Steve Starr
- BetOnline has opening odds on the Men’s and Women’s 2021 Miami Open
- Naomi Osaka (+300) is favored to win in her first tournament appearance since the Australian Open
- Daniil Medvedev (+210) is in prime position to claim his fourth Masters 1000 title
Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Dominic Thiem all took a pass on the season’s first ATP Masters 1000, but of the WTA’s Top 10, only Serena Williams is absent. With the two-week tournament already underway, let’s look at the latest odds to win the 2021 Miami Open, starting with the star-studded women’s draw.
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2021 Women’s Miami Open Odds (WTA)
 |
|
| Naomi Osaka | +300 |
| Gabrine Muguruza | +600 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +700 |
| Simona Halep | +900 |
| Ashleigh Barty | +1000 |
| Iga Swiatek | +1000 |
| Jennifer Brady | +1600 |
| Petra Kvitova | +1600 |
| Victoria Azarenka | +2000 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2200 |
Naomi Osaka’s the new face of women’s tennis
Naomi Osaka (+300) hoisted her fourth Grand Slam trophy in Australia. However, the 23-year-old hasn’t won many non-major events and has yet to pass the third round in four trips to Miami despite growing up in the area.
Garbiñe Muguruza is seeded 12th, but after a title and a runner-up finish in Dubai and Doha, oddsmakers give her the next best chance of winning the event at +600.
Naomi Osaka dislikes long and busy stretches away from the comforts of home and so will plan the European portion of her schedule accordingly in the hope of improving her title hopes at the French Open and Wimbledon. https://t.co/qWAjCVaoSE
— Reuters Sports (@ReutersSports) March 23, 2021
Still, the defending champion after last year’s Miami Open was canceled, No. 1 seed Ashleigh Barty (+1000) is tough to bet on given she has only played in two tournaments in the past year.
Instead, let’s go with Australian Open finalist Jennifer Brady at +1600. While the 25-year-old American is the No. 13 seed, every Miami Open winner since 2015 has been seeded lower than 10th.
2021 Men’s Miami Open Odds (ATP)
|
|
| Daniil Medvedev | +210 |
| Andrey Rublev | +450 |
| Alexander Zverev | +500 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | +800 |
| Aslan Karatsev | +1200 |
| Denis Shapovalov | +2000 |
| Milos Raonic | +2200 |
| Karen Khachanov | +2800 |
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | +2800 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | +3300 |
Medvedev is the man to beat in Miami
Earlier this week, Daniil Medvedev (+210) became the first player other than Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer or Andy Murray to be ranked in the top two since 2005 and has a chance to cement his standing in a Miami tournament absent of the Big Three.
Coming off his second Grand Slam final at the Australian Open, the 25-year-old Russian’s first test will likely come in the semi-finals against Alexander Zverev (+500), who he has defeated in their past three head-two-head matches. Like Medvedev, Zverev has three Masters 1000 titles to his name and lost a hard-fought final to John Isner in Miami three years ago.
Daniil Medvedev wins his 10th career title in Marseille, beating Pierre Hugues Herbert in the final, 6-4, 6-7(4), 6-4. pic.twitter.com/2a5veU4Dih
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) March 14, 2021
With a 57-13 record since the start of 2020, Andrey Rublev (+450) is red hot. He has lifted six individual trophies and helped Russia to ATP Cup glory this February but has never been to the final of a tournament at this level.
Searching for his first Masters 1000 title after upsetting Rafael Nadal in the quarterfinals in Melbourne, Stefanos Tsitsipas (+800) provides decent value, but the Miami Open is Medvedev’s to lose.
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