Best UFC 313 Betting Picks: Jalin Turner Vs. Ignacio Bahamondes

  • What: UFC 313
  • Who: Jalin Turner Vs. Ignacio Bahamondes
  • Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV
  • Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
  • How to Watch:  Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)

The next pay-per-view card on the UFC scheduleUFC 313, takes place on Saturday, March 8, from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. A title fight headlines the fight card. In that contest, UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira puts his belt on the line against Magomed Ankalaev. In the UFC 313 co-main event slot, Justin Gaethje battles Rafael Fiziev in a lightweight rematch. Before the headlining bouts, Jalin Turner and Ignacio Bahamondes face off in a pivotal 155-pound matchup. Before we look at the betting breakdown for UFC 313, here is some information on Turner and Bahamondes.

Jalin Turner (14-8) is the No. 13 fighter in the UFC lightweight rankings. Turner is in a rough patch. The 29-year-old followed a five-fight winning streak between 2020 and 2022 with a 1-3 run. Turner is coming off an April 2024 TKO loss to Renato Moicano.

Ignacio Bahamondes (16-5) is looking to break into the UFC rankings. The 27-year-old is 5-2 in the UFC and riding a two-fight winning streak ahead of UFC 313. Bahamondes is coming off a September 2024 TKO win over Manuel Torres.

Before we look at the best bets for Turner vs. Bahamondes on the UFC 313 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC 313 main event.

UFC 313: Jalin Turner Vs. Ignacio Bahamondes betting picks

FightersBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook ReviewBetUS Sportsbook ReviewMyBookie Sportsbook Review
Jalin Turner+101-103-110-108
Ignacio Bahamondes-121-117-120-118

UFC 313: Jalin Turner betting breakdown

Jalin Turner is a good boxer. He likes to fight at range, but he also moves forward when he needs to employ his striking techniques. He is tall at 6-foot-3 and he uses his length and reach well. Turner has a two-inch reach advantage in this fight. While Turner is a striker by trade, he is unafraid to employ his grappling game. A brown belt in jiu jitsu, Turner has picked up three of his past six wins, all with the UFC, via submission. His other three victories during that stretch came via knockout. Of Turner’s UFC fights that went the distance, of which there have been three, he has lost two of those via split decision and the other by unanimous decision.

Turner made an enormous mistake in the Moicano fight. It appeared that he had the fight finished by strikes, but he walked away before the referee had waved off the fight, allowing Moicano to recover and come back to get the finish himself. Turner will be looking to erase that memory at UFC 313.

Turner lands 5.60 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48 percent. His striking defense is 41 percent, and he absorbs 4.57 strikes per minute. Turner averages 0.79 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 55 percent. His takedown defense is 74 percent.

Jalin Turner TO BEAT IGNACIO BAHAMONDES
★★★★★
+101
Bet now

UFC 313: Ignacio Bahamondes betting breakdown

Like his opponent at UFC 313, Ignacio Bahamondes is a lanky 6-foot-3 striker. He uses his length well, throwing a lot of strikes with a decent amount of power, picking up 11 career knockouts, with three of his five UFC victories coming via stoppages from strikes, including his two wins in 2024, both of which came in the first round and earned him “Performance of the Night” bonuses. He is solid defensively with good footwork and excellent head movement. While Bahamondes has good takedown defense, he has yet to land a takedown in the UFC, going 0-for-5.

This is, without a doubt, the biggest test of Bahamondes’ UFC career.

Bahamondes lands 7.17 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 47 percent. He gets hit, on average, 4.41 times per minute and his striking defense is 57 percent. His takedown defense is 85 percent.

Ignacio Bahamondes TO BEAT JALIN TURNER
★★★★★
-117
Bet now

Best Bets: UFC 313 co-main event – Jalin Turner Vs. Ignacio Bahamondes

The betting odds are shifting on this matchup. Turner opened as a -210 betting favorite, while Bahamondes was the +180 betting underdog. Money is coming in on Bahamondes and the odds have shifted slightly in his favor. I don’t expect that to change as fight night nears. In fact, the expectation is that Turner will continue to slip and become a bigger underdog. My theory is that people are looking too much at Turner’s record of three losses in his past four fights. Those losses, in addition to the Moicano mistake, are split decisions to excellent fighters Dan Hooker and Mateusz Gamrot, both of whom are much more established than Bahamondes.

The betting pick is for Turner to beat Bahamondes and to do so via knockout.

Jalin Turner TO BEAT IGNACIO BAHAMONDES
★★★★★
-110
Bet now

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-...

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