by
- What: UFC 317 Main Event
- Who: Ilia Topuria Vs. Charles Oliveira
- Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
- Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV
- Time: Early Prelims (TBA), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (TBA), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The highlight of the UFC’s 2025 edition of International Fight Week is the UFC 317 pay-per-view card, which takes place on June 28 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. In the main event of UFC 317, Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira battle for the vacant UFC lightweight title. That title still officially belongs to Islam Makhachev, but Makhachev is moving to welterweight. As soon as the fight between Topuria and Oliveira officially begins, the title becomes vacant and up for grabs.
Ilia Topuria (16-0) is the former UFC featherweight champion. He left that title vacant to pursue a move to 155 pounds. Topuria, who is coming off knockout wins over legendary UFC featherweights Max Holloway and Alexander Volkanovski, competes in a title fight in his first UFC lightweight contest since he knocked out Jai Herbert in 2022.
Charles Oliveira (35-10-0-1) is a former UFC lightweight champ. He is currently the No. 2 fighter in the 155-pound division. Oliveira is coming off a November 2024 decision win over Michael Chandler.
Before we look at the best bets for Ilia Topuria Vs. Charles Oliveira on the UFC 317 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC 317 Main Event: Ilia Topuria Vs. Charles Oliveira betting picks
| To Win UFC 317 Main Event |  |  |  |  |
| Ilia Topuria | -370 | -380 | -370 | -370 |
| Charles Oliveira | +305 | +290 | +291 | +290 |
UFC 317 Main Event: Ilia Topuria betting breakdown
An extremely confident fighter, Ilia Topuria has never been on the losing end of an MMA fight. The 28-year-old has six career knockout wins, eight submission victories, and two decision nods. His 2023 win over Josh Emmett was the first time he went to decision since his UFC debut in 2020, and also marked the first time he competed in a five-round scrap. Topuria has earned performance bonuses in each of his past five UFC outings.
Topuria is a well-rounded competitor with no glaring weaknesses, and can fight on the feet or on the mat. Topuria’s victory over Emmett was an eye-opener. That contest was the first real test of Topuria’s career, and he passed with flying colors, winning 50-44, 50-42, 49-45 on the scorecards. He overwhelmed Emmett in every aspect of the bout. He followed that with an impressive knockout win over Volkanovski to claim the UFC title and then became the first UFC fighter to beat Max Holloway via strikes. In short, power is not a concern when it comes to Topuria.
Topuria, who fights out of Germany, lands 4.69 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.84 strikes every 60 seconds. He lands 2.02 takedowns per 15 minutes. The former champ lands 47 percent of his strike attempts and has a striking defense of 64 percent. His takedown defense rate is 92 percent.
The one knock against Topuria is his confidence. Since he has yet to lose a fight, he can sometimes get reckless or overconfident. He cannot overextend himself against a savvy veteran like Oliveira, who is one of the most effective grapplers in the game.
UFC 317 Main Event: Charles Oliveira betting breakdown
Charles Oliveira has developed into one of the most dangerous, and well-rounded fighters in the UFC lightweight division. Once thought of mainly as a submission artist, he has developed a striking game that is a threat in itself. However, his goal is still to get the fight to the ground. He uses a high-output kickboxing game and accuracy to close distance and get close to his opponent, where he can tie them up and then force the action to the mat, where he is extremely dangerous. Even if the fight remains standing, Oliveira is a threat as he mixes up his targets and techniques well and keeps his opponents guessing what’s coming next.
If one is looking for drawbacks to Oliveira’s game, he can be reckless with his striking. Topuria has the type of power that can turn a fight around in a hurry, so Oliveira can’t afford to let his defense slip at UFC 317. Oliveira also has a tendency to get rocked via strikes at points in his fights. He needs to keep his guard up against a fighter who is not just powerful, but a finisher in Topuria. Oliveira has been knocked out four times, but not since 2017.
Oliveira is a danger on the mat, his 46 submission attempts are second most in UFC history. He has the most submission wins in UFC history, 16, the most stoppage victories, 20, and the most fight-night bonuses, 20 Oliveira has only gone to decision six times in his MMA career.
The former UFC lightweight champ, Oliveira lands 3.40 significant strikes landed per minute with an accuracy of 55 percent. He absorbs 3.21 strikes per minute with a defense of 49 percent. Oliveira picks up 2.25 takedowns per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 40 percent. His takedown defense stands at 56 percent.
Best Bets: UFC 317 Main event: Ilia Topuria Vs. Charles Oliveira
This is a favorable matchup for Topuria for the UFC lightweight title. Oliveira is a skilled and dangerous opponent, but he has a lot of miles on him, and he can be hit and hurt, which plays in Topuria’s favor.
The betting pick is for Ilia Topuria to beat Charles Oliveira by knockout to win the UFC lightweight title at UFC 317.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
Best Betting Sites 