UFC 269 Betting Odds & Picks

  • Date & Location: Saturday, December 11 @ T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Time: Early Prelims (6:15 p.m. ET), Prelims (8 p.m. ET), Main Card (10 p.m. ET)
  • How to Watch: Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+), Prelims (ESPN News, ESPN+). Main Card (ESPN + pay-per-view)

The final UFC pay-per-view card of 2021 takes place on December 11 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. At the top of that PPV event, UFC lightweight champion Charles Oliveira puts his title on the line against the No. 1 ranked Dustin Poirier. In the co-headlining fight, UFC women’s bantamweight titleholder Amanda Nunes faces No. 4 ranked Julianna Pena.

Before we look at the top two fights on the UFC 269 PPV card, which streams on ESPN+, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.

UFC 269 Title Fight Odds

Oliveira vs. Poirier prediction and pick:

Oliveira and Poirier have been with the UFC for the majority of their professional MMA careers. The current 155-pound champ, Oliveira joined the promotion in 2010. Poirier’s first UFC fight took place in 2011. Since their UFC debuts, Oliveira and Poirier have had ups and downs with the promotion, but both men are currently at the apex of their careers.

Oliveira is on a nine-fight winning streak and coming off a second-round knockout win over Michael Chandler to claim the UFC lightweight title. Poirier is 8-1 (1 no contest) in his past 10 outings. He has TKO wins over Conor McGregor in his past two outings. His only loss during that stretch is a September 2019 submission loss to since-retired lightweight champ Khabib Nurmagomedov.

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I think this fight comes down to pressure, power, confidence and will. Oliveira is a better ground fighter than Poirier, but I don’t see a way for him to get the fight to the mat against the challenger. Poirier has never been more confident in his career and his striking game is the best it’s ever been. The challenger is riding a wave of momentum and I don’t see anyone fighting in the UFC’s lightweight division right now that can put a roadblock in front of him.

Pick: Poirier to win via knockout

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Nunes vs Pena prediction and pick:

Amanda Nunes holds titles in both the UFC women’s bantamweight and featherweight divisions. She has competed in nothing but UFC title fights since July 2016 and is on a 12-fight winning streak. Her wins during that time include stoppage victories over Miesha Tate, Ronda Rousey, Cris Cyborg and Holly Holm. These days, Nunes is fighting for the title of best female fighter in MMA history as much as she is doing so in defense of her UFC belts.

Julianna Pena has alternated wins and losses over her past five fights and he is coming off a January submission win over Sara McMann. Pena’s two recent losses came to Valentina Shevchenko and Germaine de Randamie. Nunes has two decision wins over Shevchenko and two knockout wins over de Randamie.

It would be an upset of epic proportions if Pena left Vegas with the UFC women’s bantamweight title.

Pick: Nunes to win via knockout

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent covers UFC and MMA for MTS. He has written for USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively among others. He has been involved with MMA since he and some friends threw some money together to purchase the pay-per-view of UFC 1, and the rest is history.

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