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- What: UFC 314 Co-Main Event
- Who: Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett
- Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
- Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The next pay-per-view card on the UFC schedule, UFC 314, takes place on Saturday, April 12, from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. With Ilia Topuria vacating the UFC featherweight title for a move to lightweight, the UFC 314 main event will crown a new UFC featherweight champion. Former champion Alexander Volkanovski faces the fast-rising Diego Lopes in that title fight. That contest serves as the UFC 314 main event. Former UFC lightweight title challenger Michael Chandler faces Paddy Pimblett in the co-main event. Before we look at the betting breakdown for the UFC 314 co-main event, here is some information on Chandler vs. Pimblett.
Michael Chandler (23-9) is 2-4 since he joined the UFC in 2021. Chandler, the No. 7 ranked UFC lightweight has faced elite competition during his brief UFC run, so his record is misleading. He is coming off losses to Dustin Poirier and Charles Oliveira in his two most recent outings.
Paddy Pimblett (22-3) sports a 6-0 UFC record and is ranked at No. 12 in the UFC’s 155-pound division. This fight is the biggest test of Pimblett’s UFC career. He is coming off a July 2024 submission win over Bobby Green.
Before we look at the best bets for Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett on the UFC 314 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC 314 main event.
UFC 314 Co-Main Event: Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |  |
| Paddy Pimblett | -160 | -155 | -160 | -167 |
| Michael Chander | +140 | +133 | +134 | +130 |
UFC 314: Michael Chandler betting breakdown
Michael Chandler has a wrestling background, but the former three-time Bellator lightweight champion has not used his wrestling as much as he could while fighting under the UFC banner. Instead, the 38-year-old has opted for a more fan-friendly style, looking for knockouts via his powerful striking. While that approach has made him popular with fans, it has left him looking for victories as of late.
With that in mind, Chandler will want to use that style in this fight. Pimblett has solid ground skills and 10 victories via submission, including three while fighting for the UFC. Pimblett has handled himself well in his striking exchanges over his career. Still, he is reckless defensively, getting involved in striking wars while leaving his chin very high, which leaves him susceptible to power punches, and those are the only types of blows that Chandler throws. In order for Chandler to exploit Pimblett’s striking weakness, the former UFC title challenger must make up the two inches he gives up in height and reach.
Another thing key to a Chandler win is that he remain calm and focused. He can’t get sloppy or reckless himself.
Chandler averages 4.49 significant strikes per minute with 50 percent accuracy. His striking defense is 43 percent, and he absorbs 4.30 strikes per minute. Chandler averages 1.59 takedowns per 15 minutes and lands 37 percent of his takedown attempts. His takedown defense is 63 percent.
UFC 314: Paddy Pimblett betting breakdown
When Paddy Pimblett debuted with the UFC there was a lot of hype behind the rising English fighter. Although he has not lost during his UFC run, the 30-year-old has lost some of his shine. One of the reasons fans and pundits aren’t as high on Pimblett as they once were is that he has not outgrown his bad habit of fighting with his chin high and his hands low. Another reason Pimblett is not being pushed as much as he once was is because he has seemingly stagnated in his growth. He is a talented fighter who can compete on the feet and the mat, but his upside is lower than it once was. With that being said, Pimblett looked very good against Bobby Green. However, if the former Cage Warriors champ wants a shot at the elite of the UFC’s 155-pound division, he needs to make a statement against a respected fighter like Chandler.
Pimblett is a better grappler than he is a striker, but he tends to strike more than he grapples. He needs to be defensively aware in both of those respects against a threat like Chandler.
Pimblett lands 4.94 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 53 percent. He absorbs 3.75 significant strikes per minute with a defense of 40 percent. Pimblett’s takedown accuracy is 25 percent, and he lands 0.91 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown defense is 52 percent.
Best Bets: UFC 314 Co-Main Event – Michael Chandler Vs. Paddy Pimblett
This is a tough betting pick. In an ideal world, Paddy Pimblett will have spent his entire UFC 314 fight camp working on his striking defense because he knows exactly what Chandler wants to do in this fight: tag his exposed chin. But Pimblett hasn’t fixed that issue during his career, so I worry he will get tagged. At the same time, Pimblett is the better all-around fighter in 2025. He could take away Chandler’s time and space against the cage. Pimblett could take down Chandler and threaten submissions. He could fight behind kicks at distance. In short, Pimblett has more ways to win this fight.
The betting pick is Paddy Pimblett to beat Michael Chandler by decision, but there is betting value in picking Michael Chandler to get a knockout over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
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