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- What: UFC Vegas 105 Main Event
- Who: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
- Time: Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (9:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+
The UFC returns to Las Vegas for the UFC Vegas 105 fight card on Saturday, April 5. In the main event of the UFC Fight Night card, former interim UFC featherweight title challenger Josh Emmett looks to get back in the title hunt against the undefeated Lerone Murphy. Emmett enters the UFC Vegas 105 main event as the No. 8 fighter in the UFC featherweight rankings, while Murphy is ranked at No. 10 at 145 pounds. Before we look at the betting breakdown for the UFC Vegas 105 main event, here is some information on Emmett and Murphy.
Josh Emmett (19-4) faced Yair Rodriguez for the interim UFC featherweight title in February 2023. Rodriguez won that contest via submission. In his next outing, Emmett lost a decision to Ilia Topuria. Emmett ended his losing skid in December 2023, knocking out Bryce Mitchell. Emmett has not fought since that win.
In his UFC debut, Lerone Murphy (15-0-1) fought Zubaira Tukhugov to a split draw. Since that September 2019 bout, Murphy has gone 7-0 with the promotion. He is coming off a decision win over Dan Ige in October.
Before we look at the best bets for Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy on the UFC Vegas 105 fight card, check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC 314 main event.
UFC Vegas 105 Main Event: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |
| Josh Emmett | +235 | +220 | +210 |
| Lerone Murphy | -275 | -270 | -280 |
UFC Vegas 105 betting breakdown: Josh Emmett
Josh Emmett is among the most potent strikers in the UFC’s featherweight division. Between October 2017 and December 2021, he scored 11 knockdowns in seven fights, winning three of those contests by knockout. He then went three fights without a knockdown before scoring a highlight reel knockout over Bryce Mitchell which left Mitchell out for a long time on the canvas.
Emmett has not stepped into the Octagon since that December 2023 KO win over Mitchell. The former interim title challenger recently turned 40, which might be a concern for other fighters, but Emmett’s offensive game is based on power, which is often the last thing that leaves a fighter. Emmett also has good wrestling, but he rarely uses those skills because his striking is so good. He is also a very durable fighter, something he showed when Ilia Topuria limited him to a 28 percent success rate on his significant strikes. During that fight, Topuria landed 152 significant strikes, one knockdown and three takedowns.
Emmett lands 4.04 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 36 percent. His striking defense is 61 percent, and he absorbs 4.61 significant strikes per minute. Emmett lands 0.91 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 37 percent. His takedown defense is 46 percent.
UFC Vegas 105 betting breakdown: Lerone Murphy
Lerone Murphy is a technical striker. He has excellent speed but also packs a lot of power in his strikes. The English fighter can move into range quickly, strike to the head or body, and then move out of range before his opponent can counter. He has good footwork, but his takedown defense needs to be addressed. Murphy seems to have addressed some of his wrestling issues, and he has picked up 10 takedowns in his past three fights while giving up one. Murphy is also good scrambler and has shown the ability to get back to his feet.
After his win over Ige, Murphy said he needs to work on two things: his takedown defense and how he deals with opponents who pressure him and take away his time and space. He will get the opportunity to show improvement in those areas.
Murphy lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute on a success rate of 54 percent. His striking defense is 60 percent, and he absorbs 2.67 significant strikes per minute. Murphy averages 1.78 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a takedown success rate of 54 percent. His takedown defense is 48 percent.
Best Bets: UFC Vegas 105 main event – Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett had a great bounce-back performance against Bryce Mitchell, but Mitchell is not known as a striker — at all — Lerone Murphy is, and he is known for more than his power. Emmett is also aging out of MMA; he still has power, and there is some betting value on picking Emmett to win via knockout because that’s always a possibility.
However, the betting pick is Lerone Murphy to beat Josh Emmett via decision in the UFC Vegas 105 main event.
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