- What: Bellator 295
- Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023
- Location: Neal S. Blaisdell Arena in Honolulu, Hawaii
- Time: Prelims 7:55 p.m. ET, Main Card 11 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: Prelims (YouTube/Pluto TV), Main Card (Showtime)
The Bellator bantamweight grand prix tournament wraps up on Saturday night at the Neal S. Blaisdell Arena in Honolulu, Hawaii. The Bellator 295 main event bout between interim Bellator bantamweight champion Raufeon Stots and former Bellator bantamweight title challenger Patchy Mix will determine the winner of the grand prix. The winner takes home the promotion’s interim title, as well as $1 million. Below is some background on the event’s headliners before we discuss the Bellator 295 betting breakdown.
Stots enters Saturday’s Bellator 295 main event with a 19-1 record and an 11-fight winning streak. His only loss came in 2017 when current UFC fighter Merab Dvalishvili knocked him out in a Ring of Combat bantamweight title fight. Mix is 13-1 in his career. He has wins in his past four outings. Like Stots, Mix’s only loss came in a title fight. Juan Archuleta defeated him via decision at Bellator 246 in a matchup for the vacant Bellator 135-pound title.
Bellator 205 main event betting picks: Raufeon Stots vs. Patchy Mix
|To Win Bellator Bantamweight World Grand Prix|
Raufeon Stots vs. Patchy Mix betting breakdown and analysis
Raufeon Stots was a two-time Division II NCAA champion during his college years, and as his 11 decision wins and four submission victories show, he is more comfortable on the mat than on his feet. However, Stots cannot be overlooked in the striking department as he has four career knockout wins, including his recent KO victory over Archuleta.
Like Stots, Patchy Mix is a ground fighter at heart. He has 12 wins via submission, four by decision, and one victory via knockout.
Stots’ best bet to win the Bellator bantamweight grand prix is to do everything he can to keep the fight off the mat. While striking is not his strong suit, he is a better fighter on his feet than Mix. Unlike Stots’ most recent opponent, Danny Sabatello, Mix will be able to keep Stots on the mat if he gets the takedown and threaten with submissions on the ground.
The road to the Bellator Bantamweight Grand Prix final
Patchy Mix faced the former Rizin and Bellator bantamweight champion Kyoji Horiguchi in the first round of the Bellator bantamweight grand prix in April 2022 at Bellator 279. Mix won that fight via unanimous decision to move to the semifinals of the event. At Bellator 289, Mix submitted Magomed Magomedov to claim his spot in the grand prix finals.
As for Raufeon Stots, his first fight in the event was not just against a former Bellator bantamweight world champion in Juan Archuleta, but it was also for the interim title after current Bellator bantamweight titleholder Sergio Pettis withdrew from the event due to injury. Stots knocked out Archuleta to win the fight and claim the interim strap. Stots then defeated Danny Sabatello via split decision to hold onto his interim championship and punch his ticket to the grand prix finals.
Best Bellator 295 Bets: Stots vs. Mix
There is a chance that this matchup between two grapplers could become a standup battle. If that’s the scenario you see playing out, the best bet is to pick Raufeon Stots to defeat Patchy Mix via decision. I don’t think that will be the case. This is a five-round fight and that gives Mix an advantage. Mix wants to get this fight on the mat, and he will succeed. Once he does that his aggressive ground game will score points with the judges and wear down Stots. The best bet for the Bellator 295 main event is to pick Patchy Mix to defeat Raufeon Stots via submission in the championship rounds.
Pick: Patchy Mix to win the Bellator bantamweight grand prix with a submission win over Raufeon Stots.
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