Best UFC 314 Betting Picks: Bryce Mitchell Vs. Jean Silva

  • What: UFC 314
  • Who: Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva
  • Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
  • Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
  • Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
  • How to Watch:  Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)

The next pay-per-view card on the UFC scheduleUFC 314, takes place on Saturday, April 12, from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. With Ilia Topuria vacating the UFC featherweight title for a move to lightweight, the UFC 314 main event will crown a new UFC featherweight champion.  Former champion Alexander Volkanovski faces the fast-rising Diego Lopes in that title fight. That contest serves as the UFC 314 main event. Former UFC lightweight title challenger Michael Chandler faces Paddy Pimblett in the co-main event. Before those bouts, UFC 314 features an important featherweight contest between Bryce Mitchell and Jean Silva

Bryce Mitchell (17-2) is the No. 13 ranked UFC 145-pound fighter. Mitchell began his MMA career on a 15-0 run, but he is 2-2 dating back to December 2022. His losses have come by way of submission and knockout. The 30-year-old is coming off a December knockout win over an outmatched Kron Gracie.

Jean Silva (15-2) joined the UFC in 2023 via the Dana White’s Contender Series. He has a 4-0 record under the UFC with four knockout wins. The 28-year-old has picked up fight-night bonuses in his past two outings, and is coming off a February TKO win over Melsik Baghdasaryan.

Before we look at the best bets for Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva on the UFC 314 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC 314 main event.

UFC 314: Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva betting picks

FightersBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook ReviewBetUS Sportsbook ReviewMyBookie Sportsbook Review
Jean Silva-240-270-250-285
Bryce Mitchell+205+220+206+214

UFC 314: Bryce Mitchell betting breakdown

Bryce Mitchell is an exceptional grappler. If he gets to the mat and establishes top control, Mitchell can give any 145-pound fighter a tough fight. The problem for the 30-year-old is that his route to establishing ground control is limited. Mitchell’s striking is basic. He lacks the skills to use his striking to set up takedowns, and he doesn’t have the power to put his opponent on the mat with his strikes. Mitchell spams takedown attempts, diving at his foe’s legs in the hopes of making at least one of those takedowns stick. That’s not an ideal approach when facing a hard hitter like Jean Silva. Mitchell needs to be very careful in his approach in this fight, but he cannot stand and strike with Silva, his route to victory is to get the fight to the mat and break down his foe.

Mitchell lands 2.31 significant strikes per minute with a success rate of 59 percent. His defensive striking is 60 percent, and he absorbs 1.53 strikes per minute. Mitchell averages 3.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a success rate of 43 percent. His takedown defense is 33 percent.

Bryce MitchellTO BEAT JEAN SILVA
★★★★★
+205
Bet now

UFC 314: Jean Silva betting breakdown

Jean Silva is a powerful striker. He can end fights with a single blow. The 28-year-old is especially effective when working in close as he can generate tremendous force without an enormous windup. This could help Silva if Mitchell is careless in his takedown attempts. Silva will crack Mitchell with an uppercut if Mitchell leaves his head hanging or exposed. There’s also the chance that Silva will use his power to create separation and then land a knockout blow from distance.

One thing Silva cannot do is take this fight lightly. Silva enjoys his job and sometimes gets caught up in entertaining the fans. If he takes his eyes of the prize, he could allow Mitchell to sneak in for a takedown. If that happens and Mitchell gets the back of his opponent, the Brazilian could be in big trouble in Miami. Silva’s takedown defense is okay, but he needs to be at the top of his defensive wrestling game in this fight. He must use his striking to keep Mitchell at distance and force him into a striking battle.

Silva lands 5.26 significant strikes per minute, connecting on 53 percent of his attempts. His striking defense stands at 58 percent, and he gets hit 4.14 times per minute. Silva averages 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 50 percent. His takedown defense stands at 80 percent.

Jean Silva TO BEAT BRYCE MITCHELL
★★★★★
-270
Bet now

Best Bets: UFC 314 – Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva

This fight is extremely important for Silva. A win over Mitchell will break him into the UFC featherweight rankings. With that in mind, I expect him to take this matchup more seriously than his past few trips to the Octagon.

The betting pick is for Jean Silva to beat Bryce Mitchell via knockout at UFC 314, but there is betting value in picking Mitchell to win via submission.

Jean Silva TO BEAT BRYCE MITCHELL
★★★★★
-250
Bet now

See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:

Badge ranking partner

1

★★★★★

Bonus

125% Sports Bonus - up to $2,000

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

2

★★★★★

Bonus

50% up to $250

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

3

★★★★☆

Bonus

50% up to $1,000

Bet Now
Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-...

Read More About the Author