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- What: UFC 315 Co-Main Event
- Who: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot
- Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
This week’s UFC pay-per-view event takes place on Saturday, May 10, when the promotion returns to Montreal, Quebec, Canada, for the first time in over 10 years for UFC 315. In the main event of the ESPN+ streaming PPV fight card, Belal Muhammad puts his UFC welterweight title on the line against the No. 5 ranked Jack Della Maddalena. Meanwhile, in the co-main event, UFC women’s flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko faces Manon Fiorot.
Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) is in her second run as UFC champion after defeating Alexa Grasso for the title in September via decision. During her first run with the title, Shevchenko defended the belt seven times. Her reign lasted from December 2018 through March 2023, when Grasso defeated her via submission.
Manon Fiorot (12-1) is the No. 2 ranked fighter in the official UFC women’s flyweight division. Fiorot is 7-0 under the UFC banner. She is coming off a March 2024 decision win over Erin Blanchfield.
Before we look at the best bets for Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot on the UFC 315 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC 315 main event.
UFC 315 Co-Main Event: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot betting picks
| To Win UFC 315 Co-Main Event |  |  |  |  |
| Valentina Shevchenko | +143 | +130 | +130 | +110 |
| Manon Fiorot | -163 | -150 | -155 | -140 |
UFC 315 betting breakdown: Valentina Shevchenko
One of the most dominant women in UFC history, Valentina Shevchenko enters the first fight of her second title reign as the betting underdog to Manon Fiorot, something she did not experience during her entire first run as champion. However, Shevchenko was the underdog to Grasso in their trilogy fight, which Shevchenko won.
The 37-year-old Shevchenko is not the same fighter she was when she first captured a UFC title. Over time, Shevchenko has evolved into a more well-rounded fighter. She no longer relies on her speed, footwork, and technical skills on her feet to get past her less-skilled opponents. The champ has added wrestling and grappling to her skill set over the years. Those added wrinkles to her game helped her to get the title back from Grasso last year, as she went eight for 12 in takedowns and racked up 16:04 of control time in the 25-minute scrap. Shevchenko has picked up 37 takedowns in her past eight fights.
One thing to watch in this fight is that Shevchenko is usually the bigger and stronger fighter. She won’t have those advantages against Fiorot, who is also two years younger.
Shevchenko averages 3.16 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 52 percent. Her striking defense is 64 percent, and she gets hit 2.00 times per minute. The champ averages 2.74 takedowns per 15 minutes with an accuracy of 64 percent, and her takedown defense is 71 percent.
UFC 315 betting breakdown: Manon Fiorot
Manon Fiorot is an excellent striker with a lot of power. Despite just two UFC knockout wins, Fiorot is a threat to any woman in the UFC’s 125-pound weight division. She sets a fast pace and has a high-output striking game to go with a high fight IQ and impressive takedown defense. Further, once she gets taken to the mat, Fiorot stays there for only a short time. Fiorot does a great job at fighting at distance, and she doesn’t shy away from using takedowns and working on the ground herself.
Fiorot’s strikes landed per minute of 6.26 is the fifth-highest number in the history of the UFC’s women’s flyweight division, and her striking differential of 2.49 is the second-highest in the weight class. Additionally, Fiorot’s striking defense percentage of 68.6 percent is second-best in the division. Fiorot is not the most accurate striker, connecting on 41 percent of her attempts, but her volume is noteworthy. She attempted 359 significant strikes against Blanchfield. Fiorot absorbs 3.77 significant strikes per minute. The French fighter attempts 1.17 takedowns per 15 minutes and lands at a 42 percent rate. Fiorot’s takedown defense is a noteworthy 93 percent, and she has only spent 13 seconds on the mat during her UFC run.
Best Bets: UFC 315 Co-Main Event – Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot
Manon Fiorot is the more powerful striker of the two fighters in the UFC 315 co-main event. She is also the stronger fighter overall, which means she has a good chance of thwarting Valentina Shevchenko’s takedown attempts. If Shevchenko doesn’t like how things are going in this matchup and can’t get the fight to the ground, she will find herself on defense, trying to withstand the striking power and output of Fiorot, and that’s not an ideal situation for the champ.
The betting pick is for Manon Fiorot to beat Valentina Shevchenko by decision to win the UFC women’s flyweight title at UFC 315. With that being said, Shevchenko as an underdog to win via decision offers some betting value.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
Best Betting Sites 