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- What: 2025 ATP China Open
- When: Sep 25-Oct 1, 2025
- Time: 8:00-8 PM PST
- Where: Beijing, China
The 2025 China Open in Beijing promises elite tennis action, as the ATP 500 hard-court tournament runs from September 25 to October 1 at the National Tennis Centre.
This year’s star-studded field includes Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Alex de Minaur, Lorenzo Musetti, and Daniil Medvedev.
Top seed Jannik Sinner enters the tournament seeking redemption after his recent US Open final loss to Carlos Alcaraz. As the leading player in Beijing, Sinner learned his fate following Tuesday’s draw and will face former finalist Marin Cilic in his opener. With fond memories in Beijing, he looks to build on his impressive 2025 campaign with another ATP 500 title.
The tournament also features other notable names, including Karen Khachanov, Andrey Rublev, and Jakub Mensik, setting the stage for compelling first-round matchups. Meanwhile, Alexander Zverev, a strong contender on hard courts, will pursue his first Beijing title, and Daniil Medvedev returns to a venue where he has previously found success.
As a beloved stop on the ATP tour, the China Open attracts several players who list Beijing as one of their favorite destinations.
The tournament showcases tennis to passionate Chinese fans, providing crucial ranking points as players prepare for the year-end tournaments. With 32 singles players competing for the prestigious title, the week in China’s capital promises fierce competition and high-quality tennis.
Before we examine the latest tennis betting odds, here’s where you can find the best Tennis Betting Sites 2025.
2025 ATP China Open Odds
Jannik Sinner
As the tournament’s top seed, Sinner is the overwhelming favorite in Beijing. He has a 94% win probability in his opening match against Cilic. These numbers reflect his dominant form and his reputation as the world’s top hard-court player.
Sinner enters this match as a strong favorite. He is expected not just to win here, but to contend for the title in Beijing.
His recent US Open final appearance demonstrated his elite level and hunger for titles, despite the loss to Alcaraz. The hard courts of Beijing should suit his aggressive baseline game, letting him dictate points with powerful groundstrokes.
Hello Beijing 👋🏻 pic.twitter.com/qJXdINYV8v
— Jannik Sinner (@janniksin) September 25, 2025
Sinner’s path to glory looks relatively clear in the early rounds. The deeper stages will test his resilience.
His experience in big moments, combined with technical prowess and mental fortitude, makes him the overwhelming choice to lift the Beijing trophy. The Italian’s season-long consistency and proven ability under pressure position him as the favorite and expected champion in China’s capital.
I would bet Sinner to win this at -165 odds.
Alexander Zverev
While Sinner dominates the betting markets, Alexander Zverev presents the most credible threat to the Italian’s coronation.
Zverev has held the ATP’s third spot despite recent modest results, but Beijing offers a chance to rediscover his best tennis.
The German’s hard-court prowess is clear—his powerful serve and baseline consistency make him a dangerous player.
The Rolex Paris Masters begins in just one month ⏳
The perfect time to relive some of our 2024 champion Alexander Zverev’s greatest points in Paris 🍿#RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/wxXqHKML8k
— ROLEX PARIS MASTERS (@RolexPMasters) September 25, 2025
His 5-0 record against first-round opponent Sonego shows he can rise to the occasion. However, he knows he must elevate his game to set an early tone for next season.
Zverev’s path becomes tougher later, likely requiring wins over several top-10 players.
His recent inconsistency raises questions about his ability to sustain peak performance, but his big-match experience and hard-court skills make him a strong alternative to a Sinner victory.
I would pass on Zverev in this one at this price.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev enters Beijing as perhaps the most intriguing wildcard in the tournament field. Medvedev has won four of their five previous matches (4-1), illustrating his favorable head-to-head record against Norrie, who often poses early challenges for top seeds.
Building on this, the former world No. 1’s hard-court credentials remain unquestioned. His defensive excellence and tactical intelligence make him uniquely equipped to frustrate the tournament’s more aggressive players, particularly in Beijing’s potentially slower conditions.
Medvedev’s ability to absorb pace and redirect it with precision could prove problematic for power players like Sinner and Zverev.
daniil medvedev slayed a match!! i repeat daniil slayed a match!!! davaiiii!! pic.twitter.com/4oi0GCVTkG
— i (@atpobsessed) September 20, 2025
Nevertheless, it is important to acknowledge that Medvedev’s 2025 season has been inconsistent, lacking the sustained excellence that defined his peak years. His recent results suggest he’s still searching for his best tennis, making him a dangerous but unpredictable proposition.
While not the favorite, his experience in big tournaments and proven ability to peak when least expected make him capable of a surprise title run if everything aligns perfectly in Beijing.
At +1800 odds, Medvedev is a great value play.
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