheating Italian on suspension, the world No. 4 could win another one in front of a home crowd.

Daniil Medvedev (+2000) hasn’t looked great this season, but he reached the BNP Paribas Open final back in 2023. If the resurfaced Indian Wells courts play faster, that will provide a massive advantage to the big-serving Russian.

Carlos Alcaraz2025 BNP Paribas Open
★★★★★
+240
Bet now
Daniil Medvedev2025 BNP Paribas Open
★★★★★
+2000
Bet now

WTA Indian Wells

WinnerBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook ReviewMyBookie Sportsbook Review
Aryna Sabalenka+335+335+335
Iga Swiatek+400+400+400
Elena Rybakina+750+750+750
Coco Gauff+1000+1000+1000
Mirra Andreeva+1100+1100+1100
Madison Keys+1200+1200+1200
Jessica Pegula+2000+2000+2000
Amanda Anisimova+3300+3300+3300
Karolina Muchova+3000+3000+3000
Qinwen Zheng+3000+3000+3000

Wide open on the women’s side?

Aryna Sabalenka (+335) believes the faster courts at Indian Wells will play into her powerful game. But the world no. 1 has dropped two of three matches since losing in the Australian Open final to Madison Keys.

Iga Swiatek (+400) was also upset by Keys in Melbourne. It appears her dominant run atop women’s tennis may be over as it’s been nine months since Swiatek’s last title or final.

Can Americans break drought?

No American woman has won at Indian Wells since Serena Williams in 2001. But there’s hope this year with three U.S. players ranked inside the top five.

Coco Gauff (+1000), who has gone seven weeks without winning a match. Madison Keys (+1200), who captured her first Grand Slam title in January. And Jessica Pegula (+2000), who may have earned some good karma by flying four of her competitors to Indian Wells on her private jet following her win at the ATX Open in Austin, Texas.

Best Bet

Since Keys’ upset victory at the Australian Open, there has been a different women’s champion every week, including at the two 1000-level events. So, we’ll roll the dice with world no. 4 Jessica Pegula at long odds (+2000).

Jessica Pegula2025 BNP Paribas Open
★★★★★
+2000
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identi...

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