Wimbledon is the oldest and most prestigious tennis tournament in the world. It’s shocking that my slovenly visage is even allowed to write about it. Maybe my love of strawberries and cream makes up for my lack of a personal dress code?
Moving beyond my unhealthy eating habits, there is no shortage of storylines at this year’s tournament. Not only is Novak Djokovic vying for his third-straight Wimbledon title, he’s also gunning for his third major of 2016 (and fifth straight, dating back to last year), which would give him a chance at the 2016 Grand Slam heading into the US Open.
Meanwhile, Roger Federer is, once again, attempting to win his eighth Wimbledon title, which would make him the all-time leader.
Looking to the ladies side, Serena Williams is looking to defend her 2015 Wimbledon title, while continuing her pursuit of the most career female Grand Slam titles. But she’s been upset in the first two major tournaments this year, both by first-time winners.
As for me, I’m aiming to set new records for one-day cream consumption. Updates to follow.
What are the odds Novak wins Wimbledon and the 2016 Grand Slam? What are the chances Serena breaks Steffi Graph’s record for most career slams? What’s the likelihood that I develop a dairy allergy in the next two weeks?
Let’s take a look!
Odds to win Wimbledon 2016
- Novak Djokovic: 1/1
- Andy Murray: 4/1
- Roger Federer: 9/1
- Milos Raonic: 25/1
- Stanislas Wawrinka: 25/1
Without Rafael Nadal, the field is a little watered down. Andy Murray comes in as the second seed, and his toughest competitor en route to the finals will be Stan Wawrinka, avoiding Djokovic, Federer, and Milos Raonic until a possible finals matchup. He reached the finals at the first two slams this year, but fell to Djokovic both times.
Djokovic has been dominant of late, winning four-straight slams. As long as he can fend off a determined Federer again (as he’s done in the past two Wimbledon finals), he should collect his third-straight title and move within a hair’s breadth of the 2016 Grand Slam.
- Serena Williams: 5/4
- Garbine Muguruza: 5/1
- Madison Keys: 12/1
- Petra Kvitova: 12/1
- Agnieszka Radwanska: 20/1
Garbine Muguruza is making her case to be the next great on the WTP, but Williams is still today’s top-dog; she’s putting forth a very convincing bid to be considered the greatest of all-time, too.
After being upset in the first two slams of the year, Williams will have a chip on her shoulder for this one. On grass, where her big serve is all the more potent, she’s the deserving chalk.
Odds Novak Djokovic wins the 2016 Grand Slam: 3/1
Djokovic has won three of the four slams twice in his career, including last year, when he only dropped the French Open final to Wawrinka.
He already has the Australian and French Opens under his belt this year. His domination of Murray and Federer, plus the absence of Nadal, have him as a massive favorite at Wimbledon. He’ll be another big favorite on the hard courts of the US Open, where he’s won twice (2011, 2015).
Odds Djokovic breaks the record for most Grand Slam titles: 11/7
Djokovic currently sits tied for fourth with 12 slams, five behind the career leader, Roger Federer (17). As you can see from the odds above, there is a good chance the Serbian has two more before the end of the year.
Despite Djokovic playing the best tennis of his career at 29 years old, it is rare for a male tennis player to continue having a ton of success into their 30s these days. Yet, I don’t see anyone ready to emerge as the next great, so his prime may be extended, giving him a decent chance to break 17.
Odds Serena Williams breaks the record for most Grand Slam titles (open era): 4/7
Despite Williams being 34 years old, she has not shown many signs of slowing down; Serena has won multiple slams in five of the last seven years. This year has not gone her way thus far, as she’s settled for runner-up at the Australian and French. Yet, Williams only needs two more titles to break Steffi Graf’s open era record (22), which seems very attainable considering the level she is still playing at.
Time is ticking, though, and some younger competition is surfacing. A win at Wimbledon will significantly increase her odds, but it’s far from do-or-die. (She’ll really have to start reeling off some wins if she wishes to break Margaret Court’s all-time record of 24 titles.)
Odds Roger Federer breaks the record for most Wimbledon titles (open era): 2/1
Federer has been deadlocked with Pete Sampras at seven since 2012. The Swiss star lost in the finals each of the last two years, both times to Djokovic, and he’s now 3-7 in his last ten against the Serbian. That said, the last two finals were extremely close and could have gone Federer’s way. Even though he’s turning 35 in August, he has a decent chance to flip the outcome at least once over the next few years.
Odds Roger Federer breaks the record for most US Open titles (open era): 5/2
Federer has only won five US Open titles, but it’s good enough to tie him with Pete Sampras and Jimmy Connors for the open-era record. Yet, Federer hasn’t won the US Open since 2008, and has only made it to the finals twice since then.
Before you go etching Novak’s name into the trophy again, though, note that there hasn’t been a back-to-back winner since Federer won five-straight from 2004-2008. The last slam of the year has been the most unpredictable with five different players winning the title in the last seven years.
Anything can happen at the US Open, and another victory for the greatest tennis player of all-time is far from impossible. However, these odds will take a big dive if he doesn’t do it in 2016.
Odds all 2016 women’s Grand Slams are won by first-time champions: 7/1
The biggest factor in this prop is whether Serena Williams will get upset in the next two slams. Sorry, I just don’t see it. Even if Williams doesn’t win Wimbledon, she’s won the US Open in three of the last four years; there’s a good chance she wins both. Muguruza is the most likely to upset her, to boot, and she’s already got a slam on her resume.
(Photo Credit: Tatiana from Moscow, Russia (Novak Djokovic) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.)