ATP Chengdu Picks: Musetti Tipped to Claim the Title

  • What: 2025 ATP Chengdu Open
  • When: Sep 17-23, 2025
  • Time:  8:00-8 PM PST
  • Where: Chengdu, China

The ATP Chengdu Open returns to the Sichuan International Tennis Center from September 17-23 for its seventh edition.

Following last year’s thrilling final, in which local hero Juncheng Shang defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6, 6-1, this year’s tournament promises compelling storylines and fierce competition on the outdoor hard courts.

Lorenzo Musetti emerges as a leading favorite and potential top seed for this year’s tournament. The Italian’s crafty one-handed backhand, tactical versatility, and familiarity with the venue make him a prime candidate for the title.

Musetti seeks redemption for last year’s disappointing finish. With some higher-ranked players absent, his path to a first ATP title of 2025 becomes more favorable.

Before we examine the latest tennis betting odds, here’s where you can find the best Tennis Betting Sites 2025.

2025 ATP Chengdu Odds

PlayerBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBetUS Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook Review 2025
Lorenzo Musetti+200+210+210
Brandon Nakashima+550+550+550
Tallon Greikspoor+800+800+800
Jordan Thompson+1200+1600+1600
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard+1400+1400+1400
Luciano Darderi+1400+2000+2000
Gael Monfils+1500+1400+1400
Marcos Giron+1600+1600+1600
Lorenzo Sonego+1600+1600+1600
Botic Van De Zandschulp+2000+2000+2000
Juncheng Shang+2000+6600+6600
Terence Atmane+2200+2200+2200
Dino Prizmic+2500+2500+2500
Alejandro Tabilo+2800+8000+8000
Christopher O'Connell+3300+3300+3300
Coleman Wong+3300+4000+4000
Filip Misolic+4000+4000+4000
Juan Manuel Cerundolo+4000+4000+4000
Nikoloz Basilashvili+4000+10000+10000
Mackenzie MacDonald+4000+8000+8000
Sebastian Baez+5000+8000+8000
Alexander Shevchenko+5000+6000+6000
Yi Zhou+10000+10000+10000
Taro Daniel+12500+12500+12500

Lorenzo Musetti

The 22-year-old Italian has shown remarkable maturity in his game development throughout 2025, combining his natural artistry with improved consistency and mental toughness.

His ability to construct points with surgical precision, utilizing drop shots and angle changes to disrupt opponents’ rhythm, makes him particularly dangerous on hard courts.

Musetti’s experience in high-pressure situations, including deep Grand Slam runs, has given him the confidence needed to close out tight matches.

With defending champion Shang sidelined, Musetti carries the weight of expectation but also the motivation to finally capture an elusive ATP title on a surface where his all-court game can flourish.

Playing his first tournament since the US Open, Musetti will be raring to go this week with fresh legs and renewed focus. His opening assignment is against Dino Prizmic, the 20-year-old Croatian who enters the main draw under the Next Generation quota.

While Prizmic has shown he can deliver solid performances and flashes of brilliance when given main draw opportunities, Musetti’s experience and superior shot-making arsenal should prove too strong in their first-round encounter.

Lorenzo MusettiTO WIN 2025 ATP Chengdu
★★★★★
+210
Bet now

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima embodies American aspirations with his resolute baseline game and surging hard-court prowess. His potent groundstrokes and agile defense render him a credible title threat.

The 23-year-old American has quietly evolved into one of the tour’s steadiest competitors.

Nakashima’s backhand now functions as a true weapon, empowering him to control rallies from the baseline, while his upgraded serve delivers vital free points.

His deliberate play and knack for prolonging exchanges often dismantle more aggressive opponents who try to finish points prematurely.

With multiple ATP finals appearances and sustained performances at Masters events, Nakashima possesses the high-pressure experience needed to excel in critical moments and seal meaningful wins.

Nakashima is tremendous value at the +550 price, I would absolutely wager on him at this price.

Brandon NakashimaTO WIN 2025 ATP Chengdu
★★★★★
+550
Bet now

Tallon Griekspoor

Tallon Griekspoor brings his powerful serve and aggressive net play to the hard courts of Chengdu. The Dutchman’s attacking style could prove effective on the faster surfaces, making him a dangerous unseeded floater.

At 28 years old, Griekspoor has developed into a consistent threat on the ATP tour, leveraging his 6’4″ frame to generate impressive serve speeds and create short points.

His willingness to come forward and finish at the net adds an old-school dimension that can disrupt modern baseline grinders.

Having captured multiple ATP titles in recent years, including breakthrough victories on hard courts, Griekspoor possesses the experience and confidence to navigate through challenging draws.

His direct, no-nonsense approach often catches opponents off guard, particularly those who prefer extended rallies and tactical chess matches.

This is a solid value at +800 and one I would absolutely wager on.

Tallon GriekspoorTO WIN 2025 ATP Chengdu
★★★★★
+800
Bet now

Gaël Monfils

Gaël Monfils adds veteran experience and unpredictable shot-making to the field. Although past his prime, the Frenchman’s entertainment value and occasional brilliance keep him a threat to any opponent, especially with his renewed energy in recent tournaments.

At 38, Monfils remains one of tennis’s most athletic and creative players, capable of producing jaw-dropping winners from impossible court positions.

His extensive experience on the tour, including 12 ATP titles, provides him with tactical knowledge that younger opponents often lack.

The charismatic Frenchman’s ability to raise his level in crucial moments has been evident throughout his career.

While consistency may be an issue, Monfils’ explosive movement and shot-making repertoire make him a live underdog capable of stunning any top seed.

I think winning a tournament of this magnitude is beyond Monfils at this point. I would pass on him at this price.

Gaël MonfilsTO WIN 2025 ATP Chengdu
★★★★★
+1400
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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