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- What: UFC Vegas 104 Main Event
- Who: Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze 2
- Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
- Time: Prelims (4:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (7:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN+
The next UFC event, UFC Vegas 104, takes place on Saturday, March 15, from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The fight at the top of the card is a middleweight rematch between two competitors ranked inside the top 15 of the UFC’s 185-pound weight class. In that contest, Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze run back their 2023 bout, which Vettori won via decision. Vettori enters the UFC Fight Night card as the No. 8 ranked middleweight, while Dolidze checks in as the No. 11 fighter in the UFC’s 185-pound division. Here is some background on the UFC Vegas 104 fighters before we look at the betting odds, picks, and predictions for Vettori vs. Dolidze 2.
Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) has alternated wins and losses since he dropped a unanimous decision to Israel Adesanya in a UFC middleweight title fight in June 2021. That setback ended Vettori’s five-fight winning streak. Vettori is coming off a June 2023 decision loss to Jared Cannonier.
Roman Dolidze (14-3) saw a four-fight winning streak end with his defeat to Vettori. He followed that with a majority decision loss to Nassourdine Imavov in early 2024. Dolidze is 2-0 since then. His most recent win was a TKO victory over Kevin Holland in October 2024.
Before we look at the best bets for Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze 2 on the UFC Vegas 104 card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC Vegas 104 Main Event: Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze 2 betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |
| Roman Dolidze | +111 | +117 | +118 |
| Marvin Vettori | -131 | -138 | -140 |
UFC Vegas 104 Main Event: Marvin Vettori betting breakdown
Marvin Vettori is a pressure fighter. Fighting out of a southpaw stance, Vettori is best when he strings together left crosses and right hooks. He’s also adept at firing and landing body kicks to the liver when his opponent provides openings on the right side of their body. While he is mostly known for his striking skills, Vettori is unafraid of using takedowns and employing a heavy, grinding top game on the mat, something he did when he landed 11 takedowns and rang up over 20 minutes of control time in his 2021 five-round decision win over Kevin Holland.
Vettori was set to face Brendan Allen in April 2024, but he withdrew from that contest due to injury. Vettori was the No. 5 ranked middleweight when he pulled out of that fight. UFC Vegas 104 is an excellent opportunity for Vettori to move back up the promotional rankings. By the same token, a second straight defeat, especially to a lower-ranked fighter will hurt the 31-year-old.
Vettori lands 4.56 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 45 percent. He absorbs 4.24 strikes per minute with a defense of 56 percent. Vettori averages 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 45 percent. His takedown defense stands at 69 percent.
UFC Vegas 104 Main Event: Roman Dolidze betting breakdown
Like his UFC Vegas 104 opponent, Roman Dolidze is a pressure fighter. The 36-year-old moves forward and throws the majority of his punches with full power. That approach sapped his energy against Vettori and left him flat-footed but still pushing ahead, when the final horn sounded in that battle. Dolidze targets the head often, primarily via powerful hooks. His heavy-handed style has led to eight career knockout wins, but it also opens him up to counters from opponents with fast hands, as his hooks provide time and space. Dolidze also fights with a low guard, which can be dangerous against an adversary with good timing and quick strikes.
Dolidze is the kind of fighter who can get his foe to fight his type of fight, which is a slugfest. He plays to his opponent’s ego to get him to engage in that type of war, as Dolidze fights with power in mind and not technical skills.
Dolidze is excellent on the mat, however he hasn’t used his skills there as much as he should. He has become more well-rounded as he goes deeper into his career, and with how the first fight played out, with Vettori being the more active and accurate striker, it will not be a surprise to see Dolidze look to get Vettori to the mat.
Dolidze lands an average of 3.16 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 42 percent. He absorbs 3.38 significant strikes per minute with a defense of 50 percent. Dolidze picks up 1.33 takedowns per minute with a success rate of 42 percent. His takedown defense is 33 percent.
Best Bets: UFC Vegas 104 main event – Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze 2
While Marvin Vettori has been out of action for nearly two years, Dolidze has fought three times. During that time Dolidze has honed his overall skill set and he will be a different and more well-rounded fighter in this rematch.
The betting pick is for Roman Dolidze to beat Marvin Vettori by decision in the main event of UFC Vegas 104.
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